Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
76.6%
Resolved
11
Trades
26
lifetime
Volume
$164
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 02-01 12:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
89%
44%
+$28
Other
11%
100%
+$4
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-01).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | 6 | $74 | 50 | 50 | +0 | No | +$14 | 02-01 12:05 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026 | 5 | $22 | 25 | 25 | +0 | Yes | -$4 | 01-09 00:50 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | 3 | $19 | 43 | 0 | +43 | Yes | +$24 | 01-14 08:49 |
| israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453 | 2 | $12 | 7 | 7 | +0 | No | +$2 | 02-01 12:06 |
| maduro mugshot released by monday | 2 | $10 | 6 | 6 | +0 | No | +$2 | 01-06 06:38 |
| will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31 | 2 | $9 | 14 | 14 | +0 | Yes | -$2 | 01-15 07:18 |
| us strike on nigeria by january 31 2026 | 2 | $7 | 6 | 6 | +0 | No | +$1 | 01-03 01:16 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026 | 1 | $5 | 31 | 0 | +31 | No | -$5 | 01-07 01:15 |
| us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165 | 1 | $3 | 6 | 0 | +6 | No | +$3 | 01-15 07:19 |
| will israel strike lebanon on january 6 2026 | 1 | $2 | 12 | 0 | +12 | Yes | -$2 | 01-06 03:45 |
| russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026 | 1 | $1 | 26 | 0 | +26 | No | -$1 | 01-12 07:07 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||