Bare-Fellow — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$7.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.8%

Resolved (90d)

195

Trades (90d)

703

1,315 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$190.6K

$387.2K lifetime

Avg / trade

$294

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-26 02:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 79 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 56% -$12,442

Other

38% 53% +$2,575

Sports

1% 40% -$873

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 62k on june 8 2026	2	$11.1K	6,242	6,242	+0	Yes	+$1,330	06-08 16:13
bitcoin up or down on july 6 2026	10	$10.9K	11,909	11,909	+0	Up	-$4,545	07-06 15:46
will bitcoin reach 68k june 15 21 2026	6	$8.6K	6,296	6,296	+0	No	+$3,205	06-18 15:42
cs2 b8 lvg 2026 07 04 game1	2	$7.9K	4,908	4,908	+0	B8	+$1,903	07-04 06:58
will bitcoin reach 65k on august 6	2	$7.6K	4,187	4,187	+0	No	+$802	08-07 04:03
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner	2	$7.4K	4,023	4,023	+0	Top Esports	+$681	09-17 11:47
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner	2	$6.2K	3,247	3,247	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$321	09-05 15:33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	3	$5.4K	6,107	3,933	+2,173	Aurora Gaming	-$1,244	10-06 18:37
will bitcoin reach 64k on july 6	8	$5.2K	17,415	0	+17,415	Yes	-$5,150	07-06 17:50
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	2	$4.8K	3,137	3,137	+0	Spirit	+$1,424	10-07 20:31
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?	1	$4.8K	6,034	0	+6,034	Yes	+$1,207	06-23 04:46
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 total 3pt5	2	$4.7K	2,656	2,656	+0	Under	+$582	07-04 00:05
bitcoin up or down on july 5 2026	16	$4.7K	7,928	0	+7,928	Down	+$3,251	07-05 04:20
fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$4.6K	6,123	0	+6,123	Norway	+$1,531	07-05 21:43
will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 7	4	$4.4K	4,985	0	+4,985	No	+$565	06-07 16:48
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15?	4	$3.9K	2,281	2,281	+0	No	+$531	09-15 23:44
cs2 furia vit 2026 09 04	1	$3.9K	5,447	0	+5,447	Vitality	+$1,522	09-04 19:32
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner	3	$3.7K	2,221	2,221	+0	Legacy	+$709	09-09 09:46
Will France win on 2026-07-04?	1	$3.5K	4,070	0	+4,070	Yes	+$570	07-04 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24?	5	$3.5K	5,935	2,771	+3,164	Up	-$3,131	09-24 15:47
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 1pt5	2	$3.4K	3,737	3,737	+0	Cabo Verde	-$1,629	07-03 23:21
will bitcoin dip to 62k on july 6	1	$3.2K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	-$3,250	07-06 08:36
val fut1 nrg 2026 06 10	2	$3.0K	3,887	0	+3,887	FUT Esports	-$3,032	06-10 15:13
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?	1	$3.0K	4,918	0	+4,918	Yes	+$1,918	07-05 21:42
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	1	$3.0K	3,918	0	+3,918	Cleveland Guardians	+$940	10-07 21:44
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	2	$3.0K	3,288	3,288	+0	Natus Vincere	-$2,159	10-06 21:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 13?	2	$3.0K	1,564	1,564	+0	No	+$152	05-13 13:44
val g21 pr1 2026 09 29	2	$2.9K	1,663	1,663	+0	Paper Rex	+$407	09-29 12:14
will bitcoin reach 63k on july 3	3	$2.8K	5,644	1,378	+4,266	No	+$2,035	07-04 00:12
bitcoin up or down june 10 2026 2pm et	3	$2.7K	1,622	1,622	+0	Down	+$507	06-10 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 02:40:21	Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)	Kings	BUY	31	55¢	$17	0x31e720…
10-26 01:10:29	Pistons vs. 76ers	Pistons	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0xf930ba…
10-25 22:00:35	LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x702118…
10-08 09:57:57	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 2 Winner	100 Thieves	BUY	68	56¢	$38	0x0135ea…
10-08 09:11:42	Valorant: 100 Thieves vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winner	100 Thieves	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8e5a1a…
10-08 09:10:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 on October 8?	No	BUY	4,032	62¢	$2,500	0xa3a92e…
10-08 08:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0x0aed40…
10-08 07:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	621	52¢	$325	0x547a18…
10-08 05:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,319	76¢	$1,000	0x1b8de8…
10-07 21:44:51	Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	3,918	76¢	$2,978	0xfa7dad…
10-07 21:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1,071	2¢	$24	0x6d8c7f…
10-07 21:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1,071	28¢	$300	0xe4d44c…
10-07 21:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	636	63¢	$400	0xcd46ba…
10-07 21:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2,668	75¢	$2,000	0x01270c…
10-07 21:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1,306	16¢	$204	0x8fd382…
10-07 21:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1,306	77¢	$1,000	0xdf30f8…
10-07 21:06:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	344	87¢	$300	0x8535da…
10-07 21:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	135	59¢	$80	0xd29253…
10-07 21:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,002	60¢	$600	0x8dadc6…
10-07 21:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	922	65¢	$600	0xd11c2b…
10-07 21:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1,176	51¢	$600	0xacbd50…
10-07 20:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	2,000	17¢	$335	0x71b3b7…
