Rude-Aftershock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

67.1%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$9.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-19 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

68% 71% -$4

Crypto

12% 92% +$40

Politics

9% 78% -$82

Pop-Culture

9% 67% +$6

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No		+10	$10	99¢	$10	+$0	07-07 07:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	3	$699	512	205	+307	Yes	+$6	05-11 12:18
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	2	$601	309	309	+0	No	+$1	05-06 09:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$600	300	300	+0	No	$0	05-16 12:21
cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	2	$500	1,000	1,000	+0	Purdue Boilermakers	+$0	03-21 18:01
will iran strike uae in march	2	$481	246	246	+0	Yes	+$1	03-02 05:31
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$406	222	222	+0	open	—	05-10 12:37
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	4	$400	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-29 15:25
penguin listed on binance by march 31	3	$356	208	208	+0	No	+$36	02-07 15:03
will axiom be accused of insider trading	7	$348	200	200	+0	Yes	+$1	02-25 11:41
clavicular charged by jan 31	3	$322	164	164	+0	No	+$2	01-26 07:55
Will MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30?	1	$214	214	0	+214	Yes	+$0	04-03 11:37
will trove refund ico participants 412	2	$207	114	114	+0	No	+$7	01-26 07:53
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 200 219	2	$201	101	101	+0	No	+$1	02-16 17:31
will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	1	$200	200	0	+200	Yes	+$0	02-19 13:35
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-29 15:34
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 500 519	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-30 10:04
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-31 09:36
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-26 06:36
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-31 17:11
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	2	$198	99	99	+0	No	$0	03-31 17:09
will leavitt say hezbollah or hamas during the next white house press briefing	1	$188	188	0	+188	Yes	+$0	03-25 18:58
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$188	188	0	+188	Yes	+$0	03-25 06:54
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$170	171	0	+171	Yes	+$1	03-26 15:44
will mrbeast hit 462 million subscribers by january 31	3	$137	127	26	+101	Yes	-$2	01-15 14:09
100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	06-20 12:44
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	2	$100	50	50	+0	No	+$0	05-09 17:28
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$100	100	0	+100	Yes	+$0	03-26 14:06
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	03-06 19:37
no release by march 1 585	1	$100	102	0	+102	No	+$2	02-26 10:44
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	1	$100	103	0	+103	No	+$3	02-25 11:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 10:41:10	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 shots lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x1df859…
07-14 21:01:31	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x093d00…
07-13 06:50:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x577a49…
07-13 06:49:22	world cup fastest goal in a final record broken 20260609182956386	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf70896…
07-13 06:06:20	world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x145305…
07-12 07:28:17	world cup highest scoring match record broken 20260608191032772	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x1539b9…
07-07 08:18:13	world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x1c3f8d…
07-07 08:11:40	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc95f81…
07-07 08:07:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x598d25…
07-07 07:58:35	Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x2809e9…
06-25 09:55:26	Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29420d…
06-25 09:54:20	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x94f5f7…
06-23 04:31:28	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x4398c2…
06-20 12:44:59	100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf5d625…
06-18 02:44:38	Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x424397…
06-17 14:46:56	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x77fc85…
06-17 14:44:16	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xbb5227…
05-16 12:21:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0xe681b6…
05-15 10:14:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x5517a0…
05-15 09:18:40	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x5ef3b2…
05-11 12:18:35	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	307	98¢	$300	0xa53a15…
05-10 12:38:22	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	205	97¢	$199	0xdf1026…
05-10 12:38:05	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x7c26a9…
05-10 12:37:14	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	222	93¢	$206	0xbbe8ed…
05-09 17:30:40	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x5214e6…
05-09 17:28:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x31f3c9…
05-09 09:36:48	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf13ac9…
05-08 12:21:49	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1480d4…
05-08 12:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5779a…
05-07 11:54:54	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x439cd5…
05-06 09:46:08	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x716c40…
05-06 09:42:52	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	41	99¢	$40	0xcdf717…
05-06 09:38:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	309	98¢	$301	0xed3c46…
04-30 10:16:44	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	309	97¢	$300	0x8f4221…
04-03 11:37:45	Will MrBeast hit 475 million subscribers by April 30?	Yes	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0xd612e6…
03-31 17:28:43	ethereum above 1700 on april 1	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x13dce2…
