Illustrious-Mother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$564

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.7%

Resolved

1,153

Trades

2,093

lifetime

Volume

$71.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-20 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Other

57% 72% -$40

Crypto

29% 97% -$377

Politics

12% 30% -$143

Sports

2% 0% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-20).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
netanyahu out by march 31 854	171	$14.6K	14,869	14,869	+0	No	-$9	03-18 12:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	73	$8.1K	6,363	6,363	+0	No	-$11	03-18 12:19
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	18	$1.5K	1,230	1,230	+0	No	-$24	03-16 00:26
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	74	$1.3K	1,050	1,050	+0	No	-$4	03-18 11:04
spx up or down on march 10 2026	6	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	Down	+$113	03-10 21:53
will trump visit china by march 31	17	$1.1K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	-$3	03-16 22:31
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	46	$1.1K	859	859	+0	No	-$2	03-16 02:29
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	68	$1.1K	933	1,298	-365	Yes	-$187	03-15 23:02
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 spread home 1pt5	20	$1.0K	1,047	1,047	+0	Howard Bison	-$6	03-17 21:15
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	46	$927	870	970	-100	Yes	+$48	03-15 22:59
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	24	$831	823	823	+0	No	-$4	03-18 12:26
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	12	$821	981	981	+0	No	-$23	03-17 16:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	6	$742	600	600	+0	No	+$2	03-17 09:26
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	8	$618	600	600	+0	Yes	+$2	03-13 17:17
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17 total 139pt5	4	$570	498	498	+0	Over	-$11	03-17 16:35
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	6	$543	400	400	+0	No	-$17	03-18 16:02
cbb ncst tx 2026 03 17	9	$505	765	765	+0	Texas Longhorns	-$15	03-18 03:17
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	13	$490	565	565	+0	No	-$27	03-11 13:59
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$454	400	400	+0	No	-$6	03-14 13:03
will raja krishnamoorthi be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	4	$438	400	400	+0	No	+$6	03-17 20:36
will grgory doucet win the 2026 lyon mayoral election	6	$435	600	600	+0	Yes	-$44	03-16 16:50
will juliana stratton be the democratic nominee for senate in illinois	7	$433	433	433	+0	Yes	+$3	03-18 00:03
Iran leadership change by April 30?	6	$422	600	600	+0	No	-$6	03-11 21:09
will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	5	$415	263	263	+0	Yes	+$1	03-17 15:59
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	18	$401	459	459	+0	No	-$19	03-16 04:29
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	2	$389	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-12 23:48
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$383	200	200	+0	No	-$1	03-14 10:33
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	5	$380	400	400	+0	Yes	-$8	03-13 00:30
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	6	$362	251	251	+0	Howard Bison	+$15	03-17 23:57
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$358	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-17 22:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 15:31:58	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x66766a…
07-20 15:31:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 20?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xc65f6d…
07-20 15:31:51	ethereum above 1900 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xa59977…
07-20 03:50:39	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-20 00:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xd87837…
07-19 20:13:27	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x1caec0…
07-19 18:44:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x5a37ea…
07-19 17:57:42	solana up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x05f894…
07-19 17:57:37	ethereum up or down july 19 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x64499b…
07-19 16:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xccb575…
07-19 13:56:00	solana up or down july 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	24	98¢	$24	0xe36622…
07-19 13:55:55	bitcoin up or down july 19 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x823b42…
07-19 10:59:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xf93571…
07-19 02:29:57	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-19 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x5fd296…
07-18 21:43:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x768471…
07-18 20:58:46	ethereum up or down july 18 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xd4b1cc…
07-18 20:24:51	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:20 UTC	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4b89eb…
07-18 18:13:46	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 18:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xc1ba62…
07-18 17:55:18	solana up or down july 18 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0xdb29b1…
07-18 15:56:33	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-18 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x553e07…
07-18 04:56:15	bitcoin up or down july 18 2026 12am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3c9a9c…
07-17 22:19:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0fcb9a…
07-17 21:44:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd54170…
07-17 20:55:51	solana up or down july 17 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0xc85963…
07-17 18:28:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf582ea…
07-17 18:28:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xbb881b…
07-17 16:56:27	solana up or down july 17 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb39256…
07-17 15:44:52	XRP Up or Down - July 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x29402f…
07-17 11:13:40	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x53d141…
07-17 11:13:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5a3577…
07-17 09:43:55	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x944da3…
