Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$923

Unrealized P&L

-$26

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

180

Trades

538

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

$257

5 positions

First seen

2026-10-12

last 11-06 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 50% +$959

Other

10% 23% -$49

Politics

1% 50% +$13

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 117 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	No	+415	$285	57¢	$237	-$49	11-06 16:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?	Yes	+34	$15	40¢	$14	-$1	11-04 16:51
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+42	$4	16¢	$7	+$3	11-05 17:39
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No	+0	-$27	88¢	$0	+$27	11-06 16:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	Yes	+0	$5	71¢	$0	-$5	11-05 12:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	8	$2.2K	2,838	2,838	+0	Down	+$5	11-01 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	2	$1.4K	1,167	1,167	+0	Up	+$327	10-26 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	3	$1.4K	1,430	1,120	+310	Down	+$267	11-01 19:07
Ethereum Up or Down on October 20?	4	$1.2K	1,243	1,243	+0	Up	+$300	10-20 14:03
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	12	$733	686	644	+42	Down	+$95	10-22 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	9	$678	716	688	+27	Up	-$15	10-13 00:58
Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	3	$641	445	445	+0	open	—	11-06 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$632	469	469	+0	Down	+$32	10-13 00:41
ethereum up or down on october 17 2026	11	$574	629	629	+0	Down	+$214	10-17 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6PM ET	4	$537	831	831	+0	Up	-$63	10-18 22:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	2	$515	616	201	+415	open	—	11-06 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	8	$406	425	425	+0	Down	+$6	11-02 15:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	4	$395	274	274	+0	open	—	11-05 12:32
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?	2	$386	308	308	+0	open	—	10-22 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	17	$358	315	315	+0	Down	+$58	10-25 21:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$346	274	245	+30	Up	-$4	10-13 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$310	179	179	+0	Up	+$10	10-13 00:35
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	5	$296	217	217	+0	Yes	-$4	11-03 13:16
Ethereum Up or Down on November 2?	2	$282	285	285	+0	Up	-$18	11-01 18:47
Ethereum Up or Down on October 19?	2	$279	294	294	+0	Up	-$21	10-18 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	4	$272	238	238	+0	Down	+$32	11-03 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	4	$262	261	261	+0	Up	-$48	11-01 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	3	$242	287	125	+161	Down	-$58	11-05 12:37
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 20?	4	$241	334	334	+0	No	-$1	10-20 15:04
Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	5	$241	366	271	+94	Down	+$5	10-13 02:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	9	$240	200	200	+0	Up	+$40	11-03 18:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 20:10 UTC	5	$237	296	233	+63	Down	-$23	10-16 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	16	$231	204	204	+0	Up	+$29	11-03 13:23
Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?	2	$213	255	255	+0	Yes	-$27	10-22 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	2	$202	200	200	+0	Up	+$2	10-18 21:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-06 16:12:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	Yes	SELL	21	19¢	$4	0x7fb9ed…
11-06 16:12:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	No	SELL	201	57¢	$115	0x7e4cef…
11-06 16:05:12	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No	SELL	416	75¢	$312	0x1ec178…
11-06 16:03:55	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No	SELL	29	75¢	$22	0xe2f0e8…
11-06 15:17:37	Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on November 6?	No	BUY	445	69¢	$307	0xb711bb…
11-05 17:39:07	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0xa3162c…
11-05 15:20:46	Will Solana reach $110 in November?	Yes	SELL	210	16¢	$34	0x5a4d88…
11-05 14:09:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in November?	No	BUY	616	65¢	$400	0xd1d34f…
11-05 12:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0xced897…
11-05 12:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x874e75…
11-05 12:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	125	73¢	$92	0x030803…
11-05 12:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x9baca3…
11-05 12:32:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	Yes	SELL	239	71¢	$169	0x213959…
11-05 12:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x409dbb…
11-05 12:28:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	Yes	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xc25be0…
11-05 12:18:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	Yes	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x5794ea…
11-05 01:52:22	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	SELL	30	35¢	$11	0xc820dd…
11-04 18:29:12	Will Solana reach $110 in November?	Yes	BUY	210	35¢	$73	0x0322d4…
11-04 17:27:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on November 5?	Yes	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x93bd59…
11-04 16:54:55	Will Amazon be the third-best AI lab at the end of January 2027?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x7a6ab1…
11-04 16:54:51	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x89a717…
11-04 16:54:46	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 PA-05 House election by 0%-10%?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x36a140…
11-04 16:53:18	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on November 5?	Yes	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x85e723…
11-04 16:51:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in November?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xe63eb6…
11-04 16:51:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in November?	Yes	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xb3d0ff…
