Grand-Jellybeans — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

1,226

Trades

2,518

lifetime

Volume

$15.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 05-24 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 86% -$15

Politics

9% 40% -$32

Tech

3% 0% -$13

Other

2% 0% -$3

Sports

0% 50% -$19

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-24).

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	20	$580	577	577	+0	Yes	+$1	05-23 16:48
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	19	$433	478	478	+0	No	+$4	05-22 21:59
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	10	$408	357	357	+0	Yes	-$13	05-22 20:24
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	15	$215	215	215	+0	open	—	05-22 11:28
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	9	$183	218	218	+0	No	-$20	05-23 04:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	7	$105	103	103	+0	No	-$12	05-20 13:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 18:00 UTC	7	$41	43	0	+43	Up	+$2	03-17 18:14
Thunder vs. Spurs	2	$41	37	37	+0	Spurs	+$1	05-24 15:24
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	2	$37	50	50	+0	open	—	05-22 01:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	2	$34	148	148	+0	Yes	-$4	05-23 04:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 17:45 UTC	6	$33	38	0	+38	Up	+$5	03-17 17:59
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$20	36	0	+36	Knicks	-$20	05-23 17:16
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 04:00 UTC	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	03-08 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 18:00 UTC	3	$18	12	6	+6	Down	+$0	03-09 18:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 06:15 UTC	3	$18	12	6	+6	Up	+$1	03-17 06:29
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-07 10:15 UTC	3	$18	12	6	+6	Down	+$1	03-07 10:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 17:00 UTC	3	$17	13	6	+7	Up	-$5	03-17 17:15
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 04:15 UTC	2	$14	11	11	+0	Up	-$5	03-08 04:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 04:00 UTC	2	$14	10	10	+0	Up	-$6	03-08 04:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:40 UTC	3	$14	15	7	+8	Up	+$1	03-06 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:10 UTC	3	$13	14	7	+7	Up	+$0	03-06 14:14
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 13:35 UTC	3	$13	14	7	+7	Down	+$0	03-06 13:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 14:50 UTC	3	$13	14	7	+7	Down	+$0	03-06 14:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-08 04:15 UTC	2	$13	11	11	+0	Up	-$6	03-08 04:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-11 12:30 UTC	2	$13	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	03-11 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 08:00 UTC	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	03-10 08:04
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:45 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	03-09 12:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:30 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	03-09 03:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-10 17:15 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	03-10 17:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-18 11:30 UTC	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	03-18 11:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:24:53	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	37	56¢	$21	0xfca995…
05-23 17:16:42	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x79edb9…
05-23 17:16:29	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x6a16d6…
05-23 17:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9e6e5d…
05-23 17:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x10a718…
05-23 16:48:28	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe785a5…
05-23 16:29:04	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x354992…
05-23 15:52:15	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0xbec894…
05-23 15:51:46	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	58¢	$29	0x8f784e…
05-23 13:46:07	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x8ed4db…
05-23 13:03:49	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0xbe8cba…
05-23 10:34:08	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	58	39¢	$23	0xbf83e1…
05-23 10:12:02	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	58	42¢	$24	0x8a1540…
05-23 04:12:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	SELL	75	78¢	$58	0x4e879b…
05-23 04:12:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	32	82¢	$26	0xed4b4c…
05-23 04:12:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	Yes	BUY	43	82¢	$35	0xc893ef…
05-23 04:12:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x91f2ea…
05-23 04:11:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	92	16¢	$15	0xc8dd95…
05-23 04:11:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	40	16¢	$6	0x74f7c9…
05-23 04:11:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x4ce292…
05-23 04:11:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x86bc27…
05-23 04:10:44	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?	No	BUY	142	28¢	$40	0x8ef103…
05-23 04:01:19	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	SELL	148	10¢	$15	0x76c1bf…
05-23 03:37:19	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	76	44¢	$33	0x43f1c6…
05-23 03:37:19	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	18	44¢	$8	0x04de14…
05-23 03:33:09	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	No	BUY	148	13¢	$19	0xecb0fa…
05-23 03:02:40	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	94	43¢	$40	0xec16a0…
05-23 01:30:35	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	79	44¢	$35	0xc27885…
05-23 00:27:37	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	79	43¢	$34	0x156c4d…
