Definitive-Reject — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$26.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

32.9%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

7,079 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$58.8K

$8.62M lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.22K

Open exposure

$77

1 position

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-30 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 101 days

Categories

Sports

66% 56% -$323,915

Other

34% 54% -$12,240

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+817	$77	9¢	$77	+$0	10-30 04:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	173	$173.2K	240,000	0	+240,000	Timberwolves	-$173,200	04-26 02:10
nba bkn det 2026 02 01	130	$172.0K	200,000	0	+200,000	Pistons	+$28,000	02-01 23:21
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	3	$164.6K	125,082	117,049	+8,033	Yes	-$5,406	01-27 23:50
nba okc sas 2026 02 04	51	$126.5K	163,888	0	+163,888	Spurs	+$37,355	02-05 02:45
nba gsw phx 2026 02 05	18	$109.9K	160,990	0	+160,990	Warriors	-$109,869	02-06 05:06
nba phi bos 2026 04 19	1	$105.6K	120,000	0	+120,000	Celtics	+$14,400	04-19 16:28
nba nyk was 2026 02 03	1	$100.8K	120,000	0	+120,000	Knicks	+$19,200	02-03 17:08
nba min den 2026 04 20	77	$95.8K	145,557	0	+145,557	Timberwolves	-$35,764	04-21 05:15
ucl slp fcb1 2026 01 21 fcb1	98	$89.6K	51,888	51,888	+0	Yes	+$14,077	01-21 23:51
nba por sas 2026 04 19	1	$83.0K	100,000	0	+100,000	Spurs	+$17,000	04-19 19:16
ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	2	$70.0K	116,667	0	+116,667	Volkanovski	+$46,667	02-01 03:19
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	39	$64.5K	130,000	0	+130,000	76ers	-$4,500	05-02 23:34
nba mil bos 2026 02 01	19	$63.0K	75,000	0	+75,000	Celtics	+$12,000	02-01 19:52
cbb wichst sfl 2026 01 18 spread home 7pt5	2	$61.2K	41,527	41,527	+0	Wichita State Shockers	+$21,198	01-18 22:57
cbb ore wash 2026 01 25 total 143pt5	20	$60.9K	114,854	0	+114,854	Under	-$21,518	01-25 19:54
cbb holy lafay 2026 01 17 total 137pt5	2	$60.4K	40,470	40,470	+0	Under	+$20,429	01-17 22:31
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)	428	$60.4K	94,544	0	+94,544	Knicks	-$60,362	04-30 22:50
Hawks vs. Knicks	60	$57.5K	82,483	0	+82,483	Knicks	+$24,995	04-28 23:17
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$54.0K	90,000	0	+90,000	Rockets	+$36,000	04-26 19:26
nba was det 2026 02 05	36	$54.0K	60,000	0	+60,000	Wizards	-$54,000	02-06 00:07
nba okc lac 2026 04 08	1	$53.2K	70,000	0	+70,000	Thunder	+$16,800	04-09 01:11
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	1	$51.1K	70,000	0	+70,000	Timberwolves	-$51,100	05-01 01:19
cs2 g2 mouz 2026 02 06	1	$50.0K	80,645	0	+80,645	MOUZ	+$30,645	02-06 15:14
cs2 ts7 furia 2026 02 07	53	$49.3K	85,000	0	+85,000	FURIA	-$49,300	02-07 12:58
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	35	$48.6K	95,873	0	+95,873	Suns	+$47,237	04-28 00:04
Spread: Celtics (-8.5)	1	$46.2K	70,000	0	+70,000	76ers	+$23,800	05-02 23:26
nba orl cle 2026 01 26	4	$46.0K	79,392	40,000	+39,392	Cavaliers	-$20,400	01-27 00:42
nba dal hou 2026 01 31 total 223pt5	28	$45.9K	88,364	0	+88,364	Under	+$42,414	01-31 23:29
ucl ben rma 2026 02 17 rma	22	$44.0K	80,000	0	+80,000	Yes	-$44,000	02-17 19:38
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)	8	$43.1K	84,588	0	+84,588	76ers	+$41,448	04-30 23:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 04:21:12	Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	817	9¢	$77	0xca4e28…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xd3f066…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	172	53¢	$91	0xa921f5…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x8bbcdb…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	125	53¢	$66	0x5f8f86…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	816	53¢	$432	0x4721e0…
10-30 01:15:52	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	5	53¢	$2	0x2196ef…
10-30 01:15:51	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	1,442	53¢	$764	0x380a85…
10-30 01:15:48	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xd9c1c1…
10-30 01:15:48	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	299	53¢	$158	0x7a6cc7…
10-30 01:15:43	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	736	53¢	$390	0xc3b812…
10-30 01:15:10	Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)	Grizzlies	BUY	2,258	53¢	$1,197	0xd5f191…
10-30 00:45:48	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Cavaliers	BUY	4,500	69¢	$3,105	0xd07e7e…
10-29 04:16:35	Spread: Lakers (-11.5)	Clippers	BUY	2,741	47¢	$1,288	0xb2aa3a…
10-29 04:16:32	Spread: Lakers (-11.5)	Clippers	BUY	59	47¢	$28	0xa91841…
10-29 00:04:26	Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)	Warriors	BUY	800	50¢	$400	0x8c1d6a…
10-28 22:59:46	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	228	57¢	$130	0xa29467…
10-28 22:50:37	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x7bbe48…
10-28 22:46:26	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x19e4f8…
10-28 22:29:59	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	545	57¢	$311	0x65ee8f…
10-28 22:25:50	Spread: 76ers (-5.5)	76ers	BUY	3,047	57¢	$1,737	0xf2c62c…
10-28 22:21:59	Spread: 76ers (-4.5)	76ers	BUY	554	60¢	$332	0x80e772…
10-28 05:08:35	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	7,000	74¢	$5,180	0xa5ad8c…
10-27 23:45:21	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	7,675	56¢	$4,298	0xf20b6e…
10-27 23:30:15	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	1,363	56¢	$763	0x832273…
10-27 23:30:05	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x679ca5…
10-27 23:12:39	Spread: Knicks (-5.5)	Pistons	BUY	951	56¢	$533	0xa7af24…
