Agile-Homework — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-29 14:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$2

Crypto

22% — —

Sports

8% 50% $-0

Politics

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	+2	$2	84¢	$2	+$0	06-29 14:24
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	+1	$1	80¢	$1	+$0	06-29 12:15
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	+2	$1	52¢	$1	$-0	06-11 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 14:24:22	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6fe62d…
06-29 14:24:20	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x4f9295…
06-29 14:24:19	israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x928293…
06-29 12:15:05	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd0353b…
06-11 11:24:06	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf49f0…
06-11 10:37:28	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x458c15…
06-11 08:51:07	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xed1f69…
06-08 14:50:33	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xaceada…
05-15 10:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x90d761…
05-15 08:17:30	Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)	CD Castellón	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2d158c…
05-13 18:05:11	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	Over	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xcd12c3…
05-13 07:27:20	Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xba0450…
05-07 06:31:18	O/U 1.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x27b1c7…
03-27 10:44:41	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x773aa6…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	4	$11	11	9	+2	open	—	06-11 11:24
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-27 10:44
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-29 14:24
Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Under	+$2	05-13 07:27
Spread: CD Castellón (-1.5)	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 08:17
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5	1	$1	2	0	+2	Under	$-1	05-13 18:05
O/U 1.5 Rounds	1	$1	2	0	+2	Over	+$1	05-07 06:31
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-29 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 10:32
israel withdraws from lebanon by september 30 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-29 14:24