Definitive-Reject — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$480

Unrealized P&L

+$266

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

7,134 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$25.5K

$8.64M lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.21K

Open exposure

$2.09K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 11-01 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 103 days

Categories

Sports

66% 56% -$323,435

Other

34% 54% -$12,240

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+10,000	$940	12¢	$1.2K	+$215	10-30 18:24
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+9,415	$659	8¢	$706	+$47	11-01 16:25
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+4,172	$221	5¢	$225	+$4	11-01 18:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	173	$173.2K	240,000	0	+240,000	Timberwolves	-$173,200	04-26 02:10
nba bkn det 2026 02 01	130	$172.0K	200,000	0	+200,000	Pistons	+$28,000	02-01 23:21
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	3	$164.6K	125,082	117,049	+8,033	Yes	-$5,406	01-27 23:50
nba okc sas 2026 02 04	51	$126.5K	163,888	0	+163,888	Spurs	+$37,355	02-05 02:45
nba gsw phx 2026 02 05	18	$109.9K	160,990	0	+160,990	Warriors	-$109,869	02-06 05:06
nba phi bos 2026 04 19	1	$105.6K	120,000	0	+120,000	Celtics	+$14,400	04-19 16:28
nba nyk was 2026 02 03	1	$100.8K	120,000	0	+120,000	Knicks	+$19,200	02-03 17:08
nba min den 2026 04 20	77	$95.8K	145,557	0	+145,557	Timberwolves	-$35,764	04-21 05:15
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	98	$89.6K	51,888	51,888	+0	Yes	+$14,077	01-21 23:51
nba por sas 2026 04 19	1	$83.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Spurs	+$17,000	04-19 19:16
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	2	$70.0K	116,667	0	+116,667	Volkanovski	+$46,667	02-01 03:19
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	39	$64.5K	130,000	0	+130,000	76ers	-$4,500	05-02 23:34
nba mil bos 2026 02 01	19	$63.0K	75,000	0	+75,000	Celtics	+$12,000	02-01 19:52
cbb wichst sfl 2026 01 18 spread home 7pt5	2	$61.2K	41,527	41,527	+0	Wichita State Shockers	+$21,198	01-18 22:57
cbb ore wash 2026 01 25 total 143pt5	20	$60.9K	114,854	0	+114,854	Under	-$21,518	01-25 19:54
cbb holy lafay 2026 01 17 total 137pt5	2	$60.4K	40,470	40,470	+0	Under	+$20,429	01-17 22:31
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	428	$60.4K	94,544	0	+94,544	Knicks	-$60,362	04-30 22:50
Hawks vs. Knicks	60	$57.5K	82,483	0	+82,483	Knicks	+$24,995	04-28 23:17
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$54.0K	90,000	0	+90,000	Rockets	+$36,000	04-26 19:26
nba was det 2026 02 05	36	$54.0K	60,000	0	+60,000	Wizards	-$54,000	02-06 00:07
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	1	$53.2K	70,000	0	+70,000	Thunder	+$16,800	04-09 01:11
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$51.1K	70,000	0	+70,000	Timberwolves	-$51,100	05-01 01:19
cs2 g2 mouz 2026 02 06	1	$50.0K	80,645	0	+80,645	MOUZ	+$30,645	02-06 15:14
cs2 ts7 furia 2026 02 07	53	$49.3K	85,000	0	+85,000	FURIA	-$49,300	02-07 12:58
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	35	$48.6K	95,873	0	+95,873	Suns	+$47,237	04-28 00:04
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	1	$46.2K	70,000	0	+70,000	76ers	+$23,800	05-02 23:26
nba orl cle 2026 01 26	4	$46.0K	79,392	40,000	+39,392	Cavaliers	-$20,400	01-27 00:42
nba dal hou 2026 01 31 total 223pt5	28	$45.9K	88,364	0	+88,364	Under	+$42,414	01-31 23:29
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	22	$44.0K	80,000	0	+80,000	Yes	-$44,000	02-17 19:38
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	8	$43.1K	84,588	0	+84,588	76ers	+$41,448	04-30 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 18:56:46	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	489	5¢	$26	0x971e3c…
11-01 16:25:37	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x24b54b…
11-01 13:38:58	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0x3e30ce…
11-01 12:41:49	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$16	0xdbe31a…
11-01 12:41:48	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0xbe92f4…
11-01 11:33:16	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x11c3cb…
11-01 11:21:12	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x63989a…
11-01 11:07:49	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x4231fe…
11-01 11:05:57	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x65a86d…
11-01 10:54:22	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$11	0xc80b5e…
11-01 10:05:04	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	7¢	$21	0x7c01d4…
11-01 10:05:04	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	5¢	$16	0x516a55…
11-01 09:52:25	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xc94f1a…
11-01 08:36:30	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0x0dfd7c…
11-01 05:22:10	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x056c60…
11-01 03:23:28	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xd752dc…
11-01 02:39:36	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	198	5¢	$10	0xeb7296…
11-01 02:39:36	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	383	5¢	$20	0xbcb4b0…
11-01 02:39:36	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	331	5¢	$18	0x878a02…
11-01 02:39:36	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x7bc200…
11-01 02:39:36	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8,448	7¢	$591	0x37e6f0…
11-01 02:39:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$11	0xf346df…
11-01 02:39:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	310	5¢	$16	0xccba49…
11-01 02:39:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x880928…
11-01 02:39:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	382	5¢	$20	0x782728…
11-01 02:39:34	Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x54ff7e…
11-01 02:39:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x478292…
11-01 02:39:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	281	5¢	$15	0x31aa62…
11-01 02:39:34	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	383	5¢	$20	0x27b3c2…
