Linear-Exaggeration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

758

lifetime

Volume

$1.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-02 13:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 0% $-1

Other

35% 85% $-11

Sports

2% 67% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 179 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	2	$55	28	28	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	+$1	05-13 15:33
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 Winner	2	$54	28	28	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	+$2	05-12 15:06
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage	2	$49	26	26	+0	LPH Gaming	+$3	05-12 14:14
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Haunted House (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	2	$43	22	22	+0	Lynn Vision	+$1	05-12 09:25
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	2	$41	21	21	+0	TYLOO	+$1	05-12 05:23
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C	2	$33	19	19	+0	BIG Academy	+$5	05-11 12:30
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	1	$28	29	0	+29	Red Feet	$-28	05-13 16:44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$23	13	13	+0	TheMongolz	+$3	05-11 10:21
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Project 91 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group A	1	$22	23	0	+23	GenOne	+$1	05-12 10:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$1	05-11 14:01
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-20 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-18 13:06
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-19 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 12:46
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 13:41
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-17 13:00
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-17 14:59
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-18 11:10
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-18 10:20
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-19 10:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 21?	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-18 12:49
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Pacific Playoffs	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 13:01
Athletic Club vs. EC Juventude: O/U 2.5	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 01:48
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 13:01
Spread: AC Milan (-1.5)	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-17 13:02
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 14:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc099b4…
06-02 12:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x33705c…
06-02 12:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0aafe2…
06-02 12:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7045ed…
06-02 12:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb61bb4…
06-02 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2a60e0…
06-02 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x41161d…
06-02 08:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd2eb7d…
06-02 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd98390…
06-02 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5565f1…
06-02 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x400063…
06-02 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd5ad5b…
06-02 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x674899…
06-02 07:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x9eb820…
06-02 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce1f1a…
06-02 07:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ef73a…
06-02 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa35d2c…
06-02 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x736f2a…
06-02 07:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x29b073…
06-02 07:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8c8a11…
06-02 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8a8f66…
06-02 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc4659c…
06-02 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb1a0de…
06-02 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7bf6b7…
06-02 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x48d704…
06-02 05:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6e3f4b…
06-02 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x39fad7…
06-02 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10c38e…
06-02 05:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x08938a…
06-02 05:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8e1e4…
06-02 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x59e8d8…
06-02 02:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xab29bb…
06-02 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaef5ec…
06-02 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xdee2aa…
06-02 02:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0c503b…
06-02 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x174934…
06-02 01:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2363df…
06-02 01:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa358f6…
06-02 01:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x247110…
06-02 01:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2216e…
06-02 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf54c5…
06-02 00:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x14589a…
06-02 00:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbe9d04…
06-02 00:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6fe9ec…
06-02 00:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x343e18…
06-02 00:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4e190d…
06-02 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x015125…
06-02 00:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6dee1…
06-02 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6bc7b9…
06-02 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x33e646…
06-02 00:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x84ca0c…
06-01 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf49057…
06-01 23:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x91c88a…
06-01 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x86a9f8…
06-01 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9ae77f…
06-01 23:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a887c…
06-01 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb0e17…
06-01 23:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2d06e7…
06-01 23:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xef735c…
06-01 23:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x314ca2…
06-01 23:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x318ba3…
06-01 22:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7ba094…
06-01 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x34d142…
06-01 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8358f5…
06-01 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3f26c1…
06-01 22:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xaf2a9e…
06-01 22:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x86d1a6…
06-01 22:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x987b32…
06-01 22:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1081a7…
06-01 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfeb409…
06-01 21:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfcd820…
06-01 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfa37be…
06-01 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xbb4e79…
06-01 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe702c7…
06-01 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0256b7…
06-01 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x22b9c9…
06-01 21:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c87bd…
06-01 21:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa65600…
06-01 21:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbbe976…
06-01 21:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf13f11…
06-01 20:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe5772e…
06-01 20:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x9c4e77…
06-01 20:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x977abf…
06-01 20:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x26985c…
06-01 20:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4e17ce…
06-01 20:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xece3fc…
06-01 20:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdbf44f…
06-01 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee5da4…
06-01 20:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc048e1…
06-01 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xb7d878…
06-01 19:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfedcd1…
06-01 19:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe9a1bd…
06-01 19:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xed7f14…
06-01 19:35:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc824bd…
06-01 19:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x809b5c…
06-01 19:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xc19074…
06-01 19:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa2bbaa…
06-01 19:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xfd1e2c…
06-01 19:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfa1ba1…
06-01 19:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x25c740…