05-23 00:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd605cf…
05-23 00:15:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x5ee5fe…
05-23 00:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xcc60d3…
05-23 00:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	298	0¢	$0	0x467a55…
05-23 00:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	288	0¢	$0	0x3877f3…
05-23 00:14:45	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	355	0¢	$0	0xa25411…
05-23 00:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x36491b…
05-23 00:14:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	122	0¢	$0	0xf678db…
05-23 00:14:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on May 23?	Yes	BUY	67	2¢	$1	0x7923b4…
05-23 00:14:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 48-49°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0x1db0fd…
05-23 00:14:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 24?	Yes	BUY	127	0¢	$0	0xae03eb…
05-22 21:59:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	109	23¢	$25	0x3e5739…
05-22 21:49:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x98af1c…
05-22 21:49:44	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x436a08…
05-22 21:49:09	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x958d5e…
05-22 21:49:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x761c71…
05-22 21:48:57	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0xe0dee3…
05-22 21:48:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xdfe61f…
05-22 20:24:24	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0xcc6342…
05-22 16:39:15	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0xb9d486…
05-22 16:21:40	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0x39cbcd…
05-22 11:28:12	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	21	51¢	$11	0x374fa8…
05-22 11:28:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	22¢	$25	0x58006a…
05-22 11:22:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xfb9452…
05-22 11:22:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	87	78¢	$68	0xfb9452…
05-22 11:16:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	78¢	$7	0x941fd9…
05-22 10:08:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x7fe771…
05-22 09:48:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0xfe13f8…
05-22 08:48:22	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	47	53¢	$25	0x722615…
05-22 08:46:10	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	SELL	96	53¢	$51	0x91d80f…
05-22 08:45:42	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	No	BUY	143	59¢	$84	0x3f86a9…
05-22 08:40:54	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	60	55¢	$33	0x291a79…
05-22 08:40:08	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xab4638…
05-22 08:25:38	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0xdc817a…
05-22 07:32:19	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	32	53¢	$17	0x0bb010…
05-22 07:22:49	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xa33aee…
05-22 07:22:49	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x837635…
05-22 07:20:55	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xf0c7b9…
05-22 07:17:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	53¢	$10	0x5cf98e…
05-22 07:17:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x3a77e2…
05-22 07:17:01	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x58f4a7…
05-22 07:11:16	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x75a53a…
05-22 06:42:37	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xaf4ebb…
05-22 06:38:45	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0xb260b1…
05-22 06:34:36	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	94	52¢	$49	0x723f5e…
05-22 06:11:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	100	47¢	$47	0x137f63…
05-22 05:36:25	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x14a12a…
05-22 03:21:17	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	SELL	97	63¢	$61	0x2137a6…
05-22 03:14:15	Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?	Yes	BUY	97	66¢	$64	0xad6a0d…
05-22 01:48:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xef090c…
05-21 21:47:25	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x16d39d…
05-21 17:19:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	26¢	$7	0xdcf6de…
05-21 17:18:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x8dd488…
05-21 17:18:05	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	77¢	$67	0x46c2bc…
05-21 17:17:23	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x65610f…
05-21 17:17:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xb12b8b…
05-21 17:17:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xfbe581…
05-20 18:38:13	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	115	55¢	$63	0x5ccafc…
05-20 18:35:38	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	115	54¢	$62	0xf5cb0d…
05-20 13:26:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	23	55¢	$13	0x4cb5ab…
05-20 13:20:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xc17399…
05-20 13:19:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	No	BUY	53	65¢	$34	0x0fab73…
05-20 13:19:43	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	35	34¢	$12	0xb5ed5e…
05-20 13:19:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xfbbd09…
05-20 13:18:05	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x7a7480…
05-20 13:14:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x3bd963…
05-19 17:36:59	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	73	55¢	$40	0x350853…
05-19 17:36:47	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x53854f…
05-19 17:36:22	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0xd593e6…
05-19 15:54:35	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	50	55¢	$28	0x5490e6…
05-19 15:54:10	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	50	54¢	$27	0x9b8928…