Warm-Storey — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved (90d)

225

Trades (90d)

234

2,576 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.20K

$25.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-23

last 11-07 17:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 249 days

Categories

Other

81% 99% +$11

Sports

15% 100% +$4

Crypto

3% 97% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov		+7	$7	98¢	$7	$0	11-07 17:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series#3 Group A	5	$50	50	0	+50	Hashiras	+$0	05-19 10:01
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs TNC - Map 2 Winner	4	$40	40	0	+40	Phantom	+$0	05-19 15:47
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on May 22?	4	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	05-22 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1PM ET	4	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	05-18 18:01
Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5	4	$40	40	0	+40	Under	+$0	05-19 01:39
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)	4	$40	40	0	+40	Cody Brundage	+$0	05-16 22:44
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz	3	$30	30	0	+30	KT Wiz	+$0	05-23 11:07
Will Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-29 14:03
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5	2	$20	20	0	+20	Under	+$0	05-17 18:57
Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-12 23:04
Parks vs. Stoiana: Match O/U 22.5	2	$20	20	0	+20	Over	+$0	05-11 17:58
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	08-03 23:15
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	06-25 02:03
Set Handicap: Siniakova (-1.5) vs Bouzkova (+1.5)	2	$20	20	0	+20	Bouzkova	+$0	05-18 17:52
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-05-17?	2	$20	20	0	+20	Yes	+$0	05-17 17:58
wta dilek falkows 2026 07 14	2	$20	10	10	+0	Weronika Falkowska	+$0	07-14 15:35
Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
Draxl vs. Nava: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5	2	$20	20	0	+20	Over	+$0	05-11 19:38
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	07-24 05:32
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Ugo Blanchet vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz	2	$20	20	0	+20	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	+$0	05-20 11:46
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 2?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-02 01:35
sea cre ver 2026 01 19 btts	4	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-10 22:19
Will Kai and Speed have between 50 and 69 total in-game deaths during their Minecraft marathon?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-13 11:27
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-09 07:11
Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	08-24 15:36
mls nyc mia 2026 03 22 nyc	2	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-22 19:07
ucl psg1 cfc1 2026 03 11 spread away 2pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	Paris Saint-Germain FC	+$0	03-11 21:59
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	Mali	+$0	06-03 04:48
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-30 04:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 17:13:39	Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Jurij Rodionov	Jurij Rodionov	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x649466…
11-07 16:38:54	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-07?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0d4e5…
11-07 16:09:03	Rolex Paris Masters: Luca Van Assche vs Ben Shelton	Ben Shelton	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd541cb…
11-06 20:34:54	Will Wolfsberger AC win on 2026-11-06?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc0a3f5…
11-05 06:26:28	Heat vs. Clippers	Heat	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb17e92…
11-01 02:36:30	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e181a…
11-01 01:39:04	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Pelicans	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x713a46…
11-01 01:09:45	UFC Fight Night: Yana Santos vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Main Card)	Luana Santos	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x1da855…
11-01 00:43:13	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa6bdce…
11-01 00:05:33	UFC Fight Night: Dakota Hope vs. Francis Marshall (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dakota Hope	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcff61b…
10-31 16:00:25	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x97e666…
10-30 22:23:21	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Valeriya Strakhova	Tatjana Maria	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xef91df…
10-30 16:44:25	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd5481f…
10-29 15:14:20	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x284e85…
10-27 13:12:05	Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew	Xinran Sun	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x27305a…
10-25 09:31:00	Ningbo: Semen Pankin vs Maxim Zhukov	Semen Pankin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb52526…
10-24 19:01:00	European Open: Arthur Fils vs Jan-Lennard Struff	Jan-Lennard Struff	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4f8d6f…
10-24 14:15:05	Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Sebastian Baez vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x1a4b8f…
10-24 13:22:35	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1f3687…
10-24 13:22:09	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff912e…
10-24 12:46:05	Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Liquid (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x542d77…
10-23 16:52:27	Lyon Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Taylor Fritz	Taylor Fritz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdcf758…
10-23 06:10:02	Japan Women's Open: Talia Gibson vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ashlyn Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6408f…
10-22 20:12:41	Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x23cb68…
10-21 20:56:33	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xba08d2…
10-21 17:04:05	Lyon Open: Corentin Moutet vs Felix Balshaw	Corentin Moutet	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4d1e9a…
10-20 18:47:41	Will Sabah FK win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc61fc0…
10-20 18:35:32	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-20?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0c2aca…
10-19 18:51:57	Lyon Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Moise Kouame	Moise Kouame	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc9c7b…
10-18 03:35:38	Notre Dame vs. BYU	BYU	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7a83d9…
10-15 20:32:47	W35 Heraklion: Juliette Mazzoni vs Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	Juliette Mazzoni	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x0d0003…
10-15 19:37:41	Santa Cruz 2: Guido Justo vs Juan Manuel La Serna	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ff238…
10-14 20:56:42	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfac256…
10-14 11:41:28	atp medvede tsitsip 2026 10 13	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x89ec82…
10-13 22:49:00	atp casanov serna 2026 10 13	Juan Manuel La Serna	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3785b0…
