Realized P&L
-$28
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
48.0%
Resolved
25
Trades
57
lifetime
Volume
$145
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$7
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 06-08 15:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Crypto
38% 58% $-3
Politics
31% 0% $-17
Other
28% 0% $-8
Sports
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -16 $-3 18¢ $-3 $-0 06-08 15:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 06-08 15:22
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-08 15:22
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -20 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-08 15:40
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -18 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-08 15:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -11 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-08 15:31