11-04 16:50:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in November?	Yes	BUY	274	73¢	$200	0xa04702…
11-04 15:15:16	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$13	0xc0b65b…
11-04 13:57:22	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	SELL	29	23¢	$7	0x159d18…
11-03 18:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xe78eb1…
11-03 18:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	208	33¢	$69	0x42c710…
11-03 18:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe9f955…
11-03 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0xe198d7…
11-03 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xbf935d…
11-03 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	34	70¢	$24	0xbbbe12…
11-03 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0xb181fd…
11-03 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x4d140a…
11-03 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0x283b12…
11-03 18:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0x97a009…
11-03 18:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	70¢	$11	0x5575a1…
11-03 18:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf7ba14…
11-03 18:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	38	7¢	$3	0x51d9a6…
11-03 18:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	70	7¢	$5	0x1625ae…
11-03 18:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0x2be09e…
11-03 17:52:45	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on November 3?	Yes	BUY	145	83¢	$120	0x1d3c16…
11-03 17:51:57	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0xdfcb80…
11-03 17:51:25	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on November 3?	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x09c159…
11-03 17:38:25	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November?	Yes	SELL	54	15¢	$8	0xfa0579…
11-03 16:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf7db8e…
11-03 16:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0xfa9014…
11-03 16:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x03e307…
11-03 16:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x65bd51…
11-03 16:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	23	69¢	$16	0x349331…
11-03 16:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	28¢	$3	0x397038…
11-03 16:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x6b9b12…
11-03 16:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	1¢	$0	0xe0ea76…
11-03 16:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	37¢	$7	0xfbccb5…
11-03 16:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	77	84¢	$65	0x71bbcd…
11-03 16:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xa1b44a…
11-03 13:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	33¢	$7	0x5b151c…
11-03 13:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x3b6f40…
11-03 13:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	167	70¢	$117	0x0b3565…
11-03 13:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	48¢	$80	0x8ed9b8…
11-03 13:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	71	50¢	$36	0xb81817…
11-03 13:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0xdb1429…
11-03 13:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	126	28¢	$35	0x0f09e3…
11-03 13:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	126	32¢	$40	0x59e56b…
11-03 13:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	85	22¢	$19	0x1396b5…
11-03 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x4db8ac…
11-03 13:31:30	Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0x59bb37…
11-03 13:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x74630e…
11-03 13:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x45d7e4…
11-03 13:22:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x321690…
11-03 13:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xeeb0bc…
11-03 13:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x3db3ae…
11-03 13:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x3b3889…
11-03 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xfd3e96…
11-03 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	76¢	$11	0xbfe1a1…
11-03 13:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x28d797…
11-03 13:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xe7d81c…
11-03 13:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xdc04e4…
11-03 13:17:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xd13099…
11-03 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	40	76¢	$30	0x7a46c5…
11-03 13:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x7421e1…
11-03 13:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xb0253f…
11-03 13:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	67¢	$33	0xe25520…
11-03 13:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	67¢	$17	0xc66c64…
11-03 13:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x3f6879…
11-03 13:16:58	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	67¢	$28	0x3502d2…
11-03 13:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	145	55¢	$80	0x740611…
11-03 13:10:28	Will US gas hit $4.30 (High) in November?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xf6c105…
11-03 13:09:43	Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in October 2026?	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x4a15d0…
11-03 13:09:33	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?	No	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xaa4a9e…
11-03 13:08:36	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x642a2b…
11-03 13:08:21	Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x26d0c3…
11-03 13:07:46	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	108	65¢	$70	0x624cec…
11-03 13:06:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0xd0ff83…
11-03 13:05:01	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xf7c854…
11-03 12:56:34	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x682195…
11-03 12:49:49	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0xb8b118…
11-02 15:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	78	1¢	$1	0xfb9806…