Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.60K

Unrealized P&L

-$448

Hit rate

78.6%

Resolved

178

Trades

937

lifetime

Volume

$43.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

$849

16 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 10-29 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

51% 63% +$3,658

Other

45% 48% +$142

Crypto

3% 60% -$95

Tech

1% 17% -$123

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$15

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+135	$100	84¢	$114	+$14	09-25 12:28
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+111	$27	93¢	$104	+$77	10-21 18:41
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+229	$117	44¢	$102	-$15	10-28 20:46
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	+1,742	$505	6¢	$96	-$409	10-28 17:10
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $30M?	No	+395	$197	22¢	$87	-$110	10-26 15:55
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+123	$76	68¢	$84	+$8	10-24 15:16
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	+64	$15	93¢	$59	+$44	10-21 07:32
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	+53	$30	99¢	$52	+$22	10-27 20:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	+98	$55	38¢	$37	-$18	10-28 04:32
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+45	$40	74¢	$34	-$6	10-24 15:22
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+48	$30	69¢	$33	+$3	10-24 19:39
Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?	No	+45	$35	63¢	$29	-$6	10-22 19:48
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?	No	+30	$10	34¢	$10	+$0	10-20 14:33
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	+44	$20	20¢	$9	-$11	10-21 08:46
Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	+237	$40	0¢	$0	-$40	10-28 10:52
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	No	+0	$0	2¢	$0	$0	10-26 17:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will donald trump publicly insult tucker carlson by september 30 2026	15	$1.4K	988	988	+0	Yes	+$509	10-01 07:21
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on September 3, 2026?	5	$1.2K	800	800	+0	Yes	+$339	09-23 20:57
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?	16	$947	829	829	+0	Yes	+$349	09-14 22:22
Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?	9	$803	1,298	1,298	+0	open	—	10-10 20:23
Will Trump say "Star" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	8	$796	707	707	+0	Yes	+$376	10-16 22:58
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$717	1,264	1,034	+229	open	—	10-28 20:46
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	4	$688	484	484	+0	open	—	10-15 19:10
Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	10	$661	784	784	+0	open	—	10-28 17:00
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M?	13	$649	1,707	1,707	+0	open	—	10-26 17:05
will iran target an arab country by october 15 2026 20261005	4	$609	816	204	+612	Yes	+$374	10-14 15:56
US x China tariff agreement by October 31?	4	$533	377	377	+0	Yes	+$133	09-24 22:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	2	$525	1,071	1,071	+0	open	—	09-26 08:01
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?	3	$507	522	522	+0	open	—	10-10 20:22
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	4	$505	1,742	0	+1,742	open	—	10-28 17:10
will iran target iraq by october 15 2026 20261005	5	$504	765	191	+574	Yes	+$414	10-14 15:57
Will Russia target Kyiv on September 5, 2026?	6	$485	296	296	+0	No	+$83	09-06 07:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	4	$464	383	260	+123	open	—	10-24 15:16
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?	2	$460	269	269	+0	Yes	+$60	09-22 19:06
Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?	5	$420	311	311	+0	Yes	+$79	09-17 16:45
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?	8	$412	327	327	+0	open	—	10-24 19:31
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	3	$401	275	275	+0	No	+$1	10-12 18:39
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	5	$390	300	300	+0	Yes	-$6	09-10 10:37
will the uss theodore roosevelt arrive in centcom by october 31 2026	4	$384	255	255	+0	open	—	10-16 08:50
Trump renames AI by September 30?	4	$384	375	374	+0	Yes	+$44	09-29 18:39
Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	4	$383	241	241	+0	open	—	10-28 09:02
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 16, 2026?	7	$379	508	264	+243	Yes	+$143	09-15 18:21
Will Trump meet with Javier Milei in September 2026?	3	$368	219	219	+0	Yes	+$68	09-30 20:33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	2	$362	214	214	+0	Yes	+$62	09-22 19:06
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$349	224	224	+0	open	—	10-15 06:11
Israel military action against Lebanon on September 5?	5	$346	676	0	+676	Yes	+$329	09-10 16:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:18:34	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xb63c53…
10-29 11:12:19	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x87889f…
10-29 11:01:56	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	SELL	116	44¢	$51	0xf69dd7…
10-29 09:25:19	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xac192f…
10-29 09:17:34	U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x055ced…
10-29 09:04:32	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	SELL	35	56¢	$19	0xe5fe1f…
10-29 08:47:17	Will Trump meet with Flávio Bolsonaro in 2026?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xd4ad5e…
10-29 00:39:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 27?	Yes	BUY	40	59¢	$24	0xb526d2…
10-28 20:46:34	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x236584…
10-28 20:36:02	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	131	51¢	$67	0x1e5d09…
10-28 20:11:28	Will Likud be in the next Israeli government?	Yes	BUY	133	38¢	$50	0xd08a34…
10-28 19:50:47	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x81de1a…
10-28 19:27:16	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 2?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x2753a6…
10-28 19:05:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xaa0faf…
10-28 18:08:40	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	7¢	$7	0x4d747e…
10-28 17:50:07	Israel military action against Syria by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8475ca…
10-28 17:47:20	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	No	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0xa4543d…
10-28 17:22:37	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x0938df…
10-28 17:19:32	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	BUY	32	68¢	$22	0xf1ea84…
10-28 17:17:05	Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 18?	No	BUY	140	46¢	$64	0x43c0f3…
10-28 17:10:34	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $20M?	No	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xf7238a…
10-28 17:00:10	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	634	33¢	$211	0xa6c32e…
10-28 16:46:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	Yes	SELL	44	43¢	$19	0xe0f430…
10-28 16:06:55	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	318	29¢	$92	0x6865fd…
