Youthful-Vestment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.6%

Resolved

117

Trades

1,849

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-23 11:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 47% +$4

Other

15% 100% +$6

Tech

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	5	$656	1,977	111	+1,866	open	—	06-12 08:25
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	7	$362	10	361	-351	open	—	06-11 11:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	5	$163	108	108	+0	open	—	05-01 02:34
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	2	$65	80	0	+80	open	—	06-10 09:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	13	$64	66	60	+6	open	—	04-30 12:56
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	6	$64	625	1,250	-625	open	—	05-19 17:24
cs2 ts7 vit 2026 04 19 game1	1	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	04-19 18:00
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$50	56	0	+56	B8	+$6	05-12 16:05
will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	3	$37	1,416	1,153	+263	open	—	06-11 13:53
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 1am et	14	$36	42	35	+7	open	—	03-19 06:00
will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 26 2026 20260601225410820	1	$35	585	0	+585	open	—	06-23 11:03
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	05-17 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	8	$25	55	0	+55	Up	+$5	05-05 04:44
bitcoin up or down march 19 2026 11am et	15	$25	24	18	+5	open	—	03-19 15:59
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 4pm et	4	$20	27	27	+0	open	—	03-17 20:59
cs2 fal2 ts7 2026 04 18	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-18 15:52
btc updown 5m 1774901400	6	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	03-30 20:08
Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 14:19
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 9am et	11	$19	21	17	+4	open	—	03-18 13:44
btc updown 5m 1774877100	6	$19	44	0	+44	open	—	03-30 13:23
btc updown 5m 1774944000	7	$19	45	0	+45	open	—	03-31 07:58
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 12pm et	6	$17	12	8	+4	open	—	03-17 16:51
btc updown 5m 1774916100	7	$16	39	0	+39	open	—	03-31 00:12
btc updown 5m 1774916400	6	$16	39	0	+39	open	—	03-31 00:18
bitcoin up or down march 18 2026 10pm et	3	$15	27	10	+18	open	—	03-19 02:55
btc updown 5m 1774951200	5	$15	34	0	+34	open	—	03-31 09:57
btc updown 5m 1774603200	6	$15	20	9	+11	open	—	03-27 09:22
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 2am et	6	$14	31	0	+31	open	—	03-15 06:53
btc updown 5m 1774918200	6	$14	34	0	+34	open	—	03-31 00:48
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 2am et	9	$13	17	14	+3	open	—	03-17 06:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 11:03:56	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 26 2026 20260601225410820	Yes	BUY	585	6¢	$35	0x6b8dde…
06-13 11:53:00	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x4520d1…
06-13 11:52:36	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x19453a…
06-13 11:45:40	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0xfc14a8…
06-12 08:25:48	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	SELL	57	62¢	$35	0xaa3615…
06-12 05:31:46	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	SELL	54	65¢	$35	0x9d803a…
06-11 13:53:21	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	996	2¢	$15	0xad9dd0…
06-11 13:51:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	SELL	158	2¢	$2	0x0e4241…
06-11 13:50:52	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	SELL	157	2¢	$3	0x51ea1d…
06-11 11:48:04	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540	Yes	BUY	700	1¢	$8	0xfbd1f0…
06-11 11:47:01	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1530	No	BUY	1,416	1¢	$20	0x3b4d0b…
06-11 11:46:13	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	43	97¢	$41	0x27d2ca…
06-11 05:52:18	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	BUY	64	30¢	$19	0xb98b1e…
06-11 05:50:37	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	BUY	1,893	30¢	$562	0x3201a2…
06-11 05:47:51	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	210	97¢	$204	0x8483a4…
06-10 10:29:25	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	6¢	$0	0x11db9f…
06-10 10:10:54	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0x5de3aa…
06-10 09:46:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	Yes	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd7747e…
06-10 09:46:10	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x9e68dc…
06-10 09:46:07	Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x4f3b88…
06-10 09:32:31	will the next google gemini pro model be released by june 30 2026 20260601225410821	Yes	BUY	60	81¢	$49	0xb82737…
06-10 09:25:07	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$48	0x7e8a30…
06-10 09:22:54	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3c3ab6…
06-10 09:21:45	Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xd93d20…
06-10 09:11:25	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xf557fd…
06-10 08:43:49	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x026ef5…
06-01 03:50:24	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x85d1a7…
06-01 03:47:06	Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c5cdf…
05-19 17:24:13	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,250	3¢	$36	0x7481e6…
05-19 10:46:49	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$12	0x7f3d0c…
05-19 10:46:37	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xa6edbe…
05-19 10:46:28	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xabe9da…
05-19 10:18:16	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xa188e7…
05-19 07:36:18	Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	69	4¢	$3	0x546f5a…
05-17 13:26:18	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Spirit	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x0a91a6…
05-16 14:19:39	Counter-Strike: magic vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xacf0ce…
05-12 16:05:24	Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	B8	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x48f042…
05-11 15:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x3b4b92…
05-11 15:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x15ee31…
05-11 15:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb93f23…
05-11 14:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xeed402…
05-11 13:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x897177…
05-11 13:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb35a9c…
05-08 09:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2cc70a…
05-08 09:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdfce24…
05-08 09:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0110c7…
05-08 08:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0xcfade9…
05-08 08:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0b84ee…
05-08 08:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x99252e…
05-08 08:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x882c5b…
05-08 08:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0f4009…
05-08 08:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xddf87b…
05-07 16:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2abd6e…
05-07 16:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xadbb53…
05-07 16:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x475a39…
05-07 15:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc18f03…
05-07 15:28:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x665d77…
05-07 15:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2f3fd8…
05-07 14:38:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc11c71…
05-07 14:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x84e5dd…
05-07 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0db8a4…
05-07 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x781df8…
05-06 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf0315c…
05-06 16:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8be554…
05-06 15:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbab095…
05-06 15:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xd1602d…
05-06 15:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xc17fad…
05-06 15:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xde4bc1…
05-06 15:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x639c81…
05-06 14:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x93f67a…
05-06 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0xe162c5…
05-06 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x7ac35b…
05-06 14:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x47c974…
05-06 14:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x23d383…
05-06 14:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$1	0x820d59…
05-06 14:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe4dc80…
05-06 14:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x82fab1…
05-06 14:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x786c7c…
05-06 14:25:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x720451…
05-06 14:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x0443a4…
05-06 14:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xdcb226…
05-06 14:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xf6e4aa…
05-06 14:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x68eb64…
05-06 13:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe546ce…
05-06 13:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	46¢	$0	0x1c0b5c…
05-06 13:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x523e93…
05-06 13:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x572b54…
05-06 13:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe2e60b…
05-06 13:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe8f89e…
05-06 13:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x209e1c…
05-06 13:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x34ecc5…
05-06 13:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0be130…
05-06 12:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x59aabc…
05-06 12:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x370032…
05-06 12:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfce6df…
05-06 12:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xa5395e…
05-06 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x2ef2aa…
05-06 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x392d9b…
05-06 12:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x776ba6…
05-05 15:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x783a5f…