Nice-Moat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$95

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.9%

Resolved

8,148

Trades

14,349

lifetime

Volume

$160.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 10-02 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 98% +$79

Other

1% 92% -$159

Politics

1% 29% -$5

Sports

0% 0% -$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	7	$332	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	05-27 03:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	3	$276	200	200	+0	Yes	$0	06-04 10:16
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	13	$202	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-28 22:14
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	3	$172	200	200	+0	open	—	05-28 15:39
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	2	$168	200	200	+0	No	+$0	05-29 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 23:25 UTC	2	$166	87	87	+0	Up	+$6	03-05 23:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	2	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	03-05 20:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 01:10 UTC	2	$161	82	82	+0	Down	+$1	03-06 01:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:15 UTC	2	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	03-05 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 01:00 UTC	2	$161	82	82	+0	Down	+$1	03-06 01:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:50 UTC	5	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	03-05 20:55
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 20:00 UTC	5	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	03-05 20:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 23:15 UTC	5	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	03-05 23:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 22:30 UTC	5	$161	82	82	+0	Up	+$1	03-05 22:44
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	10	$150	100	100	+0	No	$0	05-26 19:33
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	5	$123	126	126	+0	open	—	06-03 08:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 00:00 UTC	4	$121	61	61	+0	Up	+$1	03-06 00:14
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?	3	$104	76	76	+0	open	—	06-02 00:07
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:35 UTC	2	$102	82	82	+0	Down	-$58	03-05 20:39
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 20:05 UTC	4	$96	82	82	+0	Up	-$64	03-05 20:09
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	3	$96	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	05-25 15:39
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$92	69	69	+0	No	+$2	05-27 13:35
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:45 UTC	2	$87	48	48	+0	Down	+$8	03-06 14:49
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:50 UTC	2	$87	48	47	+0	Up	+$7	03-04 14:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:20 UTC	3	$86	47	47	+0	Down	+$7	03-04 14:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 14:30 UTC	5	$86	47	47	+0	Down	+$7	03-04 14:44
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:20 UTC	2	$86	46	46	+0	Down	+$6	03-04 15:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-08 13:50 UTC	2	$86	46	46	+0	Down	+$6	03-08 13:54
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:35 UTC	2	$85	46	46	+0	Down	+$6	03-04 15:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:20 UTC	2	$85	46	46	+0	Down	+$6	03-04 15:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-02 18:43:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xabfbd7…
09-30 17:08:36	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x67ff83…
09-25 14:13:14	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4b6ea0…
09-24 07:38:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x417c68…
09-23 18:03:08	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1a6d6…
09-23 16:49:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5b384a…
09-23 16:38:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeb21fb…
09-23 16:04:23	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	42¢	$0	0x71da05…
09-23 16:03:19	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x248968…
09-23 15:48:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e845a…
09-23 14:48:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3da9c5…
09-23 14:33:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaebe6b…
09-23 14:32:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x064c3d…
09-23 14:24:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcca8bd…
09-23 14:22:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x540f81…
09-23 14:18:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x06a8b6…
09-22 23:49:22	Solana Up or Down - September 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7eb375…
09-22 14:18:09	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd7dab4…
09-22 13:37:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x0285a3…
09-22 09:54:00	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc00444…
09-22 04:43:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9d6b30…
09-22 03:53:39	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xad79a2…
09-22 02:08:23	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb3a98f…
09-22 01:53:00	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xacfa0e…
09-22 01:23:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 21, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x53bec0…
09-22 01:07:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x712998…
09-22 01:03:07	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 01:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x97744b…
09-22 00:48:27	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa0210f…
09-22 00:44:03	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcdc590…
09-22 00:43:19	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 00:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x355100…
09-21 22:27:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x55e295…
09-21 21:23:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 21:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8a6599…
09-21 20:33:48	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5d71e4…
09-21 20:27:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x789c64…
09-21 18:43:49	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x309b66…
09-21 18:38:24	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf2e605…
09-21 15:22:57	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1d2d1b…
09-21 15:18:18	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xc01006…
09-21 15:13:46	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 15:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xcdfe70…
09-21 08:43:17	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 08:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf600a9…
09-21 01:28:04	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9574b5…
09-21 00:18:53	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0816cb…
09-18 13:58:29	Solana Up or Down - September 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4bd515…
09-18 13:57:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70b35e…
09-18 13:43:05	Solana Up or Down - September 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6d8978…
09-18 03:18:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-18 03:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29deb7…
09-17 23:04:12	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x600cf9…
09-17 14:09:00	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x29a10d…
09-17 13:43:52	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x57af24…
09-17 13:08:13	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-17 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe957c4…
09-16 22:04:06	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x22cb54…
09-16 19:19:03	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc88e2c…
09-16 19:13:16	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 19:00 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe37235…
09-16 19:08:15	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb6128e…
09-16 19:03:27	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4ce4fe…
09-16 18:43:39	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f9a9f…
09-16 18:43:33	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x414376…
09-16 18:43:15	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4c6cfa…
09-16 18:43:12	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x72184f…
09-16 18:43:03	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc3269e…
09-16 18:43:01	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcda44c…
09-16 18:43:01	DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x41b1e9…
09-16 18:33:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x73170b…
09-16 18:33:25	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x78ac65…
09-16 18:13:18	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5995e6…
09-16 18:08:01	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x59c352…
09-16 17:28:54	HYPE Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-16 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x620391…
09-15 19:58:30	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96f561…
09-15 19:18:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6a1e74…
09-15 19:18:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8a69e7…
09-15 19:03:49	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00f8cc…
09-15 19:03:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x17b648…
09-15 18:58:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x90a4d3…
09-15 18:58:31	Solana Up or Down - September 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x636e69…
09-15 18:58:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x88e83b…
09-15 18:58:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x36a6fb…
09-15 18:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1d9d48…
09-15 18:47:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5183f5…
09-15 18:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9e3d91…
09-15 18:38:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5702e3…
09-15 15:03:51	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbd02cc…
09-15 00:29:33	HYPE Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-15 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe859d0…
09-11 23:44:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa4e6e0…
09-11 23:03:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x877183…
09-11 19:43:55	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7db761…
09-11 16:48:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x55264b…
09-11 16:18:42	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf1c4c6…
09-11 15:53:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3445ab…
09-11 13:58:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c7db3…
09-11 13:52:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd90295…
09-11 13:52:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbcd741…
09-11 13:48:36	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8aec15…
09-11 13:42:58	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3c3922…
09-11 13:03:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xf883b1…
09-11 12:48:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe30219…
09-11 12:47:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc5edfd…
09-11 12:43:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - September 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe21e31…
09-11 12:38:10	Solana Up or Down - September 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4f7058…
09-11 12:37:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7f3f15…
09-11 12:33:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb467fe…