Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$48

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-17

last 10-29 12:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

94% 50% -$6

Politics

6% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$2	6	+6	No	-$1	09-20 21:30
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-17 19:20
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 08:12
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-23 02:49
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-21 11:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-29 03:19
spy up or down on october 15 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Up	-$1	10-15 02:29
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-26 05:38
Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-29 12:02
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-27 19:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	10-02 22:40
will hood dip to 115 by september 28 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-28 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	+$4	09-19 23:53
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	10-03 06:59
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	10-17 01:27
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	09-18 15:05
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-03 19:58
Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-27 10:06
Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	10-14 18:28
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 00:35
United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-17 10:57
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-17 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	09-17 12:56
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-21 05:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	No	-$1	09-21 21:58
will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026 from october 1	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-02 05:55
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-18 06:01
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	10-10 21:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-22 18:49
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	-$1	09-29 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 12:02:31	Will there be between 30 and 34 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x503e9f…
10-29 03:19:49	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x51c3b4…
10-26 05:38:59	Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcd37dc…
10-21 20:05:08	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x97cef0…
10-21 11:58:59	Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5d06cf…
10-21 03:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x467b59…
10-17 19:20:56	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 85%+?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdd59a5…
10-17 10:57:23	United Airlines (UAL) Q3 consolidated passenger load factor 84% to 85%?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x6127cf…
10-17 01:27:08	Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe13000…
10-15 02:29:10	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x949559…
10-14 18:28:58	Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x55e2b7…
10-10 21:41:48	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x24a1c9…
10-10 13:39:30	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc1807d…
10-09 17:37:07	Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe874d9…
10-09 09:24:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x22c70e…
10-07 05:52:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x96504e…
10-05 21:51:19	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x081c48…
10-05 00:59:28	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x69daed…
10-03 19:58:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x5c6743…
10-03 06:59:44	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb70c4d…
10-02 22:40:15	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xba9b45…
10-02 13:57:18	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xc3b481…
10-02 05:55:15	will msft reach 517 50 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4f3d39…
10-01 18:12:02	Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September?	No	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x860937…
09-29 21:57:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc1af96…
09-29 13:57:00	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xfe525a…
09-28 04:29:18	will hood dip to 115 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x489378…
09-27 19:35:51	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9341b5…
09-27 10:06:54	Will Tesla deliver between 475000 and 500000 vehicles in Q3 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x38a947…
09-27 01:44:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x2e8264…
09-26 16:51:27	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on September 30?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xc57e79…
09-26 08:36:00	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8ee086…
09-26 00:35:42	Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $3.00 and $3.25 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9ff6f8…
09-23 02:49:32	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x3fcf35…
09-22 18:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c07af…
09-21 21:58:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x041c20…
09-21 13:57:53	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7eb74d…
09-21 05:56:33	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6f28d2…
09-20 21:30:17	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc5a907…
09-20 12:58:25	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2f083e…
09-19 23:53:24	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a0730…
09-19 08:12:07	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x33ea02…
09-19 00:12:00	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0db818…
09-18 23:28:54	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x30ac72…
09-18 15:05:27	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x19c20b…
09-18 06:01:51	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in September?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5cded5…
09-17 21:56:01	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd4f20d…
09-17 12:56:46	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x212987…