Sociable-Gum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,571

lifetime

Volume

$22.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 08-11 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

90% 46% +$4

Tech

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% 0% $-35

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	26	$910	961	799	+162	open	—	07-28 06:14
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	17	$811	813	744	+69	open	—	07-23 12:28
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	27	$768	671	696	-24	open	—	07-01 00:22
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	48	$732	856	908	-52	open	—	06-14 23:46
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	38	$719	770	622	+148	open	—	06-24 16:22
spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	30	$696	1,418	676	+742	open	—	07-31 17:44
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	26	$637	945	704	+241	open	—	07-29 18:23
spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	17	$633	665	665	+0	open	—	07-23 00:18
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	26	$598	1,105	486	+619	open	—	07-22 10:19
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	14	$585	695	475	+220	open	—	07-18 03:56
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	14	$574	468	468	+0	open	—	07-07 06:54
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	30	$565	523	500	+23	open	—	06-17 16:05
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171	11	$505	331	331	+0	open	—	08-02 12:07
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	18	$491	333	333	+0	open	—	05-01 11:24
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	19	$442	1,306	458	+848	open	—	07-05 21:58
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	20	$422	532	532	+0	open	—	08-09 14:28
spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	19	$393	486	341	+145	open	—	07-27 07:17
will wti dip to 85 in july 2026	13	$343	461	365	+96	open	—	07-25 01:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	22	$337	346	260	+86	open	—	04-28 07:26
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	17	$327	459	218	+241	open	—	08-11 16:35
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	9	$309	214	214	+0	open	—	07-17 11:53
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	11	$302	369	250	+119	open	—	08-12 03:28
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	19	$299	352	352	+0	open	—	06-23 14:31
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	14	$291	348	162	+186	open	—	08-12 05:18
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	18	$287	432	220	+212	open	—	06-24 04:50
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	12	$270	429	216	+213	open	—	07-13 23:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	14	$243	198	164	+34	open	—	05-15 15:14
will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	8	$207	252	252	+0	open	—	08-03 05:45
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	6	$192	242	166	+76	open	—	08-02 15:15
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	16	$173	191	208	-17	open	—	06-11 13:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:28:37	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0x121a00…
08-12 05:50:31	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	4	59¢	$2	0xac9a1a…
08-12 05:24:49	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0xc904be…
08-12 05:18:30	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe92d22…
08-12 04:30:24	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x487c2d…
08-12 03:28:07	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xda5370…
08-12 03:02:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xebc847…
08-11 16:35:52	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x300e1f…
08-11 16:35:37	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x622a64…
08-11 16:34:39	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	77	39¢	$30	0x32d006…
08-11 16:33:15	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x9f02de…
08-11 16:33:04	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1b4f8f…
08-11 15:43:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	143	11¢	$16	0xb8631d…
08-11 15:42:18	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x017bca…
08-11 15:12:09	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe8f1e3…
08-11 09:34:00	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x1cbc9d…
08-11 08:58:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x8cbffb…
08-11 08:42:54	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x590422…
08-11 08:42:39	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xb151fa…
08-11 08:42:04	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	SELL	173	44¢	$76	0xd62d95…
08-10 16:13:19	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026 from august 6	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc55dbb…
08-10 13:00:48	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x7af6bc…
08-10 13:00:06	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x0ea7be…
08-10 12:41:58	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x0c025e…
08-10 07:12:09	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x448bb5…
08-10 07:09:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x884d52…
08-10 07:09:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xca0e88…
08-09 22:31:03	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0x470157…
08-09 22:30:33	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x15c43b…
08-09 22:30:10	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	162	51¢	$82	0xa482b6…
08-09 22:29:03	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	84	42¢	$35	0x998720…
08-09 14:35:39	clf lfc asm 2026 08 09 spread home 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x4c0a2f…
08-09 14:35:13	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	SELL	174	22¢	$38	0xab039a…
