Fortunate-Income — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$258

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.3%

Resolved

196

Trades

245

lifetime

Volume

$10.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 06-21 06:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 70% +$290

Other

2% 0% -$32

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Up	+$5	05-16 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$361	264	264	+0	Up	+$161	05-16 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$300	384	0	+384	Down	-$300	05-18 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$300	303	0	+303	Down	+$3	05-17 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$221	181	72	+109	Down	-$79	05-17 00:56
Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	2	$176	536	536	+0	No	-$2	05-17 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	3	$150	178	0	+178	Up	+$28	05-16 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	1	$130	241	0	+241	Down	-$130	05-16 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$130	134	0	+134	Up	+$4	05-16 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$100	109	0	+109	Down	+$9	05-17 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$100	491	0	+491	Down	-$100	05-16 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	Up	+$25	05-16 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$100	125	0	+125	Up	+$25	05-17 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Up	+$11	05-17 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$100	164	0	+164	Down	+$64	05-17 02:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 20:25 UTC	1	$100	135	0	+135	Up	+$35	06-14 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Up	+$11	05-17 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 06:20 UTC	1	$100	435	0	+435	Up	-$100	06-21 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$100	138	0	+138	Up	+$38	05-17 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$100	113	0	+113	Up	+$13	05-17 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$100	134	0	+134	Up	-$100	05-18 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$100	150	0	+150	Up	+$50	05-16 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$100	141	0	+141	Up	-$100	05-16 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	2	$100	127	0	+127	Up	+$27	05-15 00:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 03:10 UTC	1	$100	109	0	+109	Down	+$9	06-13 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$100	147	0	+147	Down	+$47	05-17 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$100	136	0	+136	Up	+$36	05-17 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	05-18 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$100	160	0	+160	Up	-$9	05-16 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	1	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	05-14 16:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 06:22:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xf88299…
06-19 14:57:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 14:55 UTC	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x69c5ce…
06-19 07:59:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb867dc…
06-19 07:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	64	39¢	$25	0xdc0afe…
06-19 07:44:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 07:40 UTC	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0xca941c…
06-19 02:59:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xae54b4…
06-19 02:03:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x6745df…
06-19 01:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	58	85¢	$50	0x28dc89…
06-18 19:19:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0xe19257…
06-18 18:32:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x109573…
06-18 18:30:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x25107d…
06-17 19:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:45 UTC	Down	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x8eb8c7…
06-16 20:24:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xaaebb4…
06-16 18:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x8d6d98…
06-16 18:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x63b422…
06-16 18:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x572aee…
06-16 18:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x04c221…
06-16 18:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x02ab07…
06-16 18:44:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x9ec501…
06-16 18:34:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	77	33¢	$25	0x179332…
06-16 18:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0x576bef…
06-16 18:29:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:25 UTC	Up	SELL	17	28¢	$5	0x4b32ff…
06-16 18:29:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfbdb12…
06-16 18:14:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:10 UTC	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x59fe7d…
06-16 18:06:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:05 UTC	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x11186d…
06-14 20:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 20:25 UTC	Up	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x022a02…
06-14 18:06:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 18:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x19a229…
06-14 13:02:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa711e8…
06-14 12:07:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 12:05 UTC	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xc97453…
06-14 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x432226…
06-13 11:09:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:05 UTC	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x22d791…
06-13 11:07:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:05 UTC	Up	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xd3d879…
06-13 11:07:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x95e925…
06-13 10:59:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xf28018…
06-13 10:39:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x8edc88…
06-13 10:27:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x86cd90…
06-13 10:24:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	SELL	23	8¢	$2	0xe88841…
06-13 10:22:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:20 UTC	Up	BUY	23	19¢	$4	0x8ed094…
06-13 10:19:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x89ec58…
06-13 10:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd35592…
06-13 09:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x3405aa…
06-13 09:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x23f59f…
06-13 09:28:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:25 UTC	Up	SELL	115	25¢	$29	0x82aff3…
06-13 09:27:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:25 UTC	Up	BUY	115	22¢	$25	0x613b3b…
06-13 09:24:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xe91928…
06-13 05:44:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	16	83¢	$13	0x662241…
06-13 05:34:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:30 UTC	Down	SELL	36	51¢	$19	0x54b388…
06-13 05:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xf3ca42…
06-13 05:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x713771…
06-13 05:22:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	13	34¢	$4	0x1b1275…
06-13 05:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:20 UTC	Down	SELL	84	34¢	$28	0xd93e0a…
06-13 05:22:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0xef6542…
06-13 05:19:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x14f142…
06-13 05:18:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC	Up	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0xb0575b…
06-13 05:17:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xfba4fa…
06-13 05:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xa938d7…
06-13 04:54:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:50 UTC	Down	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xea015f…
06-13 04:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x2ca175…
06-13 04:43:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:40 UTC	Up	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x7d58b5…
06-13 04:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x7348fd…
06-13 04:24:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	28	88¢	$25	0x1564c4…
06-13 04:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:20 UTC	Down	SELL	25	35¢	$9	0xe59512…
06-13 04:22:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xfe22a7…
06-13 04:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x52c9ba…
06-13 03:54:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4a1feb…
06-13 03:49:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 03:45 UTC	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xb9020f…
06-13 03:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 03:40 UTC	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x1f32a2…
06-13 03:39:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 03:35 UTC	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0xfb51d7…
06-13 03:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	80¢	$25	0x791744…
06-13 03:14:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x2fad42…
06-13 03:09:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x8bd8c4…
06-13 02:29:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0xcc1bcf…
06-13 02:23:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:20 UTC	Up	SELL	24	24¢	$6	0x64c277…
06-13 02:22:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa9149d…
06-13 02:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	92¢	$25	0x8d616d…
06-13 02:19:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x2f28a8…
06-12 20:24:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 20:20 UTC	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x7d8bf5…
06-12 19:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0xa84c82…
06-12 18:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x37ad36…
06-12 18:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x2f4a5a…
06-12 17:04:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xac8a6d…
05-20 11:10:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on May 20?	Yes	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x7ad747…
05-20 05:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xc012d3…
05-20 05:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	325	6¢	$20	0xa44f75…
05-18 18:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xcd1a4a…
05-18 18:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x301336…
05-18 18:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xe68ccc…
05-18 18:34:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	114	1¢	$1	0x3da728…
05-18 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xdc0897…
05-18 18:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	134	37¢	$50	0x58bf50…
05-18 14:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	384	78¢	$300	0x6acf5e…
05-18 14:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0xb85927…
05-18 07:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x210c9f…
05-18 01:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	590	3¢	$20	0xe4d1a6…
05-17 21:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0xd6b95a…
05-17 21:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x483379…
05-17 21:39:48	Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 PGA Championship?	Yes	SELL	536	16¢	$87	0x1dfd23…
05-17 19:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xc627db…
05-17 19:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x8b5e26…
05-17 19:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	303	99¢	$300	0xe771ee…