Long-Term-Keystone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

115

Trades

260

lifetime

Volume

$1.50K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-29 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 56 days

Categories

Other

95% 54% -$20

Politics

3% 100% +$1

Tech

2% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

1% 0% -$12

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-29).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-19 20:40
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	2	$29	15	15	+0	No	+$1	06-02 12:52
Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	1	$25	25	0	+25	No	+$0	06-29 02:32
will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	2	$24	12	12	+0	No	+$0	06-08 20:24
Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	2	$24	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	06-04 01:36
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	04-29 16:06
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 12.5m and 13.5m?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	05-04 19:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	2	$19	10	10	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 09:27
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	06-01 06:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$19	19	0	+19	No	+$0	06-25 12:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on April 27?	3	$15	45	0	+45	No	$0	04-26 17:51
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 36°C on May 5?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-04 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 2?	2	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-02 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-12 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on April 26?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-26 01:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on April 28?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 13:13
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-25 08:01
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 17?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	05-16 17:43
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on May 3?	2	$15	30	0	+30	No	$0	05-03 04:36
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on May 6?	3	$15	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	05-06 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?	4	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	06-07 15:40
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on April 27?	5	$15	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-27 12:38
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-23 13:42
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-22 15:37
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 21 2026 25c	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	04-20 23:08
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 28?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	06-28 14:50
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 62-63°F on May 4?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-04 16:51
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 4?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-04 00:37
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on May 2?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	+$0	05-02 01:04
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on May 2?	2	$14	28	0	+28	No	$0	05-02 00:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 02:32:50	Timothy Chalamet confirmed to be EsDeeKid by June 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x67c286…
06-29 02:00:50	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x4f31c4…
06-29 01:58:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x623b37…
06-28 14:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xbd0e90…
06-28 10:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 11°C on June 28?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x17382a…
06-27 21:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x416ce0…
06-27 19:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xb2e7d8…
06-27 19:36:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x59fffd…
06-27 14:18:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 28?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x317b32…
06-26 23:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 27?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xbf0841…
06-26 15:14:32	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on June 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xc28df0…
06-25 12:43:50	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2353b7…
06-25 08:01:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	15	1¢	$0	0x1c72da…
06-25 07:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 25?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc2b588…
06-24 13:14:11	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x2630ca…
06-24 13:07:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x31d758…
06-24 12:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x1ff7d0…
06-24 08:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 24?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x469faa…
06-23 13:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 24?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xd71b2e…
06-23 13:42:07	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x8f3b81…
06-22 18:30:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 23?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x730ede…
06-22 16:43:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on June 23?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe3fd54…
06-22 16:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 23?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x42b6bf…
06-22 15:37:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 23?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x176dfa…
06-21 08:58:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x66f203…
06-21 08:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf29b34…
06-20 05:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x63160a…
06-20 05:39:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x57893b…
06-19 20:40:04	Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x90b571…
06-18 10:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc4cdbc…
06-18 09:49:35	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 18?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x87ca26…
06-17 09:27:23	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc595c9…
06-16 23:44:49	Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 4?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xc1c163…
06-15 16:24:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xc242f5…
06-15 16:11:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x46f82a…
06-15 00:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 15?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x83da76…
06-14 19:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 15?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x80c001…
06-14 18:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 15?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x771027…
06-13 20:10:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x2386ae…
06-13 18:19:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 14?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x43d794…
06-12 18:12:22	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13?	Yes	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0x502151…
06-12 12:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 13?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x537ba9…
06-12 01:34:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x114f83…
06-12 01:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 12?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x77970b…
06-11 06:07:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0xebb3ce…
06-11 06:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 11?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xffb4d4…
06-09 08:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 9?	No	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x129939…
06-09 08:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xc8d354…
06-08 20:24:12	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x89517e…
06-08 17:25:10	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x327390…
06-08 12:02:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 9?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x123147…
06-07 15:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x95eba0…
06-07 14:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xccc5f9…
06-07 14:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x0c28e5…
06-07 13:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 8?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xb6b1c0…
06-07 02:22:58	will apple announce the iphone 18 during the wwdc 2026 keynote	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x69142e…
06-06 08:04:33	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x10acf7…
06-06 07:52:00	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc80699…
06-05 12:04:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0xe9b3f8…
06-05 12:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 6?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xff9469…
06-04 16:54:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 5?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0x2ae4bb…
06-04 12:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 5?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0x999b28…
06-04 01:36:15	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xf335ed…
06-03 08:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	No	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0xe23bd3…
06-03 08:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C or below on June 3?	Yes	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xdb484e…
06-02 12:52:11	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x292bc7…
06-02 12:51:05	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xf82db8…
06-02 12:04:53	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xa1c82f…
06-02 02:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0xe2526e…
06-02 00:29:59	Will Huh Tae-jung win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x6bf640…
06-01 15:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 2?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x66f0f6…
06-01 12:17:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on June 2?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x62ac0b…
06-01 06:52:52	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x51edf9…
06-01 06:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	11	2¢	$0	0x5fd843…
06-01 06:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 1?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd49894…
06-01 05:41:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 1?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x569697…
05-31 18:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on June 1?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x0399e0…
05-31 12:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C or below on June 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x001d1b…
05-31 03:31:04	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x7b0572…
05-30 14:43:05	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x185d71…
05-30 13:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on May 31?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x9d2ea9…
05-30 01:16:11	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x77af0e…
05-29 19:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xcdcd1c…
05-29 17:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C or higher on May 30?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x2d16fb…
05-29 00:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x94b54c…
05-28 23:57:22	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 29?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x4c95e0…
05-28 13:16:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x943129…
05-28 12:13:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on May 29?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xfc22f6…
05-28 04:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	11	1¢	$0	0x2c099b…
05-28 03:45:17	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x64c5dc…
05-28 03:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 28?	Yes	BUY	13	1¢	$0	0x97eda1…
05-27 20:01:58	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 27?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x08c28e…
05-27 13:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xba3ff7…
05-27 13:25:20	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0x5826b7…
05-27 12:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on May 28?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xe72451…
05-27 10:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on May 27?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x01474e…
05-27 00:00:27	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xd255df…
05-26 23:49:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x401328…
05-26 17:25:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on May 27?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x7e1353…
05-26 15:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 64-65°F on May 27?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x64abb9…