10-13 21:37:33	Santa Cruz 2: Luis Guto Miguel vs Murkel Dellien	Luis Guto Miguel	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5fec79…
10-13 20:58:57	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x342af7…
10-13 16:04:16	wta pohanko wan 2026 10 13	Mia Pohankova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b242f…
10-13 14:15:25	Catania: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Federico Bondioli	Enrico Dalla Valle	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5ee5fc…
10-13 01:33:00	Thunder vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x352de7…
10-12 16:35:42	Olbia: Lorenzo Carboni vs Mackenzie McDonald	Lorenzo Carboni	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf2530e…
10-12 09:02:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Rafael Jodar	Rafael Jodar	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3538a1…
10-11 10:49:53	Olbia: Dimitar Kuzmanov vs Ryan Peniston	Dimitar Kuzmanov	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x19b5da…
10-11 10:26:14	Olbia: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Viktor Durasovic	Viktor Durasovic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xed5c76…
10-10 11:08:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Learner Tien vs Zachary Svajda	Learner Tien	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb76f3…
10-10 10:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alejandro Tabilo vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x2c4ba2…
10-09 02:09:50	Missouri State vs. Western Kentucky	Western Kentucky	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x789a94…
10-08 07:46:36	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Hamad Medjedovic	Thiago Agustin Tirante	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd2a8ad…
10-07 06:29:17	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1cd0ff…
10-06 20:46:24	Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdfa07c…
10-06 16:07:32	Palermo: Kalin Ivanovski vs Alejandro Moro Canas	Alejandro Moro Canas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe9445c…
10-06 13:20:18	Samsun: Lola Radivojevic vs Oksana Selekhmeteva	Oksana Selekhmeteva	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x441a00…
10-04 23:23:10	LoL: Team Liquid vs LYON - Game 1 Winner	Team Liquid	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa13051…
10-04 20:17:41	Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Astralis (BO5) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs	Astralis	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd1ffc7…
10-04 07:45:10	Wuning 3: Ryan Seggerman vs Naoki Tajima	Ryan Seggerman	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8905c9…
10-03 14:50:21	China Open: Elena Rybakina vs Alina Charaeva	Alina Charaeva	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xecc7ed…
10-03 06:09:57	Montana State vs. Idaho	Idaho	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x858f59…
10-03 02:52:57	Pittsburgh vs. Virginia Tech	Pittsburgh	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6f594…
10-02 18:26:14	Columbus: Darwin Blanch vs Dylan Dietrich	Dylan Dietrich	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc40be…
10-02 14:15:35	Will Bolivia win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcea378…
10-02 14:12:36	Will Bolivia vs. Gambia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x742fe5…
10-02 13:22:56	Mouilleron-Le-Captif: Lucas Poullain vs Joel Schwaerzler	Joel Schwaerzler	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde3534…
10-01 20:46:21	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xca91b1…
10-01 20:36:03	Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x1dc846…
10-01 12:07:02	atp grieksp rublev 2026 09 29	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc55d91…
10-01 06:03:12	Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9a7aa3…
10-01 05:16:11	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	San Diego Padres	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32edae…
09-30 23:55:02	Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdec3ca…
09-30 01:58:17	Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs	Canadiens	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe4162f…
09-29 20:38:38	Will Slovakia win on 2026-09-29?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2f187f…
09-29 13:59:00	atp cretu rocha 2026 09 28	Henrique Rocha	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc99a18…
09-29 13:18:56	atp giustin sperle 2026 09 29	Lorenzo Giustino	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7ac837…
09-29 13:16:03	atp medvede rublev 2026 09 29	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47b3ae…
09-28 20:43:08	atp zink krueger 2026 09 28	Mitchell Krueger	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3fecc2…
09-28 10:07:57	atp vallejo daniel 2026 09 28	Adolfo Vallejo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x744d44…
09-27 20:24:48	Chargers vs. Bills	Bills	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31d032…
09-27 14:05:48	atp droguet mayot 2026 09 27	Titouan Droguet	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x80fe12…
09-27 13:31:21	atp harri hurkacz 2026 09 27	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xab6ffd…
09-27 12:29:14	atp safiull bu 2026 09 27	Roman Safiullin	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x52641b…
09-27 01:56:06	UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Ailin Perez (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Ailin Perez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc87374…
09-26 23:36:26	Vanderbilt vs. Auburn	Auburn	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x25c506…
09-26 23:23:50	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f7366…
09-26 20:05:57	Columbia vs. Georgetown	Columbia	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0ad55a…
09-26 19:53:24	Texas vs. Tennessee	Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x88a756…
09-26 12:18:26	wta fernand chwalin 2026 09 26	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf226bc…
09-25 22:57:44	atp prado barrena 2026 09 25	Alex Barrena	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe69b8a…
09-25 10:12:38	atp marozsa daniel 2026 09 25	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ef3ea…
09-24 20:45:09	Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x54a703…
09-24 09:44:06	Singapore Open: Xinyu Wang vs Joanna Garland	Xinyu Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b2e67…
09-23 22:37:47	mlb min sf 2026 09 23	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb82b88…
09-23 16:22:07	bitcoin above 84k on september 23 2026	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ae167…
09-23 04:45:13	wta tararud park 2026 09 22	Lanlana Tararudee	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x30509d…
09-21 18:44:33	wta naito aksu 2026 09 21	Ayla Aksu	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddc877…
09-21 13:01:35	Solana Up or Down - September 21, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x196d80…
09-20 21:08:25	Will CD Leganés vs. Granada CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x15d57c…
09-20 16:19:25	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94e9f4…
09-20 16:13:28	Will FC Zlín win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x728777…
09-20 02:59:39	will ethereum dip to 2600 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c5916…
09-20 02:52:19	Blackhawks vs. Wild	Wild	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2e162e…
09-19 01:33:07	Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x17c187…