07-17 06:13:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0xe4e09d…
07-17 04:43:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 04:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xf06792…
07-17 04:04:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x1c4814…
07-17 02:58:15	bitcoin up or down july 16 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x5e8630…
07-17 02:24:12	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xef495f…
07-17 01:28:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xd3dc33…
07-17 01:28:15	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x8b1334…
07-17 01:28:12	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x7438d2…
07-16 22:58:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xd1b57b…
07-16 15:35:35	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 16?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xdd4ebf…
07-16 15:35:31	ethereum above 1900 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xaefcdc…
07-16 14:55:17	xrp up or down july 16 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x3bc629…
07-16 14:13:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe27cf8…
07-16 11:56:34	xrp up or down july 16 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xbad08c…
07-16 09:43:37	XRP Up or Down - July 16, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xce44f0…
07-16 08:43:25	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9f6c3e…
07-16 08:43:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x069f96…
07-16 02:55:50	bitcoin up or down july 15 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3a1843…
07-16 00:59:19	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x6bc548…
07-16 00:59:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-16 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa23216…
07-15 23:58:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb51342…
07-15 19:55:55	xrp up or down july 15 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x249f27…
07-15 15:32:25	solana up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x0aaf8b…
07-15 15:32:20	bitcoin up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x745cfd…
07-15 12:44:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb47faf…
07-15 12:09:32	DOGE Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc25139…
07-15 12:09:28	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x05a5f4…
07-15 10:58:35	ethereum up or down july 15 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x52f5b8…
07-15 10:43:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x02c407…
07-15 09:28:56	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xbd3ebc…
07-15 07:54:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x412308…
07-15 07:54:50	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe5b7aa…
07-15 07:34:38	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x001c73…
07-15 07:34:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xfd23e7…
07-14 23:55:31	xrp up or down july 14 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x499602…
07-14 23:43:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfb1079…
07-14 21:58:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xa6d597…
07-14 21:43:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4b301e…
07-14 21:43:19	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x5af290…
07-14 21:13:25	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 21:00 UTC	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xfaa251…
07-14 20:55:40	solana up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0xaae13b…
07-14 20:55:34	ethereum up or down july 14 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x049c4b…
07-14 19:52:56	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xa1d12e…
07-14 19:52:53	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x096ba1…
07-14 15:38:53	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x2ff071…
07-14 15:38:50	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on July 14?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xaf71dd…
07-14 15:38:47	xrp above 1pt1 on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xdb3186…
07-14 15:38:43	bitcoin above 64k on july 14 2026	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xbc92f7…
07-14 15:38:40	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x178f71…
07-14 15:38:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x496db1…
07-14 10:43:29	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x51da9b…
07-14 10:29:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x7b03cc…
07-14 07:51:35	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	52	95¢	$49	0x54fb66…
07-14 07:51:32	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-07-14 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x9e2d17…
07-14 06:59:52	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x21ab37…
07-14 02:58:43	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xed0f47…
07-14 02:58:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xadb854…
07-14 02:58:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdb2ec1…
07-14 02:58:29	ethereum up or down july 13 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x9609e1…
07-14 01:43:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-14 01:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xed385c…
07-13 22:57:13	solana up or down july 13 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x2e937a…
07-13 22:56:52	solana up or down july 13 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0xbfa007…
07-13 21:13:10	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 21:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x28463b…
07-13 18:59:01	Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xea566f…
07-13 16:59:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 16:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb8105f…
07-13 16:44:29	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xde651b…
07-13 15:39:41	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 13?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x0d2c9a…
07-13 15:28:11	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xcaabf5…
07-13 15:28:08	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe0ede2…
07-13 13:09:11	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:05 UTC	Up	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xcf3dff…