10-28 15:44:31	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0xf783e4…
10-28 15:31:08	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x2a7d0a…
10-28 15:21:56	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x703498…
10-28 15:21:19	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	15¢	$38	0x2c48b6…
10-28 13:38:22	Will Joint List win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	64	93¢	$59	0x3460c7…
10-28 12:41:59	Will Yashar win 22-23 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	37	28¢	$10	0x4d2201…
10-28 12:40:46	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	153	30¢	$46	0xbb4d44…
10-28 12:40:29	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	163	31¢	$50	0xeaae60…
10-28 12:29:37	Will Otzma win 10 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0xe70510…
10-28 10:52:34	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	163	49¢	$80	0x19ee58…
10-28 10:52:23	Will Ra'am win exactly 5 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	237	17¢	$40	0x822972…
10-28 10:39:32	Will Ra'am win exactly 6 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	153	52¢	$80	0x50d25f…
10-28 10:38:41	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x177e99…
10-28 10:38:34	Will the Netanyahu bloc win the Israeli election by 5-6 seats?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x10d4b4…
10-28 10:36:20	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	150	30¢	$45	0x2823d2…
10-28 10:35:29	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	189	60¢	$113	0x6d7b31…
10-28 10:35:25	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x42ccf6…
10-28 10:29:53	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x3d877b…
10-28 10:29:52	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x969423…
10-28 10:12:43	Shipping targeted in Hormuz on October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	120	63¢	$75	0xd15197…
10-28 09:42:22	Will Yariv Levin be the next Israeli Minister of Justice?	Yes	SELL	132	2¢	$2	0x2f9971…
10-28 09:34:35	Will Bezalel Smotrich be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	245	6¢	$16	0xdb583d…
10-28 09:34:17	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Finance?	Yes	SELL	443	11¢	$50	0x215d61…
10-28 09:33:22	Will Yoram Cohen be the next Israeli Minister of National Security?	Yes	SELL	182	11¢	$19	0x57c509…
10-28 09:30:47	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	338	10¢	$34	0x2ed5b8…
10-28 09:30:41	Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Defense?	Yes	SELL	163	6¢	$10	0x69ac41…
10-28 09:29:34	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	48	53¢	$26	0x185c71…
10-28 09:26:47	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	196	15¢	$29	0x8c23b6…
10-28 09:26:26	Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?	Yes	SELL	262	20¢	$53	0xcb7c9a…
10-28 09:21:19	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x976725…
10-28 09:19:20	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x49e278…
10-28 09:14:23	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x670e40…
10-28 09:11:43	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	125	57¢	$71	0x2c180f…
10-28 09:04:56	Will Together win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x39abee…
10-28 09:04:19	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	122	45¢	$55	0x45c12c…
10-28 09:04:02	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	126	44¢	$55	0x662ce9…
10-28 09:02:53	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	241	79¢	$190	0x0d8242…
10-28 04:32:55	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x7f724c…
10-28 04:23:14	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$61	0xebab45…
10-28 04:20:40	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	238	43¢	$102	0xdddf9b…
10-28 04:02:47	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	205	92¢	$188	0x5a40b0…
10-28 04:01:26	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xad17e3…
10-28 03:59:17	Will Joint List win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0xa6690a…
10-27 23:17:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x50da8d…
10-27 23:02:18	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	347	40¢	$139	0x2a837d…
10-27 22:33:47	Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	73	27¢	$19	0x4669db…
10-27 21:23:18	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x215dd7…
10-27 21:11:26	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x6bb280…
10-27 21:05:03	Will UTJ win 7-8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	173	32¢	$55	0x4f2e72…
10-27 20:59:20	Will Together win 14-16 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	190	34¢	$65	0x5d6ab4…
10-27 20:57:24	Will Reservists – New Economic Party win less than 2.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe81a9c…
10-27 20:49:38	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	54	50¢	$27	0xffb2a5…
10-27 20:48:05	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	23	56¢	$13	0x41086e…
10-27 20:47:11	Will Eli Lilly (LLY) beat quarterly earnings?	No	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x676a98…
10-27 20:45:45	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x98793f…
10-27 20:35:36	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x53dabb…
10-27 20:35:21	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xcaed45…
10-27 20:28:35	Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?	Yes	SELL	17	75¢	$13	0x66e64a…
10-27 20:28:18	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	11¢	$6	0xb5b520…
10-27 20:27:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0xfa8913…
10-27 20:26:08	Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	110	79¢	$87	0x183bc9…
10-27 20:21:26	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	78	51¢	$39	0xb58933…
10-27 20:15:30	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	63	79¢	$50	0xdfcbd7…
10-27 20:13:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	SELL	20	52¢	$10	0x39d6e7…
10-27 20:11:33	Will The Joint List win 7.5% or more of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	72	56¢	$40	0xb80ca9…
10-27 20:09:09	Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	161	50¢	$80	0x861d7b…
10-27 20:07:56	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xfb9666…
10-27 20:07:21	Will Otzma win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	117	11¢	$13	0x834b04…
10-27 20:07:06	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x39d44e…
10-27 20:06:38	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xdda267…
10-27 20:05:26	Will Dems win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x02708a…
10-27 20:05:03	Will Yisrael Beiteinu win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0xccd255…
10-27 20:04:17	Will Ra'am win exactly 7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	35	40¢	$14	0x433996…
10-27 20:01:50	Will RZP-Zehut win 8-9 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	SELL	154	9¢	$14	0xa2d98a…
10-27 20:01:24	Will Otzma win 6-7 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	232	29¢	$68	0x9ee1bf…
10-27 20:00:51	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x14f9a8…