Sociable-Gum — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.20K

Unrealized P&L

+$11

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

2,471

Trades

5,023

lifetime

Volume

$63.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$269

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-30 21:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 159 days

Categories

Other

81% 21% -$4,460

Sports

14% 19% -$1,180

Politics

3% 16% -$344

Tech

2% 20% -$210

Crypto

0% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+200	$130	70¢	$141	+$10	10-06 18:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+130	$87	72¢	$93	+$6	10-25 11:23
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+150	$18	12¢	$17	-$1	10-23 18:49
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+60	$15	18¢	$11	-$4	10-29 11:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+80	$3	3¢	$3	$0	10-28 17:14
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+30	$1	5¢	$2	+$0	10-28 17:12
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	+100	$2	1¢	$1	-$1	10-28 17:13
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	+7	$2	16¢	$1	$0	08-24 12:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	60	$2.3K	7,740	6,582	+1,158	No	-$185	07-19 21:22
will wti dip to 85 in september 2026	51	$2.0K	2,288	1,750	+539	No	+$100	09-24 03:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	100	$1.9K	2,938	816	+2,122	Yes	-$1,046	10-30 21:06
will wti dip to 90 in september 2026 from september 23	86	$1.7K	3,960	652	+3,307	Yes	-$1,438	09-29 15:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?	54	$1.4K	1,979	1,979	+0	Yes	-$202	09-22 16:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	42	$1.4K	1,537	1,364	+173	No	-$166	09-28 14:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?	105	$1.4K	4,702	877	+3,825	Yes	-$1,117	09-18 07:16
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	88	$1.2K	1,617	775	+841	No	+$336	08-25 13:52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	30	$1.1K	2,176	2,176	+0	Yes	+$198	07-19 20:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?	27	$945	1,011	799	+212	Yes	-$275	07-28 06:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?	30	$870	1,046	427	+619	Yes	+$233	09-14 01:24
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?	18	$841	851	744	+107	No	-$174	07-23 12:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	20	$811	759	759	+0	No	+$184	09-29 12:14
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	28	$778	696	696	+0	No	+$28	07-01 00:22
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$770	1,167	1,167	+0	No	+$20	07-14 20:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June?	51	$757	908	908	+0	No	-$199	06-14 23:46
Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above $110 end of July?	31	$751	1,418	952	+465	No	+$93	07-31 17:44
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	41	$744	813	622	+191	Yes	-$5	06-24 16:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in October?	25	$737	1,050	850	+200	Yes	-$157	10-20 01:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?	29	$703	1,010	350	+660	No	+$267	09-17 03:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?	27	$691	1,105	776	+329	Yes	+$60	07-22 10:19
will wti reach 85 in august 2026 from august 26	31	$683	936	402	+534	Yes	-$419	08-30 07:00
will wti reach 105 in september 2026 from september 16	32	$680	948	948	+0	No	-$156	09-21 08:09
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	21	$679	6,816	4,521	+2,295	No	-$147	07-11 22:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?	27	$679	945	945	+0	No	-$113	07-29 18:23
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	25	$679	16,300	16,300	+0	No	-$187	07-06 03:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?	16	$635	761	475	+286	Yes	+$72	07-21 09:44
spcx above 130 on july 31 2026	17	$633	665	665	+0	No	-$157	07-23 00:18
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	35	$615	607	500	+107	Yes	-$88	06-17 16:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?	32	$595	1,250	525	+725	Yes	-$482	09-24 14:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 21:06:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0x9e161f…
10-30 18:06:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x1ff337…
10-30 18:05:58	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x4d696f…
10-30 17:46:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x333f68…
10-30 17:13:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x9add3d…
10-30 17:12:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x534ae0…
10-30 17:12:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x17d2a9…
10-30 16:41:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x979a20…
10-30 15:56:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xad68f2…
10-30 15:50:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0xf43b71…
10-30 15:49:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	40	67¢	$27	0xb5f441…
10-30 15:49:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x0c3356…
10-30 15:48:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x14f2a8…
10-30 15:48:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xfced92…
10-30 15:48:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf3f2cf…
10-30 15:22:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x053db3…
10-30 15:22:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	15	47¢	$7	0x9b6838…
10-30 15:22:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xc9d7e7…
10-30 10:35:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xc15770…
10-30 10:13:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb4ef9f…
10-30 10:13:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xebc453…
10-30 10:12:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xd3b654…
10-30 10:12:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x219813…
10-30 10:12:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x55a3fd…
10-30 10:12:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x5218f5…