11-01 02:38:51	Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	285	5¢	$15	0xdc2526…
11-01 01:26:57	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	58	65¢	$38	0xa0fc0b…
11-01 01:26:55	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x744b7d…
11-01 01:26:55	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x3db197…
11-01 01:26:55	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x2bf8f6…
11-01 01:26:54	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	27	65¢	$18	0xd90924…
11-01 01:26:54	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	2,780	65¢	$1,807	0x218999…
11-01 01:26:30	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xee3ea1…
11-01 01:26:30	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xb396d2…
11-01 01:26:30	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	120	65¢	$78	0x85a7fd…
11-01 01:26:30	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x6d9fcb…
11-01 01:26:30	Spread: Spurs (-12.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	1,000	65¢	$650	0x232ce8…
10-31 22:47:33	Cavaliers vs. Bucks	Cavaliers	BUY	5,000	76¢	$3,800	0xd249d5…
10-31 22:41:03	Hawks vs. Pelicans	Hawks	BUY	5,000	65¢	$3,250	0xb89774…
10-31 22:05:31	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	6,000	52¢	$3,120	0x7d4816…
10-31 19:32:34	Trail Blazers vs. Jazz	Trail Blazers	BUY	10,000	88¢	$8,775	0x63a4bc…
10-31 19:02:27	Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)	Jazz	BUY	175	70¢	$122	0xb0e6fa…
10-31 19:02:27	Spread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)	Jazz	BUY	4,125	70¢	$2,888	0x04c407…
10-30 18:24:01	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	1,663	9¢	$156	0x75ec02…
10-30 11:06:57	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	6,357	9¢	$598	0xba564e…
10-30 10:51:06	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$19	0x34c660…
10-30 06:59:49	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	78	9¢	$7	0x698342…
10-30 06:52:58	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	134	9¢	$13	0xe9ce88…
10-30 06:38:25	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x2b67ac…
10-30 06:35:49	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	395	9¢	$37	0xe783c5…
10-30 05:56:01	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$28	0x1288fe…
10-30 04:21:12	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	817	9¢	$77	0xca4e28…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xd3f066…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	172	53¢	$91	0xa921f5…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x8bbcdb…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	125	53¢	$66	0x5f8f86…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	816	53¢	$432	0x4721e0…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x2196ef…
10-30 01:15:51	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	1,442	53¢	$764	0x380a85…
10-30 01:15:48	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xd9c1c1…
10-30 01:15:48	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	299	53¢	$158	0x7a6cc7…
10-30 01:15:43	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	736	53¢	$390	0xc3b812…
10-30 01:15:10	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	2,258	53¢	$1,197	0xd5f191…
10-30 00:45:48	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	4,500	69¢	$3,105	0xd07e7e…
10-29 04:16:35	Spread: Lakers (-11.5)	Clippers	BUY	2,741	47¢	$1,288	0xb2aa3a…
10-29 04:16:32	Spread: Lakers (-11.5)	Clippers	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0xa91841…
10-29 00:04:26	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x8c1d6a…
10-28 22:59:46	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	228	57¢	$130	0xa29467…
10-28 22:50:37	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x7bbe48…
10-28 22:46:26	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x19e4f8…
10-28 22:29:59	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	545	57¢	$311	0x65ee8f…
10-28 22:25:50	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	3,047	57¢	$1,737	0xf2c62c…
10-28 22:21:59	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	554	60¢	$332	0x80e772…
10-28 05:08:35	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	7,000	74¢	$5,180	0xa5ad8c…
10-27 23:45:21	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	7,675	56¢	$4,298	0xf20b6e…
10-27 23:30:15	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	1,363	56¢	$763	0x832273…
10-27 23:30:05	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x679ca5…
10-27 23:12:39	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	951	56¢	$533	0xa7af24…
10-27 00:57:59	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	10,000	54¢	$5,400	0xcaaeb1…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	4,590	59¢	$2,708	0xdff13c…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa21375…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,507	59¢	$889	0x8efe13…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,500	59¢	$885	0x7b8981…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x665735…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,530	59¢	$903	0x291ab5…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x143ec3…
10-26 23:37:50	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	73	59¢	$43	0xb0c86e…
10-26 23:37:23	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	355	59¢	$210	0x9cdb2f…
10-26 23:37:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	225	59¢	$133	0xb27ddc…
10-25 22:59:11	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	8,000	60¢	$4,800	0xe1276c…
10-25 22:44:50	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	7,247	69¢	$5,000	0x5cb66e…
10-25 22:44:50	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	753	69¢	$520	0x0f6d57…
10-25 22:29:45	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8,000	70¢	$5,600	0x6ff0f3…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xf8d6ea…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	85	74¢	$63	0xf5942d…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0xd26b9b…