Attentive-Ejector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$194

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

1,903

Trades

3,078

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-21

last 07-31 02:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 48% +$200

Other

1% 43% -$15

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Tech

0% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		+0	$2	3¢	$0	-$2	05-16 05:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	110	$146	1,120	1,120	+0	open	—	05-16 05:15
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$115	578	578	+0	No	+$4	03-29 19:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 04:20 UTC	2	$72	48	47	+1	Up	+$23	02-24 04:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 17:00 UTC	5	$50	84	43	+41	Down	-$4	02-24 17:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-23 23:20 UTC	2	$47	47	46	+1	Down	-$1	02-23 23:19
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	30	$44	9,834	2,523	+7,311	No	-$5	06-16 03:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:35 UTC	2	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	03-07 06:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 08:45 UTC	2	$44	29	29	+0	Up	+$14	02-22 08:50
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 11:35 UTC	6	$43	58	27	+31	Down	-$16	04-05 11:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:10 UTC	4	$42	105	30	+75	Down	+$19	02-21 20:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 20:15 UTC	6	$42	59	30	+30	Up	-$14	02-21 20:17
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 10:20 UTC	4	$42	59	26	+34	Up	+$16	03-21 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 22:50 UTC	4	$42	37	36	+1	Down	+$1	03-25 22:52
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$40	67	67	+0	Yes	+$0	03-09 19:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 16:20 UTC	3	$39	36	35	+1	Up	+$3	04-05 16:23
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 03:05 UTC	5	$39	53	34	+19	Up	+$8	04-05 03:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 03:50 UTC	4	$39	40	39	+0	Down	+$9	03-22 03:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 14:15 UTC	2	$38	61	15	+47	Down	+$23	04-05 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 05:00 UTC	3	$38	90	0	+90	Up	+$52	02-24 05:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 07:20 UTC	4	$37	98	29	+69	Down	-$15	03-14 07:24
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 06:00 UTC	3	$37	49	24	+25	Down	-$13	03-14 05:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:30 UTC	5	$36	49	30	+19	Up	+$5	03-10 12:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 13:30 UTC	4	$36	32	31	+0	Down	+$16	02-22 13:34
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 17:20 UTC	3	$35	56	30	+25	Down	-$6	03-23 17:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 04:00 UTC	3	$35	86	0	+86	Down	-$35	02-24 04:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 16:50 UTC	2	$35	39	39	+1	Up	-$4	02-24 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-22 06:10 UTC	4	$35	46	19	+28	Down	+$12	03-22 06:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 03:55 UTC	3	$34	84	0	+84	Down	-$34	02-24 03:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-24 10:35 UTC	2	$33	38	37	+1	Down	-$7	02-24 10:38
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	7	$33	607	607	+0	No	+$5	03-29 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 02:08:02	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,224	0¢	$4	0x965fe6…
07-31 02:04:14	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x8cab0d…
07-31 01:44:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x2ef47a…
07-31 01:34:41	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x89d684…
07-31 01:33:44	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x392f7f…
07-31 00:53:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,041	0¢	$6	0xebecad…
06-16 03:21:42	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x42df0c…
06-16 01:22:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	500	1¢	$4	0x42a690…
06-15 00:01:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$8	0x191a34…
06-14 07:47:28	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,872	0¢	$4	0xfb854b…
06-14 05:43:43	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x7cf96d…
06-14 05:16:18	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbcad3e…
06-14 04:24:31	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x555ba1…
06-14 03:57:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,000	1¢	$8	0x73ed2e…
06-14 03:26:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x15a7d5…
06-14 03:13:48	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xee5a0d…
06-14 03:04:30	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd2e91f…
06-14 02:40:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x83bc71…
06-14 02:40:24	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	0¢	$0	0x6dbfb1…
06-14 01:19:22	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5fe5a1…
06-13 20:58:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	280	0¢	$1	0x8b7232…
06-13 18:50:03	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x22f330…
06-13 12:44:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1ed3c7…
06-13 12:22:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	0¢	$0	0x7740d2…
06-13 12:13:51	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	0¢	$0	0xe6a30b…
06-13 12:12:15	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	225	0¢	$0	0x4747d2…
06-13 12:12:00	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	225	0¢	$0	0xded583…
06-13 12:11:54	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x84c998…
06-13 12:01:16	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x65ddff…
06-13 11:54:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	225	0¢	$0	0xb07eab…
06-13 11:54:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x936ab7…
06-13 11:54:55	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	270	0¢	$1	0x4a44f7…
06-13 11:54:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x2de1fb…
06-13 11:47:45	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b8bac…
06-13 11:47:36	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	340	0¢	$1	0xfd26ec…
06-13 11:33:33	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,564	0¢	$14	0x31ae0f…
06-12 23:44:37	Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x25019c…
06-12 20:49:24	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2d7bc2…
06-12 11:52:27	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x9fe585…
05-16 09:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	18¢	$1	0x384b0d…
05-16 09:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xf6c842…
05-16 09:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x8513d2…
05-16 09:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc49227…
05-16 09:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xcceb31…
05-16 09:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa5d257…
05-16 08:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xe16440…
05-16 08:40:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc85eea…
05-16 08:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd3572b…
05-16 08:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa50dcc…
05-16 07:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xbe3d0e…
05-16 07:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8e4ffd…
05-16 07:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xbed505…
05-16 07:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x68ecd0…
05-16 07:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0x6e400f…
05-16 07:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xb6191e…
05-16 07:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x425db5…
05-16 07:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xda4968…
05-16 07:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0xd1f078…
05-16 07:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3a58a0…
05-16 05:43:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x8d7a48…
05-16 05:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3ee1de…
05-16 05:15:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa0aea9…
05-16 05:15:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x402527…
05-16 05:15:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xdb498f…
05-16 05:15:45	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x45f489…
05-16 05:15:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3191ed…
05-16 05:15:36	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x960e06…
05-16 05:15:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x3a44e0…
05-16 05:15:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x80dfbf…
05-16 05:15:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x43cb19…
05-16 05:15:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x3522bf…
05-16 05:15:17	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x510dd0…
05-16 05:15:15	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xf115f4…
05-16 05:15:10	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xca01fa…
05-16 05:15:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x5fc56f…
05-16 05:15:01	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x75a0e7…
05-16 05:15:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd3f94f…
05-16 05:14:56	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe731ab…
05-16 05:14:53	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x954c85…
05-16 05:14:47	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x9b1187…
05-16 05:14:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd4b7a9…
05-16 05:14:40	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x081ea0…
05-16 05:14:39	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd5563b…
05-16 05:14:33	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xfe21ca…
05-16 05:14:32	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xed85ee…
05-16 05:14:26	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x86a0f7…
05-16 05:14:25	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xd9198c…
05-16 05:14:19	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xe0a19c…
05-16 05:14:18	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x4ad6f4…
05-16 05:14:12	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x926bcf…
05-16 05:14:11	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe76495…
05-16 05:14:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xf6d277…
05-16 05:14:04	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x7c2bed…
05-16 05:13:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xdede68…
05-16 05:13:57	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x396622…
05-16 05:13:51	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x1ec098…
05-16 05:13:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xce4b55…
05-16 05:13:44	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xc94a12…
05-16 05:13:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x8685af…
05-16 05:13:37	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0x6e3026…