Sociable-Gum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,295

lifetime

Volume

$16.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-22 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

90% 46% +$4

Tech

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-35

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	27	$768	671	696	-24	open	—	07-01 00:22
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	48	$732	856	908	-52	open	—	06-14 23:46
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	38	$719	770	622	+148	open	—	06-24 16:22
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	26	$598	1,105	486	+619	open	—	07-22 10:19
spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	16	$589	665	376	+288	open	—	07-22 14:23
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	14	$585	695	475	+220	open	—	07-18 03:56
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	14	$574	468	468	+0	open	—	07-07 06:54
will 20 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	30	$565	523	500	+23	open	—	06-17 16:05
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	10	$515	521	394	+127	open	—	07-22 12:52
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	18	$491	333	333	+0	open	—	05-01 11:24
england mexico game rescheduled to different time 20260703205906835	19	$442	1,306	458	+848	open	—	07-05 21:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	22	$337	346	260	+86	open	—	04-28 07:26
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	9	$309	214	214	+0	open	—	07-17 11:53
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	19	$299	352	352	+0	open	—	06-23 14:31
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	18	$287	432	220	+212	open	—	06-24 04:50
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	12	$270	429	216	+213	open	—	07-13 23:23
will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	9	$264	331	89	+242	open	—	07-07 18:00
spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	10	$258	341	259	+82	open	—	07-22 14:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	14	$243	198	164	+34	open	—	05-15 15:14
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	9	$241	487	246	+241	open	—	07-22 14:22
spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	8	$208	582	582	+0	open	—	07-21 10:33
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	4	$192	143	193	-50	open	—	07-22 09:44
will wti crude oil wti hit high 105 in june	16	$173	191	208	-17	open	—	06-11 13:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	16	$147	159	135	+24	open	—	05-23 05:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	11	$127	156	58	+98	open	—	05-29 11:11
will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	7	$125	194	0	+194	open	—	07-19 14:19
will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	9	$125	177	0	+177	open	—	06-13 07:41
will wti crude oil wti hit low 65 in june 765	10	$125	396	396	+0	open	—	06-26 00:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	14	$114	172	124	+49	open	—	04-28 13:34
will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	10	$114	301	301	+0	open	—	06-22 10:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 14:26:15	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x5cd668…
07-22 14:25:37	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xc4242d…
07-22 14:25:25	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	74	39¢	$29	0x0d6344…
07-22 14:25:21	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe474f9…
07-22 14:24:16	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	74	47¢	$35	0xc3323d…
07-22 14:23:15	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0xf9d80d…
07-22 14:22:30	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	246	32¢	$79	0x48f59f…
07-22 12:52:13	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x0a8537…
07-22 12:52:03	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x21443c…
07-22 10:19:52	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xdc34e8…
07-22 10:13:30	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	55	72¢	$40	0xbdcda5…
07-22 10:12:40	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x603e47…
07-22 10:08:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	75	67¢	$50	0x9450d0…
07-22 10:07:40	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	55	46¢	$25	0x00a957…
07-22 10:07:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	SELL	273	64¢	$176	0xa9fce0…
07-22 09:59:36	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0x8433ea…
07-22 09:55:42	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x5d208a…
07-22 09:52:15	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xe04769…
07-22 09:46:12	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xaeedb8…
07-22 09:45:36	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x26ac94…
07-22 09:45:16	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd219e3…
07-22 09:44:54	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xc11e60…
07-22 09:44:30	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x1f50c3…
07-22 09:44:13	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	SELL	143	63¢	$90	0xbb9574…
07-22 09:43:09	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xe803fe…
07-22 09:42:58	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	97	45¢	$44	0xc4c0b9…
07-22 09:42:37	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	127	28¢	$36	0xb79a90…
07-22 09:42:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x95df81…
07-22 09:42:00	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x5e174e…
07-22 04:55:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7b4f3f…
07-22 03:25:25	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x28a0f7…
07-22 03:24:19	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xfb7c68…
07-22 03:01:37	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	No	BUY	98	56¢	$55	0xa1c085…
07-22 03:01:16	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x51f67f…
