Awful-Phrasing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

219

lifetime

Volume

$2.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$88

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 06-12 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 44% $-48

Politics

34% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No		+100	$54	55¢	$55	+$1	06-11 20:23
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No		+66	$37	50¢	$33	$-4	06-11 20:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	3	$247	261	161	+100	open	—	06-11 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	9	$140	137	137	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 19:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	2	$126	77	77	+0	open	—	06-07 22:23
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	3	$94	61	61	+0	open	—	05-31 20:15
xrp updown 15m 1770075000	3	$84	108	106	+2	open	—	02-02 23:33
eth updown 15m 1769903100	4	$75	85	84	+0	open	—	01-31 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$74	71	71	+0	Down	+$24	05-08 19:39
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$70	147	0	+147	open	—	06-07 22:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$67	39	39	+0	open	—	05-31 20:15
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	1	$60	76	0	+76	open	—	06-07 22:35
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	3	$59	35	35	+0	open	—	06-07 22:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$58	41	41	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$56	161	36	+125	Down	$-4	05-08 05:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$54	36	36	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 19:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	2	$49	57	57	+0	Up	$-1	05-08 05:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$48	32	32	+0	Down	$-2	05-08 05:36
nhl mon buf 2026 01 31	2	$45	31	31	+0	open	—	02-01 03:37
ethereum up or down february 2 6pm et	3	$42	38	38	+0	open	—	02-02 23:06
will israel strike gaza on february 1 2026	4	$40	43	43	+0	open	—	01-31 20:41
solana above 110 on february 1	3	$38	39	39	+0	open	—	02-01 03:57
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$37	66	0	+66	open	—	06-11 20:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	7	$35	73	0	+73	Up	+$38	05-08 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$35	50	0	+50	Up	+$15	05-08 19:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$33	24	24	+0	Up	+$13	05-08 05:29
eth updown 15m 1769908500	5	$32	35	18	+17	open	—	02-01 01:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	1	$31	38	0	+38	open	—	05-23 22:59
eth updown 15m 1769917500	2	$31	56	55	+1	open	—	02-01 03:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$31	148	48	+100	Down	$-1	05-11 19:54
eth updown 15m 1769985900	5	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	02-01 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$30	74	0	+74	Down	$-30	05-08 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 03:31:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0xba2fcd…
06-12 03:29:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	No	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x3bdf40…
06-11 20:26:54	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	66	56¢	$37	0x7d1aca…
06-11 20:23:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x3b03a0…
06-11 20:23:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	161	60¢	$97	0xf6fada…
06-11 19:40:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	161	56¢	$90	0x51ecca…
06-07 22:35:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xddc4f3…
06-07 22:35:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0xcd2adf…
06-07 22:23:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	SELL	77	98¢	$76	0x5f0e5f…
06-07 22:23:09	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0x077180…
05-31 20:18:43	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	36	79¢	$28	0x990b7f…
05-31 20:16:27	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	No	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x395bff…
05-31 20:16:16	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?	No	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xb223f6…
05-31 20:15:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	61	98¢	$60	0x1347b1…
05-31 20:15:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x6bee48…
05-29 18:00:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	54¢	$28	0x1e8384…
05-28 21:57:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x252cd2…
05-28 21:55:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6efbd6…
05-27 04:05:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39	74¢	$29	0xb15ea1…
05-24 19:46:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xa73ca3…
05-23 22:59:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	38	81¢	$31	0x414be2…
05-11 20:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3dddc4…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd7a4bb…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd07025…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xb18c30…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0xaa70e5…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x897a3b…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x6c11f1…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4c076c…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x31d07a…
05-11 20:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x053831…
05-11 19:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf6332…
05-11 19:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	48	31¢	$15	0x796762…
05-11 19:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x70644b…
05-11 19:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x57562d…
05-11 19:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x30ab39…
05-11 19:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	30	81¢	$24	0x9c7b40…
05-11 19:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe7d35f…
05-11 19:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x4f646e…
05-11 19:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf7e5bd…
05-11 19:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0x08c359…
05-11 19:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0xdcf89a…
05-11 19:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	62	40¢	$25	0xf86325…
05-11 19:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8b4cfc…
05-11 19:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x2ec429…
05-11 19:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	76	7¢	$5	0x47a946…
05-11 19:41:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0x547d8d…
05-11 19:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x432e6e…
05-11 19:37:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x71d2bc…
05-11 19:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xde5408…
05-08 20:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	66	37¢	$24	0x0ebae9…
05-08 20:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x0184ce…
05-08 20:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x0170b5…
05-08 20:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x02c343…
05-08 19:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xd62d67…
05-08 19:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x39aa01…
05-08 19:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9f2851…
05-08 19:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x87879a…
05-08 19:49:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x79a5c4…
05-08 19:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	36	76¢	$27	0x09b9c4…
05-08 19:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	72¢	$26	0xe8d7fe…
05-08 19:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xbc7f77…
05-08 19:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	71	69¢	$49	0xdffcdd…
05-08 19:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x4b3083…
05-08 19:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0xaf14df…
05-08 06:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	41	80¢	$33	0x4e9d15…
05-08 06:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0x26137b…
05-08 05:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x3169f4…
05-08 05:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	36	72¢	$26	0x5d4064…
05-08 05:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0x9e15fb…
05-08 05:36:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	32	71¢	$23	0xdc86b7…
05-08 05:36:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xe6ff4c…
05-08 05:29:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	24	96¢	$23	0x826991…
05-08 05:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xadaf84…
05-08 05:28:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x356d43…
05-08 05:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xfdd6cc…
05-08 05:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x6fde5d…
05-08 05:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa4bcfb…
05-08 05:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe6b7a7…
05-08 05:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x9efdb2…
05-08 05:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9d3e2e…
05-08 05:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe580ad…
05-08 05:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xec69e8…
05-08 05:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xe44a52…
05-08 05:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe80cc6…
05-08 05:06:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1f1696…
05-08 05:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc83cda…
05-08 05:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9a05ad…
05-08 05:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	57	43¢	$24	0x674457…
05-08 05:02:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xbbaf70…
05-08 04:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x82fa3f…
05-08 04:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x4ae377…
05-08 04:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x473463…
05-08 04:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcd8292…
05-08 04:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x46542a…
05-08 04:54:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa08d95…
05-08 04:53:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	416	1¢	$5	0xcc5d23…
05-08 04:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x8f2432…
05-08 04:53:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	249	2¢	$5	0xbffd83…
02-02 23:35:26	sol updown 15m 1770075000	Down	BUY	132	13¢	$18	0x24b0ae…