Baggy-Wood-Hire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

141

lifetime

Volume

$84.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$602

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 06-01 22:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

82% 0% $-11

Other

12% 100% +$9

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	3	$15.0K	9,887	5,100	+4,787	open	—	04-20 03:07
will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	3	$9.2K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	04-17 00:25
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	10	$8.7K	4,400	4,400	+0	open	—	04-14 21:05
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	3	$6.6K	2,890	3,690	-800	open	—	04-08 01:30
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$5.0K	5,063	0	+5,063	open	—	06-01 22:45
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	04-08 01:34
Will Trump dance today?	1	$4.8K	4,796	0	+4,796	open	—	04-27 21:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	1	$4.8K	4,791	0	+4,791	open	—	04-22 21:10
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	1	$4.7K	4,706	0	+4,706	Yes	+$9	05-04 00:01
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	04-12 21:02
will iran strike uae again in march	4	$2.3K	1,177	1,177	+0	open	—	04-06 19:42
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	2	$2.0K	2,053	0	+2,053	open	—	05-15 18:55
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$1.8K	500	1,300	-800	open	—	04-08 01:30
will iran strike oman again in march	3	$1.5K	410	1,110	-700	open	—	04-06 19:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	10	$1.5K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	05-29 03:00
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	18	$1.4K	1,499	0	+1,499	open	—	05-13 10:56
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	23	$1.2K	1,365	0	+1,365	open	—	05-14 02:18
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	2	$998	500	500	+0	open	—	04-14 21:05
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	4	$997	500	500	+0	open	—	04-03 19:36
Military action against Iran ends by April 9, 2026?	1	$699	700	0	+700	open	—	04-12 21:02
Military action against Iran ends by April 28, 2026?	1	$500	500	0	+500	open	—	04-12 21:07
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	1	$498	500	0	+500	open	—	05-26 02:58
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$470	500	0	+500	open	—	04-14 21:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	05-28 23:22
Military action against Iran ends by April 13, 2026?	1	$400	400	0	+400	open	—	04-12 21:18
Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-12 21:04
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	1	$198	200	0	+200	open	—	05-15 21:57
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	1	$178	200	0	+200	open	—	05-25 22:03
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	04-12 20:53
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	2	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	04-04 21:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 22:45:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,973	100¢	$4,948	0xcb49f4…
06-01 22:45:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf47b1f…
06-01 22:45:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe81277…
06-01 22:45:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0xc034f5…
06-01 22:45:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbb4636…
06-01 22:45:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb45a06…
05-29 03:00:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x749522…
05-29 02:50:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x8e8ffd…
05-29 02:41:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$175	0xa5e492…
05-29 02:31:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x7205f8…
05-29 02:24:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x606583…
05-29 02:12:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xcc44c2…
05-29 02:05:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x3e0f6e…
05-29 01:18:04	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	700	100¢	$699	0x04c7e9…
05-29 01:16:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0xf49cfd…
05-29 00:43:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0xf774c6…
05-28 23:23:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0xa31dfa…
05-28 23:22:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	400	100¢	$400	0xa663ad…
05-27 23:57:56	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xdc24d1…
05-26 02:58:13	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0xda6736…
05-25 22:03:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	Yes	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x17cc28…
05-22 17:59:23	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	15¢	$14	0x333547…
05-22 11:43:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x201d03…
05-15 21:57:03	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd031f7…
05-15 18:55:05	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,853	100¢	$1,848	0x817dd2…
05-15 18:54:16	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x92fb3c…
05-15 09:36:20	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in May?	No	BUY	89	94¢	$84	0x8d4d99…
05-14 12:39:24	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x3dc083…
05-14 02:18:28	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0xa04f03…
05-14 00:20:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x15586d…
05-13 23:46:12	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0x0ba3cf…
05-13 23:44:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf70848…
05-13 22:28:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x4b2c91…
05-13 22:24:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0x78052f…
05-13 22:16:46	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x5e8129…
05-13 20:09:10	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x9a2796…
05-13 18:52:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xb5b357…
05-13 18:21:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x7fdb9b…
05-13 16:31:07	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xf494f7…
05-13 16:21:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	25	89¢	$22	0xec1aae…
05-13 16:12:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	105	89¢	$93	0x382479…
05-13 16:11:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	270	89¢	$240	0xa0e03f…
05-13 13:27:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x174ef8…
05-13 10:56:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	294	93¢	$275	0xd6b697…
05-13 10:41:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	106	93¢	$99	0xcfae66…
05-13 09:22:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0xf37bc6…
05-13 00:34:27	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	49	93¢	$46	0x05c5b1…
05-09 19:23:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xefabda…
05-09 19:19:31	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xc991be…
05-09 16:05:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x6200ac…
05-09 16:00:41	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	145	96¢	$139	0x9754e7…
05-09 12:16:59	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$33	0xc531a1…
05-09 12:14:58	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x4c3f12…
05-09 05:44:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x96b558…
05-08 18:14:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x589da2…
05-08 11:58:39	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0xb2ff15…
05-08 09:27:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	180	91¢	$164	0xf3fd38…
05-08 07:56:47	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	70	91¢	$64	0x9bcf6d…
05-07 10:56:34	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xbde620…
05-06 16:35:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa6030e…
05-06 16:33:19	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xeb3824…
05-06 15:41:45	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	134	96¢	$128	0x254301…
05-06 14:31:52	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0x626d70…
05-06 14:28:53	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xb5a883…
05-06 14:02:50	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa03b53…
05-06 10:45:56	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xd62604…
05-06 10:07:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x4cc445…
05-06 10:06:40	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x95f04a…
05-06 05:01:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in May?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x858d74…
05-05 22:55:32	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	75	15¢	$11	0x1ce0ab…
05-04 00:01:10	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,706	100¢	$4,697	0xbac45b…
04-27 21:01:28	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	4,796	100¢	$4,786	0x018f0f…
04-22 21:10:10	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	Yes	BUY	4,791	100¢	$4,786	0x78eb0b…
04-20 03:07:06	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	4,787	100¢	$4,782	0xf1689b…
04-19 08:07:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xb65790…
04-19 08:05:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x2210a3…
04-18 20:00:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd317e8…
04-18 19:48:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x7648c9…
04-18 19:48:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xfe0c04…
04-18 19:18:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xc76105…
04-18 19:12:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	6¢	$4	0x3d0786…
04-18 11:27:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x72f25e…
04-18 06:53:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xc5e8f3…
04-18 02:09:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	40	31¢	$12	0x01e14f…
04-17 20:39:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0x1ca5fe…
04-17 20:36:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xd5bac8…
04-17 20:21:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	SELL	5,100	100¢	$5,095	0x213571…
04-17 00:26:50	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	5,100	100¢	$5,085	0x84b628…
04-17 00:25:40	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	SELL	4,600	100¢	$4,595	0x77228b…
04-16 20:19:18	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x728995…
04-16 20:17:48	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0x51bb98…
04-16 19:45:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	14	9¢	$1	0xf555b7…
04-16 18:33:26	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	70	2¢	$2	0xbdd876…
04-15 21:31:52	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	4,275	100¢	$4,262	0x8fa465…
04-15 21:15:34	will trump post make iran great again or miga on truth social this week	No	BUY	325	100¢	$324	0xa5ddef…
04-14 21:30:42	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	500	94¢	$470	0x34b957…
04-14 21:05:22	Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	500	100¢	$500	0x9735e9…
04-14 21:05:18	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	4,400	100¢	$4,396	0xd09a63…
04-13 21:53:25	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	2,729	99¢	$2,709	0x9491f7…
04-13 21:48:39	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x3810b8…