07-22 03:00:57	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	50	44¢	$22	0x2a2d7e…
07-22 03:00:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x7f310d…
07-21 15:58:39	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xd35de8…
07-21 15:57:34	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xf162e8…
07-21 15:56:40	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0x6676bd…
07-21 15:56:30	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	92	43¢	$39	0x06f276…
07-21 10:44:12	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xf2e112…
07-21 10:33:46	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	92	49¢	$45	0x603cc5…
07-21 10:33:09	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	159	15¢	$25	0x1ac386…
07-21 09:53:06	spcx above 100 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x047f2f…
07-21 09:49:28	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x23ec3e…
07-21 09:48:46	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	159	31¢	$50	0x2ad35f…
07-21 09:48:40	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x158b8a…
07-20 06:07:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0xe10aa7…
07-20 01:53:22	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	110	27¢	$30	0xa48d8f…
07-20 01:52:58	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0x2ada26…
07-20 01:50:00	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xf65fc3…
07-20 01:49:25	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	Yes	BUY	118	59¢	$70	0x920415…
07-20 01:49:10	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	SELL	121	43¢	$52	0xc0331f…
07-20 01:48:42	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	423	14¢	$59	0x54dfc4…
07-20 01:45:52	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0xea0d7f…
07-20 01:45:15	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0x003051…
07-20 01:44:36	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x24ae4b…
07-19 21:22:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x959011…
07-19 20:43:16	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 23 20260717012542203	No	BUY	121	21¢	$25	0xdce24d…
07-19 20:11:03	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x4782ac…
07-19 19:49:58	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 extra time	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1c7f6f…
07-19 19:49:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x6eca2c…
07-19 15:55:34	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	234	1¢	$3	0x827ba2…
07-19 14:23:15	will lionel messi score 10 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x8e618b…
07-19 14:23:07	will lionel messi score 9 goals during the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x246e7a…
07-19 14:22:30	world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	Yes	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0x825b47…
07-19 14:19:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x212222…
07-19 10:55:42	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x33e43c…
07-19 10:53:30	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	49	71¢	$35	0x56aff4…
07-19 10:51:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lamine yamal gte3	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5ec5b0…
07-19 10:51:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x9b5d14…
07-19 10:50:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x92059f…
07-19 10:50:28	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 assists lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xae241b…
07-19 10:50:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x151e9a…
07-19 10:50:07	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x45269f…
07-19 10:45:00	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 btts	Yes	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xac3661…
07-19 10:44:37	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0x1aa0a9…
07-19 10:40:49	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x089e0c…
07-19 10:39:55	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb5db2c…
07-19 07:39:51	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	194	3¢	$6	0x8cfb67…
07-18 14:14:37	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x175b52…
07-18 10:54:30	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0x28b1c6…
07-18 09:15:37	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x3aac0b…
07-18 03:58:10	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xe804d0…
07-18 03:57:36	will spacex starship flight test 13 launch by july 20 20260717012517323	No	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0xe73a99…
07-18 03:56:34	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x384eff…
07-18 00:49:13	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	536	3¢	$15	0xeda039…
07-18 00:47:46	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0x0a4781…
07-17 16:11:01	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x955ac3…
07-17 16:10:12	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	819	3¢	$25	0x232d94…
07-17 16:09:25	spcx above 120 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x7d2366…
07-17 16:08:01	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0x55b75e…
07-17 16:07:04	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	690	3¢	$20	0x821a3a…
07-17 16:06:42	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	66	61¢	$40	0xa0c569…
07-17 16:06:03	spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	No	SELL	188	59¢	$111	0xb00761…
07-17 15:11:28	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	66	53¢	$35	0xe69f68…
07-17 12:49:43	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xb128c9…
07-17 12:48:57	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x269535…
07-17 12:33:03	spcx above 110 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	60	16¢	$9	0xf1209e…
07-17 12:31:15	president trump to attend world cup final 20260608152749044	No	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xe0159b…