Silent-Complexity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$18

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$805

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$129

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (2)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down on May 6?	Up		+218	$107	57¢	$125	+$19	05-05 18:26
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up		+5	$4	75¢	$4	$-0	05-05 21:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$129	140	0	+140	Up	+$12	05-05 05:51
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$116	138	0	+138	Down	+$22	05-04 22:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	3	$116	134	0	+134	open	—	05-05 14:22
XRP Up or Down on May 6?	2	$107	218	0	+218	open	—	05-05 18:26
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	17	$63	150	20	+130	open	—	05-05 19:41
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	1	$53	0	66	-66	open	—	05-05 13:20
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$47	239	0	+239	open	—	05-05 20:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$39	87	0	+87	Down	$-39	05-05 05:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-05 20:08
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	8	$24	60	15	+45	open	—	05-05 15:07
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 15:59
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$1	05-04 23:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$11	56	0	+56	Up	$-11	05-05 01:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 16:04
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-04 23:15
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 13:07
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	74	0	+74	Down	$-5	05-04 23:15
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 21:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 05:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 09:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:04:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x106455…
05-05 20:50:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x225bd3…
05-05 20:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc5e18f…
05-05 20:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$15	0xcf5828…
05-05 20:49:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	29¢	$15	0x78ab61…
05-05 20:08:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0x451669…
05-05 19:41:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5836b8…
05-05 19:41:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc617ee…
05-05 19:34:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x112ddd…
05-05 19:34:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x2fbc24…
05-05 19:34:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb284cf…
05-05 19:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf6a8e1…
05-05 19:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6a40a3…
05-05 19:34:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x654486…
05-05 19:34:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5c7c92…
05-05 18:26:52	XRP Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	213	49¢	$104	0xfb8405…
05-05 17:09:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x580fd8…
05-05 17:04:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x05886d…
05-05 17:04:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xee1651…
05-05 17:04:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5c1a5f…
05-05 17:02:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xae4ea7…
05-05 16:52:32	XRP Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf3c4d2…
05-05 16:49:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x147bcf…
05-05 16:49:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x30aedd…
05-05 16:44:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x0c8c8a…
05-05 16:04:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb2395e…
05-05 15:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xb06ccf…
05-05 15:07:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xbb8019…
05-05 14:22:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x4cca8c…
05-05 14:22:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	86¢	$47	0x5a3aed…
05-05 14:22:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0xdf233a…
05-05 14:17:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xbd9a29…
05-05 13:20:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	66	80¢	$53	0xff6798…
05-05 13:07:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x870c69…
05-05 12:35:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa0ef37…
05-05 12:35:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa8ae83…
05-05 12:35:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5b0ae2…
05-05 12:35:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbe0797…
05-05 12:35:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3e4f52…
05-05 12:35:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4fd02f…
05-05 09:15:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5715ba…
05-05 05:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x746c59…
05-05 05:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x9973b8…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	45¢	$38	0x75e847…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0xa7e652…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x08df52…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x00194d…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xdb779e…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0x47bb4a…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x159da6…
05-05 01:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	19¢	$11	0xc95adf…
05-04 23:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x565477…
05-04 23:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xae25f6…
05-04 23:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0xe23548…
05-04 22:34:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x519b2c…
05-04 22:34:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x17af26…
05-04 22:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0xbf9415…
05-04 22:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x9cbb8e…
05-04 22:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x2888ae…
05-04 22:34:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	69	79¢	$55	0xaf419a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	11	$1.26K	60	05-05 20:39
Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda	3	$641	6	05-05 20:50