(anonymous) 0x15a09a…02ea83
6L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
52.1%
Resolved
17
Trades
80
lifetime
Volume
$157
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$43
23 positions
First seen
2026-10-25
last 11-01 10:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Politics
61% 38% +$7
Other
26% 25% +$0
Crypto
7% 0% -$11
Sports
5% 33% -$1
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +12 $8 72¢ $8 +$0 10-31 17:43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +26 $7 22¢ $6 -$1 10-28 18:30
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +7 $5 72¢ $5 +$0 11-01 10:35
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +10 $5 37¢ $4 -$1 10-27 21:27
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +9 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 10-26 00:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 $0 11-01 10:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +6 $2 29¢ $2 $0 10-28 18:31
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +2 $1 71¢ $2 +$0 10-26 09:30
Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.65% before 2027? Yes +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 10-26 00:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +2 $1 72¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:57
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes +1 $1 76¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:57
Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1 $1 84¢ $1 +$0 10-26 00:44
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 10-28 12:54
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $0 10-29 14:46
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 $0 10-26 05:03
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +6 $1 16¢ $1 $0 10-26 00:44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $0 10-28 12:51
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-28 12:52
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +14 $1 5¢ $1 $0 10-28 12:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes +111 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-28 18:30
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes +12 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-28 18:30
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +4 -$2 12¢ $0 +$2 10-26 09:31
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? Yes +3 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 10-25 12:51