08-09 14:34:31	clf lfc asm 2026 08 09 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x11ac50…
08-09 14:34:01	clf lfc asm 2026 08 09 spread home 1pt5	Liverpool FC	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x529a5f…
08-09 14:31:45	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0x5304ca…
08-09 14:30:45	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb3dbb2…
08-09 14:30:19	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x84bd85…
08-09 14:29:13	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	141	31¢	$43	0x73fba9…
08-09 14:28:51	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	SELL	62	26¢	$16	0x9ca5fe…
08-08 08:36:10	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x13d435…
08-08 03:15:51	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xa62b5a…
08-08 01:40:03	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0xde13de…
08-08 01:25:54	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	SELL	62	36¢	$22	0x9cff34…
08-08 01:14:15	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x3e962b…
08-08 00:41:13	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	84	51¢	$43	0xc7c5bb…
08-08 00:40:22	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x63c3f7…
08-08 00:38:58	will spcx dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	129	7¢	$9	0x794745…
08-08 00:38:49	will spcx dip to 100 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	53	28¢	$15	0x515430…
08-07 14:08:46	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xfa1eac…
08-07 13:42:42	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xb3fe9c…
08-06 19:22:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	40	38¢	$15	0xba86bd…
08-06 16:37:15	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x33c6d2…
08-06 12:47:00	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe39055…
08-06 12:34:32	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x183396…
08-06 12:20:50	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x97e985…
08-06 07:55:08	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xa16baf…
08-06 06:29:41	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	62	40¢	$25	0xc07fde…
08-06 01:17:05	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd708fb…
08-06 01:12:23	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	35	38¢	$13	0x62fdad…
08-06 00:51:51	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbb3a50…
08-06 00:12:06	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x1900fb…
08-05 16:28:30	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xeea2e6…
08-05 14:33:38	will spcx dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	35¢	$18	0x6cd8fd…
08-05 13:55:17	will spcx dip to 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0x39774c…
08-05 13:43:30	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	SELL	84	37¢	$31	0x0e7e0f…
08-05 13:42:53	will spcx dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x72628d…
08-05 13:42:39	will spcx dip to 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x057de2…
08-05 13:41:32	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	SELL	77	59¢	$46	0xb2ed2a…
08-05 12:51:08	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x09621d…
08-05 09:15:05	will spcx dip to 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x818995…
08-05 09:07:05	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x67573f…
08-05 07:56:35	will spcx dip to 90 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x7f2c0d…
08-05 07:20:42	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x0c059a…
08-05 07:06:51	will wti reach 80 in august 2026 from august 4	No	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x155b1f…
08-05 05:54:21	will spcx dip to 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x60700b…
08-05 01:29:39	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe06d4b…
08-05 00:56:44	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xfa1a26…
08-05 00:47:54	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x4cee58…
08-05 00:44:29	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xb76904…
08-05 00:44:15	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x35c2c7…
08-04 12:14:42	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x53a08f…
08-04 12:13:45	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x41f9e5…
08-04 12:12:48	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	SELL	90	49¢	$44	0xe86c67…
08-04 00:44:27	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	1	65¢	$1	0xa4fdc3…
08-03 17:34:23	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0xd91c48…
08-03 15:54:56	will spcx dip to 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xc80c81…
08-03 15:53:09	will spcx dip to 100 in august 2026	No	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0xe585b6…
08-03 15:04:38	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	No	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0x820e41…
08-03 15:01:59	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	SELL	234	31¢	$73	0x74c9cf…
08-03 12:17:51	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741053	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6c631a…
08-03 08:51:47	will spcx dip to 80 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xf65057…
08-03 08:48:02	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdfc874…
08-03 05:46:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x5f40c4…
08-03 05:45:20	will wti dip to 75 in august 2026	No	SELL	126	22¢	$28	0xb807c2…
08-02 16:28:51	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741052	Yes	BUY	35	50¢	$18	0x71cd0a…
08-02 16:09:12	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0xc646c7…
08-02 15:15:26	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x76df7b…
08-02 15:15:03	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x4a52ce…
08-02 15:12:20	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x9869b6…