Outlandish-Precedent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$111

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-24 05:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

62% — —

Crypto

38% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	9	$4.2K	1,858	2,321	-464	open	—	01-21 03:23
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$938	473	473	+0	open	—	02-12 03:10
will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	2	$922	462	462	+0	open	—	01-23 09:35
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	1	$469	470	0	+470	open	—	02-22 02:52
bitcoin above 78k on february 7	1	$468	468	0	+468	open	—	02-07 06:12
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	1	$466	466	0	+466	open	—	02-03 05:48
bitcoin above 68k on march 21	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	03-21 09:03
will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 28	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	03-28 03:08
xrp above 1pt3 on march 22	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	03-22 06:54
ethereum above 2100 on april 14	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-14 06:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$48	48	0	+48	open	—	04-26 03:07
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	1	$47	48	0	+48	open	—	04-13 02:38
ethereum above 2100 on april 19	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-19 02:32
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	03-30 02:32
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$46	47	0	+47	open	—	03-27 02:30
will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 12	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-12 02:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	05-17 05:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	05-22 10:10
ethereum above 1800 on march 20	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-20 03:04
will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 10	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-10 02:33
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	1	$43	43	0	+43	open	—	05-15 05:22
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-20 02:28
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-16 02:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-28 02:57
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 6	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-06 05:18
ethereum above 2100 on april 23	1	$40	40	0	+40	open	—	04-23 03:00
bitcoin above 60k on april 7	1	$39	39	0	+39	open	—	04-07 03:23
ethereum above 2600 on april 24	1	$38	38	0	+38	open	—	04-24 03:36
solana above 70 on april 15	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-15 02:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	05-16 05:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 05:29:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb530b4…
05-22 10:10:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x77b9ed…
05-21 09:12:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x166017…
05-20 07:10:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x1f3319…
05-19 05:35:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x514e55…
05-17 05:52:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa4ddf7…
05-16 05:17:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xaadb65…
05-15 05:22:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 15?	Yes	BUY	43	100¢	$43	0x097e4e…
05-14 05:41:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x5e1a21…
05-11 09:04:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xfef324…
05-07 02:13:23	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa6fe59…
05-05 08:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb439e9…
05-02 03:44:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 2?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x86da3c…
05-01 02:45:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 1?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7b7923…
04-30 05:17:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x0f3f35…
04-29 08:43:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x1f1bf7…
04-28 02:57:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x6b7794…
04-27 02:32:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x7f106e…
04-26 03:07:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xfbf902…
04-25 02:52:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on April 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x856290…
04-24 03:36:44	ethereum above 2600 on april 24	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xd031fb…
04-23 03:00:20	ethereum above 2100 on april 23	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x128eba…
04-22 02:38:04	ethereum above 2000 on april 22	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x94302c…
04-21 02:50:28	ethereum above 2100 on april 21	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xbc880f…
04-20 02:28:52	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xd81c53…
04-19 02:32:02	ethereum above 2100 on april 19	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x333d5b…
04-18 03:02:10	will the price of ethereum be between 2100 2200 on april 19	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x110488…
04-17 05:19:48	bitcoin above 70k on april 17	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3c40c0…
04-16 02:48:30	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0xcb7045…
04-15 02:44:36	solana above 70 on april 15	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x601674…
04-14 06:39:51	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xd63b26…
04-13 02:38:47	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	48	100¢	$47	0x89b41c…
04-12 02:31:51	will the price of solana be between 90 100 on april 12	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x89bf63…
04-11 02:30:23	bitcoin above 68k on april 11	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc29bfd…
04-10 02:33:59	will the price of xrp be between 1pt50 1pt60 on april 10	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xd5b2bd…
04-09 02:29:03	bitcoin above 66k on april 9	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf1a82b…
04-08 02:25:35	ethereum above 1900 on april 8	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xab2484…
04-07 03:23:55	bitcoin above 60k on april 7	Yes	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0xcb941b…
04-06 05:18:15	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 6	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5b9371…
04-05 02:39:27	bitcoin above 62k on april 5	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xf26751…
04-04 02:29:27	ethereum above 1800 on april 4	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x3112f1…
04-03 06:28:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xc5e816…
04-02 03:07:43	ethereum above 1800 on april 2	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa02e4a…
04-01 02:36:33	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 1	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x634ff9…
03-31 02:32:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4f6701…
03-30 02:32:06	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x79a38e…
03-29 03:20:06	bitcoin above 60k on march 29	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xad5c8b…
03-28 03:08:51	will the price of xrp be between 1pt10 1pt20 on march 28	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x1b1757…
03-27 02:30:01	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	47	100¢	$46	0x7a8c86…
03-26 02:21:49	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xea85ba…
03-25 08:52:51	ethereum above 1900 on march 25	Yes	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xa2eee3…
03-24 02:17:37	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 24	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x106b30…
03-23 03:13:47	will the price of ethereum be less than 1800 on march 23	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x205f67…
03-22 06:54:29	xrp above 1pt3 on march 22	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0xad03a2…
03-21 09:03:29	bitcoin above 68k on march 21	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x677598…
03-20 03:04:09	ethereum above 1800 on march 20	Yes	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x3d1e0f…
03-19 03:17:49	solana above 110 on march 19	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x94d822…
03-18 02:59:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 18	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdb5652…
03-17 09:34:13	xrp above 1pt4 on march 17	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xecb7ca…
03-15 02:30:07	ethereum above 1600 on march 16	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe1d725…
03-14 08:29:51	bitcoin above 66k on march 14	Yes	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd881e0…
03-13 09:20:45	xrp above 1pt3 on march 13	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa0562d…
03-11 02:56:47	solana above 70 on march 11	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd533f9…
03-10 02:32:09	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on march 10	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x6013e3…
03-09 05:16:45	bitcoin above 60k on march 9	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf21f81…
03-05 03:00:03	ethereum above 1800 on march 5	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x69e388…
03-04 05:33:39	bitcoin above 60k on march 4	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x2b3ba5…
03-03 02:57:29	bitcoin above 60k on march 3	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x6a4ac6…
03-02 03:56:17	will the price of solana be between 100 110 on march 2	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8fec28…
03-01 04:08:41	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on march 1	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x52eab3…
02-28 07:22:37	bitcoin above 68k on february 28	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe511f7…
02-22 02:52:20	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 260 279	No	BUY	470	100¢	$469	0x0e514e…
02-12 03:10:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	473	99¢	$470	0x052984…
02-11 02:38:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	473	99¢	$468	0x542482…
02-07 06:12:43	bitcoin above 78k on february 7	No	BUY	468	100¢	$468	0xb26a96…
02-03 05:48:10	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 440 459	No	BUY	466	100¢	$466	0xb9d8c7…
01-23 09:35:50	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	SELL	462	100¢	$461	0xfb5413…
01-22 02:57:28	will bitcoin dip to 40k in january 2026	No	BUY	462	100¢	$461	0xb1d327…
01-21 03:23:12	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	462	100¢	$461	0x6022cd…
01-20 02:36:18	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	462	100¢	$462	0x665775…
01-14 06:23:28	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	464	100¢	$462	0x4b4612…
01-12 03:48:18	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	464	100¢	$462	0xfadcd7…
01-10 05:42:50	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	464	100¢	$462	0xaeb24b…
01-09 06:52:16	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	466	99¢	$462	0xbf0876…
01-06 06:51:59	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	466	99¢	$463	0xc60fab…
01-05 11:05:29	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	466	99¢	$463	0x9da8e7…
01-03 09:11:21	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	466	99¢	$462	0x558d75…