Recent-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$42

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$232

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 06-08 03:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

84% 100% +$42

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	543	543	+0	open	—	05-09 04:26
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	1	$599	637	0	+637	open	—	05-27 06:08
Spread: Nice (-2.5)	1	$569	593	0	+593	open	—	05-26 07:42
Spread: CD Concepción (-2.5)	1	$536	570	0	+570	open	—	05-24 08:20
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	1	$526	542	0	+542	Manchester United FC	+$16	05-09 04:54
Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	1	$510	537	0	+537	open	—	05-23 03:13
Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	1	$500	526	0	+526	FathUnionSport	+$26	05-06 09:54
Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$474	510	0	+510	open	—	05-21 04:19
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread home 2pt5	1	$372	385	0	+385	open	—	04-14 11:18
lal lev get 2026 04 13 spread home 2pt5	1	$356	372	0	+372	open	—	04-13 06:43
mex pue leo 2026 04 10 spread home 2pt5	1	$319	343	0	+343	open	—	04-10 12:23
Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	4	$183	965	965	+0	open	—	06-02 05:00
will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	3	$157	980	980	+0	open	—	06-08 03:00
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	3	$133	950	950	+0	open	—	06-03 07:42
lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	2	$90	1,003	0	+1,003	open	—	06-08 03:12
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	2	$76	950	0	+950	open	—	06-02 05:02
Spread: Albania (-2.5)	2	$44	885	0	+885	open	—	06-03 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 03:12:48	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	Yes	BUY	503	9¢	$45	0x131011…
06-08 03:12:40	lol lev png1 2026 06 08 game1 both teams destroy inhibitors	Yes	BUY	500	9¢	$45	0x9fd491…
06-08 03:00:06	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	SELL	980	8¢	$78	0x66a00f…
06-08 02:21:40	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0x898a64…
06-08 02:21:33	will france send warships through the strait of hormuz by june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	480	8¢	$38	0xb036a4…
06-03 08:00:39	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Albania	BUY	455	5¢	$23	0xa94651…
06-03 08:00:39	Spread: Albania (-2.5)	Albania	BUY	430	5¢	$22	0x5ba30b…
06-03 07:42:57	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	950	7¢	$66	0x5c6270…
06-03 07:14:45	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	470	7¢	$33	0xcc2863…
06-03 07:14:43	China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	7¢	$34	0xe1862e…
06-02 05:02:22	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Yes	BUY	464	8¢	$37	0xc029c5…
06-02 05:02:20	Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?	Yes	BUY	486	8¢	$39	0x07137b…
06-02 05:00:14	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0xf821e0…
06-02 05:00:00	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Yes	SELL	958	11¢	$105	0x6db740…
06-02 04:08:04	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Yes	BUY	480	8¢	$38	0xb73fe0…
06-02 04:07:30	Will a country leave BRICS in 2026?	Yes	BUY	485	8¢	$39	0xde4e36…
05-27 06:08:13	Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 25 cents (BO3) - Circuit X Base Recife Group A	BESTIA	BUY	637	94¢	$599	0x88a2fa…
05-26 07:42:29	Spread: Nice (-2.5)	Saint-Etienne	BUY	593	96¢	$569	0x26022e…
05-24 08:20:41	Spread: CD Concepción (-2.5)	CD Huachipato	BUY	570	94¢	$536	0xdbfa07…
05-23 03:13:45	Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	537	95¢	$510	0x7eecaa…
05-21 04:19:17	Spread: Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Fateh Saudi Club	BUY	510	93¢	$474	0xc6a583…
05-09 04:54:59	Spread: Sunderland AFC (-2.5)	Manchester United FC	BUY	542	97¢	$526	0x09bbc8…
05-09 04:26:35	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	543	97¢	$527	0xc58655…
05-09 02:55:42	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	543	97¢	$526	0x71a40d…
05-06 09:54:44	Spread: IR Tanger (-1.5)	FathUnionSport	BUY	526	95¢	$500	0x0fff78…
04-14 11:18:55	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread home 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	385	96¢	$372	0xd4e6ac…
04-13 06:43:49	lal lev get 2026 04 13 spread home 2pt5	Getafe CF	BUY	372	96¢	$356	0xfdb6a3…
04-10 12:23:11	mex pue leo 2026 04 10 spread home 2pt5	Club León FC	BUY	343	93¢	$319	0xac98a0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Crushing-Grain 0x7fe6…f3a8	14	$7.81K	17	06-08 03:19
Tedious-Paddle 0xc905…7830	10	$5.48K	11	05-27 06:23
Pessimistic-Nightingale 0x782c…66f0	9	$4.90K	11	05-27 06:30
Queasy-Patina 0x86a2…2733	8	$4.84K	11	06-03 08:06
Fake-Mine 0x8450…a59d	8	$3.91K	9	05-26 07:45
Tricky-Oven 0x73b0…b90c	8	$3.77K	10	06-03 07:57
Honorable-Camel 0x393e…c590	8	$3.72K	11	06-03 08:11
Traumatic-Tepee 0xb362…616f	8	$2.76K	15	06-02 05:02