Fortunate-Income — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$9.08K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-14 18:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 83% +$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	open	—	05-16 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$361	264	264	+0	open	—	05-16 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$300	384	0	+384	open	—	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	open	—	05-17 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$221	181	72	+109	open	—	05-17 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$150	178	0	+178	open	—	05-16 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$130	241	0	+241	open	—	05-16 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$130	134	0	+134	open	—	05-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	05-17 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	05-17 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	05-16 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$100	491	0	+491	open	—	05-16 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-17 02:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$100	113	0	+113	open	—	05-17 04:54
btc updown 5m 1781468700	1	$100	135	0	+135	open	—	06-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$100	138	0	+138	open	—	05-17 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$100	164	0	+164	open	—	05-17 02:49
btc updown 5m 1781320200	1	$100	109	0	+109	open	—	06-13 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$100	127	0	+127	open	—	05-15 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$100	141	0	+141	open	—	05-16 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$100	134	0	+134	open	—	05-18 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$100	147	0	+147	open	—	05-17 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$100	150	0	+150	open	—	05-16 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	05-18 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$100	136	0	+136	open	—	05-17 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$100	160	0	+160	open	—	05-16 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	05-14 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$100	116	0	+116	open	—	05-17 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	1	$100	121	0	+121	Up	+$21	05-13 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 20:29:19	btc updown 5m 1781468700	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x022a02…
06-14 18:06:57	btc updown 5m 1781460300	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x19a229…
06-14 13:02:42	btc updown 5m 1781442000	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa711e8…
06-14 12:07:06	btc updown 5m 1781438700	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc97453…
06-13 11:09:10	btc updown 5m 1781348700	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x22d791…
06-13 11:07:45	btc updown 5m 1781348700	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xd3d879…
06-13 11:07:07	btc updown 5m 1781348700	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x95e925…
06-13 10:59:21	btc updown 5m 1781348100	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xf28018…
06-13 10:39:54	btc updown 5m 1781346900	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8edc88…
06-13 10:27:43	btc updown 5m 1781346300	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x86cd90…
06-13 10:24:46	btc updown 5m 1781346000	Up	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0xe88841…
06-13 10:22:16	btc updown 5m 1781346000	Up	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x8ed094…
06-13 10:19:31	btc updown 5m 1781345700	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x89ec58…
06-13 10:04:33	btc updown 5m 1781344800	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd35592…
06-13 09:34:34	btc updown 5m 1781343000	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x23f59f…
06-13 09:28:15	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Up	SELL	115	25¢	$29	0x82aff3…
06-13 09:27:07	btc updown 5m 1781342700	Up	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0x613b3b…
06-13 09:24:52	btc updown 5m 1781342400	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xe91928…
06-13 05:44:51	btc updown 5m 1781329200	Down	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x662241…
06-13 05:34:58	btc updown 5m 1781328600	Down	SELL	36	51¢	$19	0x54b388…
06-13 05:34:34	btc updown 5m 1781328600	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xf3ca42…
06-13 05:22:49	btc updown 5m 1781328000	Down	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x1b1275…
06-13 05:22:39	btc updown 5m 1781328000	Down	SELL	84	34¢	$28	0xd93e0a…
06-13 05:22:15	btc updown 5m 1781328000	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xef6542…
06-13 05:19:10	btc updown 5m 1781327700	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x14f142…
06-13 05:18:19	btc updown 5m 1781327700	Up	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0xb0575b…
06-13 05:17:54	btc updown 5m 1781327700	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfba4fa…
06-13 04:54:09	btc updown 5m 1781326200	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xea015f…
06-13 04:43:57	btc updown 5m 1781325600	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x7d58b5…
06-13 04:29:19	btc updown 5m 1781324700	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x7348fd…
06-13 04:24:54	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x1564c4…
06-13 04:24:33	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xe59512…
06-13 04:22:39	btc updown 5m 1781324400	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfe22a7…
06-13 03:54:24	btc updown 5m 1781322600	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4a1feb…
06-13 03:49:27	btc updown 5m 1781322300	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xb9020f…
06-13 03:44:36	btc updown 5m 1781322000	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x1f32a2…
06-13 03:39:18	btc updown 5m 1781321700	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xfb51d7…
06-13 03:14:39	btc updown 5m 1781320200	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x2fad42…
06-13 03:09:19	btc updown 5m 1781319900	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8bd8c4…
06-13 02:29:03	btc updown 5m 1781317500	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xcc1bcf…
06-13 02:23:24	btc updown 5m 1781317200	Up	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x64c277…
06-13 02:22:22	btc updown 5m 1781317200	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa9149d…
06-13 02:19:51	btc updown 5m 1781316900	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8d616d…
06-13 02:19:42	btc updown 5m 1781316900	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x2f28a8…
06-12 20:24:16	btc updown 5m 1781295600	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7d8bf5…
06-12 19:19:34	btc updown 5m 1781291700	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xa84c82…
06-12 17:04:51	btc updown 5m 1781283600	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xac8a6d…
05-20 05:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xc012d3…
05-20 05:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	325	6¢	$20	0xa44f75…
05-18 18:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xcd1a4a…
05-18 18:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x301336…
05-18 18:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xe68ccc…
05-18 18:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	114	1¢	$1	0x3da728…
05-18 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xdc0897…
05-18 18:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0x58bf50…
05-18 14:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	384	78¢	$300	0x6acf5e…
05-18 14:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xb85927…
05-18 07:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x210c9f…
05-18 01:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	590	3¢	$20	0xe4d1a6…
05-17 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xd6b95a…
05-17 21:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x483379…
05-17 19:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xc627db…
05-17 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8b5e26…
05-17 19:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xe771ee…
05-17 19:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x87bbe6…
05-17 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xd7cfa2…
05-17 17:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x2d646d…
05-17 17:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x1e9526…
05-17 17:09:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x05a22f…
05-17 04:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	113	89¢	$100	0xe9e370…
05-17 03:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x9c09fd…
05-17 02:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x5538e4…
05-17 02:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x6476ad…
05-17 02:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x6478b4…
05-17 02:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0x78b120…
05-17 02:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x17d31e…
05-17 01:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	138	73¢	$100	0xcae29b…
05-17 01:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x6aa158…
05-17 01:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	113	88¢	$100	0xf1ab3c…
05-17 01:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x843494…
05-17 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	73	2¢	$1	0x427bb4…
05-17 01:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	73	27¢	$20	0x04fb0f…
05-17 01:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	153	13¢	$20	0xf97661…
05-17 00:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0xbbf84b…
05-17 00:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xc53fba…
05-17 00:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xf13f3f…
05-17 00:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0x061701…
05-17 00:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x15a419…
05-17 00:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x87b726…
05-17 00:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x76b9d1…
05-17 00:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x07e237…
05-17 00:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xe6e5c7…
05-17 00:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xa67d53…
05-16 23:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0x97dd01…
05-16 23:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x183908…
05-16 23:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x937de7…
05-16 23:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x0b942e…
05-16 23:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x27b42d…
05-16 23:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0xb13f2c…
05-16 23:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0xc7a86b…