Realized P&L
-$22
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
53.1%
Resolved
197
Trades
572
lifetime
Volume
$457
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$12
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-21
last 10-02 21:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 72 days
Categories
Politics
56% 14% -$32
Other
36% 21% +$13
Sports
3% 23% -$2
Crypto
3% 40% -$2
Tech
2% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -5 -$2 39¢ $-2 $0 06-03 16:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -10 -$2 18¢ $-2 $0 06-03 16:11
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 09-01 17:13
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -1 -$1 82¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 16:11
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $0 2¢ $1 +$1 06-15 01:54
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $1 $0 09-09 02:34
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +215 $1 0¢ $1 $0 08-13 08:09
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $1 +$0 07-02 14:04
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 08-29 19:27
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 9¢ $0 $0 09-02 15:14
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-06 15:36
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +205 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 09-02 23:15
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +50 $0 1¢ $0 $0 06-08 08:16
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 08-28 10:40
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +105 $0 0¢ $0 $0 09-10 21:47
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +50 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-27 05:20
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-26 04:25
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 06-18 02:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583 Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 08-30 21:41