03-31 17:11:15	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x04e504…
03-31 17:11:09	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa51615…
03-31 17:09:03	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x00b9d5…
03-31 17:08:57	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 580plus	No	BUY	99	100¢	$99	0x3abcd7…
03-31 09:36:21	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4472c8…
03-30 10:05:54	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4568c1…
03-30 10:04:10	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 500 519	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1171a4…
03-30 07:08:36	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 500 519	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x54456e…
03-29 15:34:28	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe0c696…
03-29 15:26:22	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8ded2a…
03-29 15:25:18	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x458df8…
03-29 12:21:06	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x029be4…
03-29 12:18:12	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x04add1…
03-29 11:52:22	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 165 189	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3068cc…
03-28 11:57:49	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0x30a0b8…
03-28 11:57:37	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8585a2…
03-27 04:01:59	will penguin reach 200m in q1	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3b039a…
03-27 04:00:09	will penguin reach 200m in q1	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x3ca4ca…
03-27 03:58:27	will penguin reach 200m in q1	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x339c5b…
03-27 03:58:03	Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x76d4e2…
03-27 03:57:53	Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x458ed7…
03-27 03:57:43	will penguin reach 800m in q1	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x3bafe3…
03-26 17:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 17:45 UTC	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe039f3…
03-26 16:39:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 16:35 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x140999…
03-26 15:44:11	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xf864a4…
03-26 14:06:17	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6da14e…
03-26 07:11:15	Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x36a4bd…
03-26 06:36:31	will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5de68e…
03-25 18:58:43	will leavitt say hezbollah or hamas during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x16fb27…
03-25 06:54:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	188	100¢	$188	0x4fb562…
03-21 18:17:41	will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x418102…
03-21 18:17:23	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x89b66a…
03-21 18:01:07	cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	Miami Hurricanes	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0xc6dbf3…
03-21 14:56:23	cbb mia pur 2026 03 22	Miami Hurricanes	BUY	1,000	25¢	$250	0xa3aa7e…
03-08 06:09:25	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xf39aa6…
03-07 11:17:45	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x285908…
03-07 11:16:47	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 0 39	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x6ceb80…
03-06 19:37:21	Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd2296f…
03-06 19:34:01	elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 0 39	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d2250…
03-06 16:45:21	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8626ac…
03-06 16:37:09	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x83562b…
03-06 16:36:57	Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x911c26…
03-06 07:34:11	Opinion FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xdbb34c…
03-04 16:38:19	will leavitt say iran during the next white house press briefing	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x8bfcfb…
03-02 11:00:53	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	32	48¢	$15	0x9724b4…
03-02 10:55:55	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x374ef4…
03-02 05:31:37	will iran strike uae in march	Yes	SELL	246	98¢	$241	0x8e064b…
03-02 05:26:35	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	22	85¢	$19	0xfc7f7d…
03-02 05:23:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	110	0¢	$0	0xbc383b…
03-01 18:38:45	will donald trump say board of peace on truth social this week	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x8f46b4…
03-01 11:29:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	51	46¢	$24	0xe3c60c…
03-01 10:16:47	will iran strike uae in march	Yes	BUY	246	97¢	$240	0xe28112…
03-01 10:00:07	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xc72a00…
03-01 09:56:33	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x8977e2…
03-01 04:49:43	iran strike on us military by february 28	Yes	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xf74bf2…
02-28 13:42:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0xc0b95e…
02-28 13:12:45	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xdb57ed…
02-27 14:41:29	will apple announce the iphone 17e by february 28	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x548b41…
02-26 10:44:02	no release by march 1 585	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x4b806c…
02-25 11:50:20	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 40 64	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa1bbbf…
02-25 11:41:20	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x1f01d0…
02-25 11:29:10	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xce76ab…
02-24 19:04:22	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0x75c6f9…
02-24 18:54:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 18:50 UTC	Down	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0x633eef…