Important-Filly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

79.4%

Resolved

Trades

452

lifetime

Volume

$2.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 06-06 00:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 66% +$28

Politics

3% 0% $-13

Sports

2% 0% $-5

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775523600	4	$91	53	52	+1	open	—	04-07 01:05
btc updown 5m 1775520900	4	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	04-07 00:20
btc updown 5m 1775521500	4	$61	37	36	+1	open	—	04-07 00:30
btc updown 5m 1775516100	5	$60	42	42	+1	open	—	04-06 23:00
btc updown 5m 1775519100	4	$60	36	35	+1	open	—	04-06 23:50
btc updown 5m 1775518500	3	$52	33	32	+1	open	—	04-06 23:40
btc updown 5m 1775520300	4	$49	31	30	+1	open	—	04-07 00:10
btc updown 5m 1775516700	3	$47	27	27	+1	open	—	04-06 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	8	$46	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 00:29
btc updown 5m 1775517600	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	04-06 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	5	$44	30	30	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 21:48
btc updown 5m 1775515800	3	$40	26	25	+1	open	—	04-06 22:55
btc updown 5m 1775517000	4	$40	64	0	+64	open	—	04-06 23:14
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$40	28	28	+0	open	—	04-14 21:09
btc updown 5m 1775606100	3	$39	25	24	+1	open	—	04-08 00:00
btc updown 5m 1775521800	3	$38	24	23	+1	open	—	04-07 00:35
btc updown 5m 1775550900	4	$37	55	21	+34	open	—	04-07 08:40
btc updown 5m 1775604900	4	$36	22	22	+1	open	—	04-07 23:40
btc updown 5m 1775602500	3	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	04-07 23:00
btc updown 5m 1775604300	6	$34	80	17	+63	open	—	04-07 23:30
btc updown 5m 1776205500	4	$31	19	19	+0	open	—	04-14 22:30
btc updown 5m 1775606400	3	$31	21	21	+0	open	—	04-08 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$31	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-10 21:29
btc updown 5m 1775605800	2	$31	22	21	+1	open	—	04-07 23:55
btc updown 5m 1775522400	4	$30	49	0	+49	open	—	04-07 00:44
btc updown 5m 1776205200	4	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	04-14 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	4	$27	20	20	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	6	$26	25	25	+0	Down	$-4	05-09 00:45
btc updown 5m 1775514000	2	$26	16	16	+0	open	—	04-06 22:25
btc updown 5m 1775514300	2	$25	16	15	+0	open	—	04-06 22:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 00:22:00	btc updown 5m 1780705200	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd96cf3…
06-06 00:21:45	btc updown 5m 1780705200	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xd02bfc…
06-06 00:21:06	btc updown 5m 1780705200	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7d553b…
06-06 00:17:21	btc updown 5m 1780704900	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$3	0xb1aa5e…
06-06 00:17:21	btc updown 5m 1780704900	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x90fb6e…
06-06 00:17:21	btc updown 5m 1780704900	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x89010b…
06-06 00:16:28	btc updown 5m 1780704900	Up	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xabe695…
06-06 00:15:52	btc updown 5m 1780704900	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x8ccf95…
06-06 00:14:54	btc updown 5m 1780704600	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x6d5a55…
06-06 00:14:54	btc updown 5m 1780704600	Down	SELL	6	92¢	$6	0x3ed48e…
06-06 00:13:46	btc updown 5m 1780704600	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xc58e05…
06-06 00:11:40	btc updown 5m 1780704600	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xf11641…
06-06 00:10:40	btc updown 5m 1780704600	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc63804…
06-06 00:08:10	btc updown 5m 1780704300	Down	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xc40741…
06-05 23:58:01	btc updown 5m 1780703700	Down	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x5080b1…
06-05 23:56:19	btc updown 5m 1780703700	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xedd1a4…
06-05 23:56:19	btc updown 5m 1780703700	Down	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x4ff6c2…
06-05 23:52:19	btc updown 5m 1780703400	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0x76bb11…
06-05 23:51:31	btc updown 5m 1780703400	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x866932…
06-05 23:50:10	btc updown 5m 1780703100	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe0884a…
06-05 23:49:01	btc updown 5m 1780703100	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xefb575…
05-27 21:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0xbcdebf…
05-27 21:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4e80cd…
05-27 21:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$2	0x1ce459…
05-27 21:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0xe9ad2e…
05-27 21:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0xc8b05d…
05-27 21:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdb2074…
05-12 22:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x6795be…
05-12 22:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x40510a…
05-12 22:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x895451…
05-12 22:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x94649c…
05-12 22:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x66ecd0…
05-10 21:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xb779b7…
05-10 21:55:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x19442f…
05-10 21:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x0c1c69…
05-10 21:52:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd75ca1…
05-10 21:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x3a155e…
05-10 21:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xb7a59c…
05-10 21:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x978281…
05-10 21:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xba5d88…
05-10 21:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xddca4c…
05-10 21:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x40ec92…
05-10 21:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8ff818…
05-10 21:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd63695…
05-10 21:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x4ba555…
05-10 21:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x857ea5…
05-10 21:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x90141f…
05-10 21:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xe8bce6…
05-10 21:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xa96867…
05-10 21:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0xd99db4…
05-10 21:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x9d751e…
05-10 21:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x824177…
05-10 21:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4bcdfb…
05-10 21:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x469943…
05-10 21:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x498e92…
05-10 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x203848…
05-10 21:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x700e4c…
05-10 21:24:39	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x51c56a…
05-09 21:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xef3f6d…
05-09 21:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xe10b69…
05-09 21:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x6ba8f5…
05-09 21:45:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9ed710…
05-09 21:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x48ca01…
05-09 21:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xbf7661…
05-09 21:39:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	27	23¢	$6	0x20421f…
05-09 00:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xa8ac2d…
05-09 00:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	0	67¢	$0	0xa9f45a…
05-09 00:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x93e4c8…
05-09 00:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0x3a5ec7…
05-09 00:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x023235…
05-09 00:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x6f358c…
05-09 00:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x4dc354…
05-09 00:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1c69db…
05-09 00:44:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xee00b8…
05-09 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x2de85d…
05-09 00:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x037452…
05-09 00:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xd58927…
05-09 00:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x71949d…
05-09 00:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x9fe6ac…
05-09 00:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa40cec…
05-09 00:36:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0x18fa3a…
05-09 00:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7cfe9a…
05-09 00:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe687d9…
05-09 00:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x75c509…
05-09 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x045bfa…
05-09 00:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd8c8be…
05-09 00:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x887695…
05-09 00:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x098032…
05-09 00:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xf7beaa…
05-09 00:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xc132ee…
05-09 00:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x96bd1f…
05-09 00:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x7de71b…
05-09 00:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xaddffd…
05-09 00:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x2985cf…
05-09 00:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xb047a9…
05-09 00:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x4ef6d6…
05-09 00:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x04803f…
05-09 00:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x42c95d…
05-09 00:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0xf5091c…
05-09 00:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x7f55bb…