Realized P&L
+$10
Unrealized P&L
-$59
Hit rate
59.6%
Resolved
117
Trades
1,845
lifetime
Volume
$5.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$806
4 positions
First seen
2026-03-15
last 06-12 08:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Crypto
73% 47% +$4
Other
14% 100% +$6
Tech
12%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 346 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +1,866 $516 24¢ $457 $-59 06-12 08:25
Gemini 4.0 released by June 30, 2026? No -351 $-343 98¢ $-344 $-1 06-11 11:46
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +5 $3 64¢ $3 $-0 06-10 09:22
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? Yes +33 $2 $2 +$0 06-10 10:29