Naive-Memorial-Patent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

1,267

Trades

2,476

lifetime

Volume

$35.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 10-06 10:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 40 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 74% +$202

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 297 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	13	$365	240	240	+0	Down	+$83	05-11 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	18	$288	200	200	+0	Up	-$6	05-12 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$222	297	0	+297	Down	-$71	10-02 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	4	$189	100	100	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	5	$180	100	100	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	8	$180	230	0	+230	Down	-$150	05-12 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	2	$163	219	0	+219	Down	-$56	09-30 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	6	$146	77	77	+0	Up	+$6	09-11 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	20	$134	103	100	+3	Down	+$55	05-11 21:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	4	$133	152	0	+152	Up	-$105	10-05 02:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:45 UTC	2	$132	161	0	+161	Down	-$50	10-01 06:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 04:20 UTC	5	$130	160	0	+160	Up	-$44	09-28 04:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	3	$129	146	0	+146	Up	-$58	10-01 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 07:40 UTC	2	$128	155	0	+155	Down	-$48	10-01 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$128	160	0	+160	Up	-$49	09-29 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	10	$124	80	70	+10	Down	+$5	05-11 14:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 19:00 UTC	2	$123	162	0	+162	Up	-$44	09-29 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 12:15 UTC	2	$121	151	0	+151	Down	-$46	09-29 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 29, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$118	147	0	+147	Down	-$45	09-29 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$117	130	0	+130	Up	+$13	09-27 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	4	$116	136	9	+126	Up	-$114	09-11 17:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 17:00 UTC	2	$114	128	0	+128	Down	-$42	09-30 17:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 07:10 UTC	2	$111	141	0	+141	Down	-$37	09-30 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 13:50 UTC	4	$110	145	0	+145	Up	-$38	09-30 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$109	133	0	+133	Down	-$38	10-06 10:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 20:20 UTC	2	$109	152	0	+152	Up	-$32	09-28 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$108	144	0	+144	Up	+$36	10-02 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$108	144	0	+144	Up	+$36	10-02 02:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$107	124	0	+124	Down	-$45	10-05 00:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	1	$105	117	0	+117	Up	+$12	09-26 14:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-06 10:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	71	75¢	$53	0xb495d7…
10-06 10:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0xf941f6…
10-06 07:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x29575f…
10-06 07:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xb28ec8…
10-06 06:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0x9e7bee…
10-06 04:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0xd92f04…
10-06 01:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0xb20e46…
10-06 01:09:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x0c9879…
10-06 01:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	46	90¢	$41	0xe204c8…
10-06 01:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0x3f9e6a…
10-06 01:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0xc86d38…
10-05 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x2e6a8d…
10-05 21:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb70049…
10-05 20:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0x8df7db…
10-05 18:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	44	86¢	$38	0xd36ad3…
10-05 18:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x9ce44c…
10-05 17:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	77	75¢	$58	0xe57392…
10-05 16:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xcfb347…
10-05 15:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x9c6649…
10-05 15:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x25e28b…
10-05 15:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x384dc2…
10-05 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xbca498…
10-05 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x47ce73…
10-05 15:13:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	27	90¢	$24	0x2c7cda…
10-05 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	42	90¢	$37	0xe726e3…
10-05 15:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3267d4…
10-05 14:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8269a7…
10-05 12:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	68	81¢	$55	0x9d8c58…
10-05 11:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0xc5e3b9…
10-05 09:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Down	BUY	61	81¢	$49	0xb83277…
10-05 09:53:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 09:50 UTC	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x9a872c…
10-05 08:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 08:50 UTC	Up	BUY	29	89¢	$26	0x688b40…
10-05 08:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	90¢	$0	0xed5113…
10-05 08:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x970329…
10-05 07:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0xb6fd14…
10-05 07:38:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	121	69¢	$84	0x8196b7…
10-05 07:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	52	90¢	$47	0x9f9954…
10-05 07:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8f0774…
10-05 07:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x15945d…
10-05 05:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0xb12b5d…
10-05 05:53:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:50 UTC	Up	BUY	62	89¢	$55	0xf78137…
10-05 04:29:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:25 UTC	Down	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0xe829c4…
10-05 03:38:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:35 UTC	Down	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x21d9c7…
10-05 03:04:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x2f79a5…
10-05 02:13:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	119	76¢	$90	0x744be0…
10-05 02:09:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x9f5adc…
10-05 02:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	62	88¢	$55	0x714567…
10-05 02:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	22	86¢	$19	0xf9ed1b…
10-05 02:09:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0xb0f2c8…
10-05 01:58:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:55 UTC	Up	BUY	81	82¢	$66	0xfda294…
10-05 01:49:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0xf691ae…
10-05 01:48:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	67	82¢	$55	0xac1d6a…
10-05 01:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	62	89¢	$55	0x6dd752…
10-05 00:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	62	82¢	$51	0x5c55bb…
10-05 00:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	63	89¢	$56	0x6f70cd…
10-05 00:23:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	64	86¢	$55	0x6893bc…
10-05 00:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	87¢	$27	0xe85ba9…
10-05 00:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x0d0768…
10-05 00:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	69	81¢	$56	0xa0fb47…
10-04 23:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:40 UTC	Up	BUY	9	90¢	$8	0xb2ec79…
10-04 22:43:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	62	86¢	$53	0xa3fa7c…
10-04 21:49:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	57	92¢	$52	0x12c531…
10-04 21:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	57	90¢	$51	0xb2f0e1…
10-04 15:48:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	67	86¢	$58	0xc276f8…
10-04 13:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x507d4a…
10-04 11:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 11:55 UTC	Up	BUY	62	86¢	$53	0x2f7776…
10-04 01:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0x47acd2…
10-03 23:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xa1e46f…
10-03 22:19:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	88¢	$56	0xbee0b0…
10-03 21:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xc6d15b…
10-03 09:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	80	83¢	$66	0xdbb8a0…
10-03 08:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0x10f088…
10-03 06:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xb7f0fe…
10-03 06:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	83¢	$32	0xf860e8…
10-03 02:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	87¢	$54	0x66c2e7…
10-02 20:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0x35d6af…
10-02 19:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x8dfb31…
10-02 19:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	74	88¢	$65	0x09f980…
10-02 19:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	39	69¢	$27	0xf12f7e…
10-02 19:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x74d652…
10-02 19:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0xcdebf4…
10-02 19:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	55	90¢	$50	0x1f8fa5…
10-02 18:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	79¢	$46	0xb9af35…
10-02 18:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	72	89¢	$64	0x2fc915…
10-02 18:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	71	89¢	$63	0xf986e2…
10-02 17:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	144	66¢	$95	0x3232ca…
10-02 17:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	72	66¢	$48	0xe696f0…
10-02 17:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	74	88¢	$65	0x9564ed…
10-02 16:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0x19d4f3…
10-02 15:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xe274e1…
10-02 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0x751693…
10-02 14:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	61	66¢	$40	0x615b68…
10-02 14:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	74	88¢	$65	0x253484…
10-02 14:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	72	90¢	$65	0x4a57a2…
10-02 13:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	107	81¢	$87	0xaf1d46…
10-02 12:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xdf4c23…
10-02 12:23:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	79	80¢	$63	0xff957c…
10-02 11:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	73	89¢	$65	0x0793e9…
10-02 11:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x19770f…
10-02 11:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	71	90¢	$64	0xa30fcb…