10-27 00:57:59	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Grizzlies	BUY	10,000	54¢	$5,400	0xcaaeb1…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	4,590	59¢	$2,708	0xdff13c…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xa21375…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,507	59¢	$889	0x8efe13…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,500	59¢	$885	0x7b8981…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x665735…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	1,530	59¢	$903	0x291ab5…
10-26 23:38:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x143ec3…
10-26 23:37:50	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	73	59¢	$43	0xb0c86e…
10-26 23:37:23	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	355	59¢	$210	0x9cdb2f…
10-26 23:37:05	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers	Timberwolves	BUY	225	59¢	$133	0xb27ddc…
10-25 22:59:11	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	8,000	60¢	$4,800	0xe1276c…
10-25 22:44:50	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	7,247	69¢	$5,000	0x5cb66e…
10-25 22:44:50	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	753	69¢	$520	0x0f6d57…
10-25 22:29:45	Magic vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8,000	70¢	$5,600	0x6ff0f3…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xf8d6ea…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	85	74¢	$63	0xf5942d…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	115	74¢	$85	0xd26b9b…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	208	74¢	$154	0xce0d46…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	2,397	74¢	$1,774	0xb3065c…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0x986600…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x986338…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x921908…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	208	74¢	$154	0x85876f…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x8580ba…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	504	74¢	$373	0x813ab1…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	37	74¢	$27	0x7fd142…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	53	74¢	$39	0x66ffcc…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	88	74¢	$65	0x4f3a38…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0x4bd34b…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	85	74¢	$63	0x2a475d…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	350	74¢	$259	0x0cea3e…
10-25 22:27:54	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	1,500	74¢	$1,110	0x0abe3c…
10-25 22:27:53	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	48	74¢	$36	0xac72bb…
10-25 22:27:38	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	1,159	74¢	$858	0x286d92…
10-20 22:03:42	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	8,000	62¢	$4,960	0x32bab3…
08-16 04:12:52	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	191	32¢	$61	0xf53a89…
08-16 04:12:52	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0xb330fd…
08-16 04:12:52	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	11	32¢	$3	0xac2650…
08-16 04:12:52	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	221	32¢	$71	0x6b8660…
08-16 04:12:52	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	27	32¢	$9	0x61a94a…
08-16 04:12:52	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x26dff3…
08-16 04:12:52	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x13d3a4…
08-16 04:12:51	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	294	31¢	$90	0x720ad4…
08-16 04:12:51	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x5152e4…
08-16 04:12:51	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	2,234	32¢	$715	0x263f45…
08-16 03:18:22	ufc mac1 gil 2026 08 15	Gillian Robertson	BUY	12,950	8¢	$1,000	0x317224…
08-16 01:52:57	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	7,300	27¢	$1,971	0xa1642d…
07-19 16:14:39	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?	No	BUY	20,000	74¢	$14,800	0xcf12d8…
07-19 16:09:15	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	37,000	80¢	$29,600	0x383445…
07-15 02:03:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	231	85¢	$196	0x1cadb8…
07-15 02:02:20	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	126	85¢	$108	0x070e31…
07-15 02:01:28	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	86	85¢	$73	0x278729…
07-15 01:56:32	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x181d05…
07-15 01:53:41	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	126	85¢	$108	0x5dff6c…
07-15 01:52:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x89bb1e…
07-15 01:51:35	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	63	85¢	$54	0x6a9b36…
07-15 01:48:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	296	85¢	$252	0x9dce63…
07-15 01:48:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x2586cf…
07-15 01:46:46	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x6be4a9…
07-15 01:46:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	57	85¢	$49	0x8dd978…
07-15 01:41:22	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0x3212b8…
07-15 01:40:34	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	133	85¢	$113	0x206edc…
07-15 01:39:58	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	127	85¢	$108	0x4d462b…
07-15 01:38:19	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	67	85¢	$57	0x1ff366…
07-15 01:36:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	98	85¢	$84	0xa22e5d…
07-15 01:36:17	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	31	85¢	$26	0x03cfdd…
07-15 01:36:14	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	159	85¢	$135	0x3913af…
07-15 01:35:56	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0x0528cb…
07-15 01:35:13	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	133	85¢	$113	0x59539f…
07-15 01:33:43	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	19	85¢	$16	0x202e76…
07-15 01:31:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x77cbdf…
07-15 01:25:23	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xdb8466…