10-30 10:11:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0xeb4233…
10-30 10:11:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	36	52¢	$19	0x82db6f…
10-30 10:11:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xcae006…
10-30 10:11:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x9d2713…
10-30 10:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	46	45¢	$21	0xf9e1cf…
10-30 10:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	104	47¢	$48	0x540cda…
10-30 10:03:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	140	53¢	$74	0x06569c…
10-30 09:17:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x51e7a1…
10-30 09:17:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0xdbae64…
10-30 09:16:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc65298…
10-30 09:16:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x3c855e…
10-30 08:46:22	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x3f01cc…
10-30 08:46:00	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x223686…
10-30 08:45:39	Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?	No	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb18221…
10-30 08:45:33	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x57263d…
10-30 08:45:12	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0x3c5c82…
10-30 08:44:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x5b4181…
10-30 08:44:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9a5b8d…
10-30 05:47:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x79e3dc…
10-30 05:43:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa557dd…
10-30 05:30:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x162a46…
10-30 03:42:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0x91a3fd…
10-30 03:27:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xbef29e…
10-30 03:26:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	36	53¢	$19	0xd659a7…
10-30 03:26:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x1dfb57…
10-30 03:25:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x2f7aa1…
10-30 03:24:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	64	53¢	$34	0xc9133a…
10-30 03:23:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x4a72d4…
10-30 03:23:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x580966…
10-30 03:22:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$31	0xd7ea26…
10-30 03:21:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x2a66ba…
10-30 03:21:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0xc0c36a…
10-30 03:21:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	SELL	60	52¢	$31	0xbff257…
10-30 03:06:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xc7b1a5…
10-30 03:04:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x262f12…
10-30 03:03:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x407add…
10-30 03:03:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in November?	No	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x21c79d…
10-30 03:03:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in November?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xec0dc3…
10-30 03:02:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xa2e2f8…
10-30 03:01:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x97f207…
10-30 03:01:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9796ab…
10-29 11:37:28	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8281ef…
10-29 11:07:07	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6855a6…
10-29 10:59:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x908dcb…
10-29 02:33:08	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	50	57¢	$28	0x46e245…
10-29 02:32:31	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0x96c853…
10-29 02:31:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xe8bc00…
10-28 22:49:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xc932f4…
10-28 22:49:10	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x6593bc…
10-28 17:14:26	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	80	3¢	$3	0x1c52b2…
10-28 17:13:53	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x73b39b…
10-28 17:13:14	Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc55e89…
10-28 17:12:55	Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x8f8c2c…
10-28 16:47:05	Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xc11639…
10-28 16:19:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	23	35¢	$8	0x2182c9…
10-28 16:14:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xa6baaa…
10-28 16:12:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xe1a95a…
10-28 16:12:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xd9371d…
10-28 14:49:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe6eb65…
10-28 13:35:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xe5c7af…
10-28 13:35:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?	Yes	SELL	53	8¢	$4	0xd09c30…
10-28 07:30:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x40390e…
10-28 06:29:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	62¢	$31	0xcb2823…
10-28 06:00:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x359922…
10-27 10:06:50	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x54ebbf…
10-27 10:06:35	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x38e3de…
10-27 10:06:11	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xed72d5…
10-27 10:05:53	Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x5bea6e…
10-27 09:30:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xf1f6b7…
10-27 09:29:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	33¢	$16	0x45f423…
10-27 09:29:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7d361c…
10-27 06:56:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	18	25¢	$4	0xe2a9fb…
10-27 06:56:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x9a3ddf…
10-27 04:27:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in October?	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x0e9e80…
10-27 03:47:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc6b973…