Carefree-League-Request — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$151

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-30 01:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

36% 58% $-3

Politics

30% 0% $-17

Other

29% 0% $-8

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-05 17:51
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	6	$19	74	62	+11	open	—	05-07 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Down	+$4	05-05 09:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	5	$10	1,939	0	+1,939	No	$-7	05-06 18:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 11:29
Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	1	$6	14	0	+14	Yes	$-6	05-05 17:36
Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 5?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-05 16:25
Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-06 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$5	52	0	+52	Up	$-5	05-05 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-05 09:01
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-16 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-05 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-06 09:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$3	29	29	+0	open	—	05-07 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$3	75	0	+75	Up	$-3	05-05 11:41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$3	0	16	-16	open	—	06-08 15:20
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	2	$2	177	0	+177	No	$-2	05-07 07:37
Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	2	$1	106	53	+53	No	$-1	05-05 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-05 16:20
Will Marco Rubio say "Nuclear" or "Ballistic" during press briefing today?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Yes	$-1	05-05 17:38
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 17:39
Will "Rat" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	$-1	05-05 17:43
Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Ma	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Viktoria Morvayova	$-1	05-05 10:08
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Chennai Super Kings	$-1	05-05 18:11
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	6	0	+6	No	$-1	05-05 18:17
Will "YouTube" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$1	100	0	+100	Yes	$-1	05-05 17:41
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$1	500	0	+500	No	$-1	05-05 10:01
Will "Congress" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	1	$1	250	0	+250	open	—	05-05 18:20
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-30 00:57
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-30 01:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 01:02:56	will noah kahan have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbef79e…
06-30 01:02:17	will the weeknd have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x286283…
06-30 01:02:11	will beyonce have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35c679…
06-30 01:01:46	will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf8e195…
06-30 00:58:26	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc8bee7…
06-30 00:57:31	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0040da…
06-08 15:40:21	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xa3352f…
06-08 15:40:19	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x386e1c…
06-08 15:31:27	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xec2d27…
06-08 15:22:57	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcccec3…
06-08 15:22:16	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x04193e…
06-08 15:20:45	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	17¢	$3	0x15b531…
05-16 16:53:06	UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)	Melquizael Costa	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x672de4…
05-07 11:43:02	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x435b4f…
05-07 11:42:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x494d0f…
05-07 07:37:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x717721…
05-07 07:37:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	SELL	29	4¢	$1	0x203306…
05-06 20:23:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc085dd…
05-06 19:48:04	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x481199…
05-06 19:46:59	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0xbf3e08…
05-06 18:56:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x7d8b23…
05-06 18:55:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x65e41d…
05-06 18:50:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb151de…
05-06 18:49:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe8f1d5…
05-06 09:10:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd33e86…
05-06 09:06:56	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	31	10¢	$3	0x1849c6…
05-06 09:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x9e20b7…
05-06 09:04:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0x03859d…
05-05 21:22:54	Sinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha extradited to US by May 15?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xf5397e…
05-05 18:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x616141…
05-05 18:35:40	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	31	12¢	$4	0xe01698…
05-05 18:32:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x35771a…
05-05 18:31:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xfaa57b…
05-05 18:20:56	Will "Congress" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xdad6bd…
05-05 18:20:50	Will "Influencer" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa7f718…
05-05 18:17:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x903a8e…
05-05 18:11:24	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x95f17f…
05-05 17:51:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x22360b…
05-05 17:50:34	Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	SELL	53	0¢	$0	0xede213…
05-05 17:43:44	Will "Pyramid" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0xc7eaa0…
05-05 17:43:14	Will "Rat" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x74cd2a…
05-05 17:41:46	Will "YouTube" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week?	No	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1a0c8d…
05-05 17:40:02	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe98aa9…
05-05 17:39:34	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd9c8ef…
05-05 17:38:06	Will Marco Rubio say "Nuclear" or "Ballistic" during press briefing today?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa0d92d…
05-05 17:37:46	Will Rubio's remarks not air?	Yes	BUY	39	3¢	$1	0x5e4bbf…
05-05 17:36:48	Will Marco Rubio say "President" or "Trump" 10+ times during press briefing today?	No	BUY	14	44¢	$6	0xee14a3…
05-05 17:35:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x49bf41…
05-05 17:34:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa26631…
05-05 17:34:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc83435…
05-05 16:26:52	Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 5?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x04e8d8…
05-05 16:25:34	Will XRP reach $1.50 on May 5?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x60ac2f…
05-05 16:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x49cef0…
05-05 11:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x253f31…
05-05 11:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x11a95e…
05-05 11:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x9aa6d8…
05-05 10:08:46	Jiujiang: Viktoria Morvayova vs Yexin Ma	Yexin Ma	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x54da9b…
05-05 10:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd36d6f…
05-05 10:02:50	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xb5b1ed…
05-05 10:01:44	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xa70363…
05-05 10:01:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa6568a…
05-05 09:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x39d410…
05-05 09:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x62f6a4…