Silent-Complexity — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$56

Hit rate

83.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

87 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$1.44K

$1.44K lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$414

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 05:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 57% $-19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (5)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	+275	$248	60¢	$166	$-82	05-06 04:49
XRP Up or Down on May 6?	Up	+228	$114	60¢	$137	+$23	05-06 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	+83	$76	99¢	$82	+$6	05-06 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	+30	$29	82¢	$25	$-4	05-06 04:59
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	+5	$3	74¢	$4	+$1	05-06 05:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$248	275	0	+275	open	—	05-06 04:49
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	6	$129	140	0	+140	Up	+$12	05-05 05:51
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	6	$116	138	0	+138	Down	+$22	05-04 22:34
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	3	$116	134	0	+134	open	—	05-05 14:22
XRP Up or Down on May 6?	3	$114	228	0	+228	open	—	05-06 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	6	$91	98	0	+98	open	—	05-06 02:34
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$76	83	0	+83	open	—	05-06 04:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	3	$71	75	0	+75	open	—	05-06 02:27
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	17	$63	150	20	+130	open	—	05-05 19:41
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	1	$53	0	66	-66	open	—	05-05 13:20
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$47	239	0	+239	open	—	05-05 20:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$39	87	0	+87	Down	$-39	05-05 05:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$36	40	0	+40	open	—	05-06 01:18
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	05-06 04:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	1	$28	30	0	+30	open	—	05-06 01:24
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-05 20:08
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	8	$24	60	15	+45	open	—	05-05 15:07
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-05 15:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-06 02:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$1	05-04 23:00
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$11	56	0	+56	Up	$-11	05-05 01:14
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-06 00:53
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-05 16:04
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	05-06 04:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-04 23:15
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	3	$8	30	0	+30	open	—	05-06 01:44
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 13:07
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	74	0	+74	Down	$-5	05-04 23:15
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 21:04
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	05-05 05:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 05:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x09938b…
05-06 04:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xdd23f6…
05-06 04:59:50	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	95¢	$15	0xb0e469…
05-06 04:50:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xb28eef…
05-06 04:50:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x58df02…
05-06 04:50:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0x2eee40…
05-06 04:50:24	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0x2ce554…
05-06 04:50:10	XRP Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xff8d1d…
05-06 04:49:16	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x7ad6b4…
05-06 04:48:52	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	247	90¢	$223	0xc6d85a…
05-06 04:14:54	XRP Up or Down - May 6, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x0b6ef3…
05-06 02:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x8d244d…
05-06 02:28:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x18fa11…
05-06 02:28:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	93¢	$23	0x4fe37a…
05-06 02:28:10	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9b9392…
05-06 02:28:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x226c2a…
05-06 02:27:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa8d583…
05-06 02:27:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x83966a…
05-06 02:27:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x16d449…
05-06 02:27:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x6c7f09…
05-06 02:14:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xf1840a…
05-06 01:44:12	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x57b78c…
05-06 01:44:06	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x329d4e…
05-06 01:24:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	30	95¢	$28	0x0ed555…
05-06 01:24:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	64¢	$0	0x3fe200…
05-06 01:18:50	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	40	90¢	$36	0xb25c8d…
05-06 00:53:14	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7363dc…
05-05 21:04:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x106455…
05-05 20:50:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	98	1¢	$1	0x225bd3…
05-05 20:50:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0xc5e18f…
05-05 20:49:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	31¢	$15	0xcf5828…
05-05 20:49:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	54	29¢	$15	0x78ab61…
05-05 20:08:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0x451669…
05-05 19:41:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x5836b8…
05-05 19:41:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc617ee…
05-05 19:34:46	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x112ddd…
05-05 19:34:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x2fbc24…
05-05 19:34:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb284cf…
05-05 19:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf6a8e1…
05-05 19:34:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x6a40a3…
05-05 19:34:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x654486…
05-05 19:34:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x5c7c92…
05-05 18:26:52	XRP Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	213	49¢	$104	0xfb8405…
05-05 17:09:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x580fd8…
05-05 17:04:56	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x05886d…
05-05 17:04:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xee1651…
05-05 17:04:42	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x5c1a5f…
05-05 17:02:52	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xae4ea7…
05-05 16:52:32	XRP Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf3c4d2…
05-05 16:49:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x147bcf…
05-05 16:49:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x30aedd…
05-05 16:44:44	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x0c8c8a…
05-05 16:04:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xb2395e…
05-05 15:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xb06ccf…
05-05 15:07:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xbb8019…
05-05 14:22:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	87¢	$23	0x4cca8c…
05-05 14:22:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	86¢	$47	0x5a3aed…
05-05 14:22:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	54	87¢	$47	0xdf233a…
05-05 14:17:28	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xbd9a29…
05-05 13:20:30	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	66	80¢	$53	0xff6798…
05-05 13:07:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$6	0x870c69…
05-05 12:35:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa0ef37…
05-05 12:35:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x5b0ae2…
05-05 12:35:32	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa8ae83…
05-05 12:35:26	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xbe0797…
05-05 12:35:24	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3e4f52…
05-05 12:35:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x4fd02f…
05-05 09:15:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5715ba…
05-05 05:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x746c59…
05-05 05:51:00	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0x9973b8…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0xdb779e…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	29	92¢	$27	0xa7e652…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x00194d…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	86¢	$21	0x47bb4a…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x159da6…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	85	45¢	$38	0x75e847…
05-05 05:50:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x08df52…
05-05 01:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	19¢	$11	0xc95adf…
05-04 23:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x565477…
05-04 23:15:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0xae25f6…
05-04 23:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	96¢	$17	0xe23548…
05-04 22:34:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x519b2c…
05-04 22:34:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x17af26…
05-04 22:34:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	84¢	$12	0xbf9415…
05-04 22:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x9cbb8e…
05-04 22:34:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x2888ae…
05-04 22:34:44	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	69	79¢	$55	0xaf419a…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	13	$2.59K	85	05-06 05:09
Daring-Connotation 0xba2c…fdda	5	$988	11	05-06 02:27
Wealthy-Blast 0x5b69…a6af	4	$1.24K	11	05-06 03:55
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	3	$1.53K	3	05-06 04:14
Orange-Forte 0xdeca…ddd5	3	$623	3	05-06 04:54