Realized P&L
-$32.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$16.4K
Hit rate
45.1%
Resolved
311
Trades
2,217
lifetime
Volume
$296.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$134
Open exposure
$137.3K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-24
last 10-26 21:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
60% 46% +$3,886
Sports
19% 45% -$19,474
Politics
19% 22% -$16,513
Crypto
2% 12% -$317
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 1073 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes +47,772 $33,106 100¢ $47.7K +$14,619 10-26 22:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +39,285 $36,980 93¢ $36.5K -$445 10-26 17:14
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +16,390 $15,335 94¢ $15.3K -$10 10-26 17:13
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +12,971 $11,750 100¢ $13.0K +$1,208 10-26 22:34
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House No +7,915 $5,848 74¢ $5.8K -$31 10-26 19:09
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,550 $2,960 66¢ $3.0K +$20 10-25 23:52
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +2,581 $2,101 100¢ $2.6K +$477 10-26 21:23
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +2,635 $1,981 72¢ $1.9K -$84 10-26 16:16
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,062 $1,485 74¢ $1.5K +$31 10-26 19:51
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +2,195 $1,429 66¢ $1.4K +$9 10-25 22:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +12,767 $733 7¢ $894 +$160 10-26 21:39
Suns vs. Thunder Thunder +993 $748 76¢ $750 +$1 10-26 18:16
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +954 $744 74¢ $702 -$43 10-26 22:07
LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Team Liquid +578 $287 98¢ $569 +$282 10-26 22:41
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +733 $505 68¢ $502 -$4 10-26 10:37
Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers Timberwolves +1,169 $444 42¢ $485 +$41 10-26 17:01
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,141 $472 40¢ $462 -$10 10-26 21:55
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +491 $457 92¢ $454 -$2 10-26 15:15
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +6,518 $326 6¢ $424 +$98 10-26 06:03
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +505 $412 80¢ $401 -$11 10-26 03:06
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +426 $371 89¢ $379 +$9 10-26 20:12
Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 in October? No +371 $361 97¢ $361 +$0 10-24 14:16
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +464 $301 66¢ $304 +$2 10-26 03:27
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +312 $302 97¢ $302 +$0 10-26 20:08
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in October? No +337 $232 84¢ $285 +$52 10-24 23:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? Yes +589 $266 46¢ $268 +$2 10-26 14:11
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +295 $258 90¢ $264 +$6 10-26 20:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? No +464 $222 55¢ $253 +$31 10-26 13:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +700 $245 34¢ $242 -$4 10-26 20:14
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +234 $218 90¢ $210 -$8 10-25 20:21