10-07 20:42:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	772	76¢	$587	0xdf41b3…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xe9b043…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xca2ad6…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0xb091b1…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0x7cd188…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	17	76¢	$13	0x5bd745…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0x52d67a…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	56	76¢	$43	0x51cc1a…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0x302b4d…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$13	0x12662d…
10-07 20:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$10	0x007327…
10-07 20:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xde69f5…
10-07 20:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	432	76¢	$328	0xd5d6eb…
10-07 20:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0c319e…
10-07 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0xb2e598…
10-07 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x93c1a3…
10-07 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x91e7bb…
10-07 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	60	76¢	$46	0x7a785e…
10-07 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	16	76¢	$12	0x28b3b8…
10-07 20:42:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	120	76¢	$91	0x25949e…
10-07 20:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb94e8f…
10-07 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	24	76¢	$18	0xbd9268…
10-07 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x5314cc…
10-07 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	56	76¢	$43	0x3c1104…
10-07 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x338ff1…
10-07 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x1f10ce…
10-07 20:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x63b3bd…
10-07 20:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x03288c…
10-07 20:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	65	76¢	$49	0xf9f247…
10-07 20:31:57	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	SELL	3,137	100¢	$3,134	0x0048cb…
10-07 19:32:00	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs M80 - Map 2 Winner	Spirit	BUY	3,137	55¢	$1,710	0xf88edb…
10-07 13:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1,527	65¢	$1,000	0x2c039b…
10-07 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1,186	52¢	$616	0x8511f5…
10-07 13:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	649	15¢	$97	0xb200fe…
10-07 13:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	649	77¢	$500	0xcc0017…
10-07 12:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x2d541f…
10-07 12:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,003	90¢	$900	0x333e50…
10-07 12:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	944	93¢	$880	0x4191fd…
10-07 03:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0x3eaffd…
10-07 02:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xa4baf1…
10-06 22:15:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	63	83¢	$52	0x8cccda…
10-06 22:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	701	8¢	$56	0xa1fd33…
10-06 22:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	701	64¢	$446	0x2b9133…
10-06 22:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	457	100¢	$457	0x26083c…
10-06 21:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	457	70¢	$322	0x97d243…
10-06 21:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xb9cb39…
10-06 21:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	321	78¢	$250	0xed0843…
10-06 21:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	263	99¢	$260	0xdb8747…
10-06 21:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	263	50¢	$130	0x16b77e…
10-06 21:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	136	66¢	$90	0x5ad51a…
10-06 21:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2,537	4¢	$98	0x333700…
10-06 21:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2,537	62¢	$1,560	0x9f9df8…
10-06 21:14:26	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	SELL	3,288	12¢	$399	0x9df204…
10-06 21:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	1,217	100¢	$1,216	0x03a623…
10-06 21:06:30	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner	Natus Vincere	BUY	3,288	78¢	$2,558	0xf397fb…
10-06 20:58:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	1,217	82¢	$1,000	0xa9231f…
10-06 20:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,131	88¢	$1,000	0xf07ac2…
10-06 19:21:09	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	M80	BUY	2,942	73¢	$2,147	0x7fc845…
10-06 18:54:42	Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	M80	BUY	535	46¢	$246	0x1c0b53…
10-06 18:37:09	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Aurora Gaming	BUY	2,173	68¢	$1,478	0x821b9e…
10-06 18:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	250	76¢	$190	0x2e1e41…
10-06 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc19668…
10-06 18:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x914a70…
10-06 18:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb917b9…
10-06 18:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd0fe1a…
10-06 18:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc46ea6…
10-06 18:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x8caad5…
10-06 18:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xac1475…
10-06 18:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf200a7…
10-06 18:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x88e731…
10-06 18:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0af0e5…
10-06 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	80	50¢	$40	0xb0908a…
10-06 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x75ee08…
10-06 18:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x54f261…
10-06 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	148	50¢	$74	0x837f25…
10-06 18:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4de71b…
10-06 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	50¢	$12	0x4ba344…
10-06 18:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x89112a…