Hard-Exterior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$88

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down		+6	$6	62¢	$4	$-2	05-05 20:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x02b976…
05-05 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$6	0x818d5a…
05-05 17:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0eee32…
05-05 15:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xfaa238…
05-05 14:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0xb26496…
05-05 14:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x20caae…
05-05 14:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcc6455…
05-05 01:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x0c818d…
05-05 00:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xa0cdbd…
05-05 00:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x873855…
05-05 00:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x216ab6…
05-04 22:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x97b392…
05-04 22:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x6af69a…
05-04 21:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0xc2d1c5…
05-04 21:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb622ee…
05-04 20:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4d981f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	16	$933	50	05-05 20:35
Nice-Prejudice 0xfb0f…0b02	14	$1.05K	199	05-05 20:39
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	13	$524	44	05-05 17:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	12	$2.40K	68	05-05 20:39
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	12	$733	65	05-05 17:49
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	12	$684	31	05-05 20:39
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	11	$1.41K	22	05-05 17:44
Ignorant-Cruise 0x0763…dc47	11	$920	47	05-05 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Down	+$0	05-04 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	Up	+$0	05-04 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-05 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	6	+6	open	—	05-05 14:34