Linear-Exaggeration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.8%

Resolved

806

Trades

865

lifetime

Volume

$1.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-22 16:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 62% +$60

Other

41% 49% -$33

Sports

2% 67% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Counter-Strike: Haunted House vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	2	$55	28	28	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	+$1	05-13 15:33
Counter-Strike: Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER - Map 2 Winner	2	$54	28	28	+0	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	+$2	05-12 15:06
Counter-Strike: Clutchain vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage	2	$49	26	26	+0	LPH Gaming	+$3	05-12 14:14
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Haunted House (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B	2	$43	22	22	+0	Lynn Vision	+$1	05-12 09:25
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 5star (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group A	2	$41	21	21	+0	TYLOO	+$1	05-12 05:23
Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs BIG Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Group C	2	$33	19	19	+0	BIG Academy	+$5	05-11 12:30
Counter-Strike: Vasco Esports vs Red Feet (BO3) - CCT South America Series 2 Group Stage	1	$28	29	0	+29	Red Feet	-$28	05-13 16:44
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$23	13	13	+0	TheMongolz	+$3	05-11 10:21
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Project 91 (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group A	1	$22	23	0	+23	GenOne	+$1	05-12 10:00
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 11?	1	$18	19	0	+19	Yes	+$1	05-11 14:01
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$14	32	0	+32	No	-$14	05-13 18:45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?	2	$11	8	8	+0	No	-$1	05-24 04:18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on May 24?	2	$11	9	9	+0	No	-$3	05-24 04:18
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	2	$11	7	7	+0	Tundra Esports	+$3	05-20 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-18 13:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-18 13:06
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	1	$10	14	0	+14	Knicks	+$4	05-19 10:07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 23?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	05-23 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-18 12:46
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Alycia Parks vs Moyuka Uchijima	2	$8	6	6	+0	Alycia Parks	+$4	05-18 13:41
Will Athletic Club vs. EC Juventude end in a draw?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	05-18 01:48
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$7	5	5	+0	Team Liquid	+$3	05-17 13:00
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-05-17?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$3	05-18 01:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 22?	2	$6	19	0	+19	No	-$6	05-22 05:41
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 22?	3	$6	20	0	+20	No	-$6	05-22 05:41
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	2	$6	4	4	+0	Spirit	+$2	05-17 14:59
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	2	$6	4	4	+0	Walczaki	+$2	05-18 11:10
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)	2	$5	3	3	+0	Kiwoom DRX Challengers	+$1	05-18 10:20
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	1	$5	12	0	+12	Yes	+$7	06-17 17:07
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on May 21?	1	$5	14	0	+14	Yes	+$9	05-21 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 16:05:52	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfb3ba2…
06-22 16:05:04	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xd199df…
06-21 14:56:14	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x8d32d2…
06-21 14:55:23	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xc33490…
06-21 14:55:04	fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	Belgium	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf05dd4…
06-21 14:54:17	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 btts	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xcc7a3f…
06-21 14:54:07	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 2pt5	Spain	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaf76f3…
06-17 17:07:49	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcca6d1…
06-17 17:07:26	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8db714…
06-17 17:07:11	Will England win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x47ba96…
06-17 17:05:52	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa35529…
06-02 13:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xc099b4…
06-02 12:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x33705c…
06-02 12:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0aafe2…
06-02 12:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7045ed…
06-02 12:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb61bb4…
06-02 12:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2a60e0…
06-02 12:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x41161d…
06-02 08:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd2eb7d…
06-02 08:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd98390…
06-02 08:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5565f1…
06-02 08:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7233f1…
06-02 08:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x400063…
06-02 08:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x271148…
06-02 08:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd5ad5b…
06-02 08:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x674899…
06-02 07:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2a5a02…
06-02 07:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x9eb820…
06-02 07:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xce1f1a…
06-02 07:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ef73a…
06-02 07:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0ef1af…
06-02 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa35d2c…
06-02 07:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x736f2a…
06-02 07:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x29b073…
06-02 07:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8c8a11…
06-02 07:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8a8f66…
06-02 06:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc4659c…
06-02 05:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb1a0de…
06-02 05:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0x7bf6b7…
06-02 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x48d704…
06-02 05:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6e3f4b…
06-02 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x39fad7…
06-02 05:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x10c38e…
06-02 05:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x08938a…
06-02 05:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd8e1e4…
06-02 05:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x59e8d8…
06-02 02:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xab29bb…
06-02 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xaef5ec…
06-02 02:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xdee2aa…
06-02 02:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0c503b…
06-02 01:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x174934…
06-02 01:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x97619c…
06-02 01:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2363df…
06-02 01:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2e2ed4…
06-02 01:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xf66cf1…
06-02 01:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa358f6…
06-02 01:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x93c99c…
06-02 01:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb428ed…
06-02 01:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x247110…
06-02 01:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b853f…
06-02 01:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb2216e…
06-02 01:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbf54c5…
06-02 00:55:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6a8ff5…
06-02 00:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x14589a…
06-02 00:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xbe9d04…
06-02 00:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcaa772…
06-02 00:35:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6fe9ec…
06-02 00:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x343e18…
06-02 00:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4e190d…
06-02 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x015125…
06-02 00:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa6dee1…
06-02 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6bc7b9…
06-02 00:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x33e646…
06-02 00:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x84ca0c…
06-01 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf49057…
06-01 23:50:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x91c88a…
06-01 23:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x86a9f8…
06-01 23:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x9ae77f…
06-01 23:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5a887c…
06-01 23:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdb0e17…
06-01 23:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x2d06e7…
06-01 23:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xef735c…
06-01 23:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x314ca2…
06-01 23:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x318ba3…
06-01 22:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x7ba094…
06-01 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x34d142…
06-01 22:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8358f5…
06-01 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3f26c1…
06-01 22:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xaf2a9e…
06-01 22:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x86d1a6…
06-01 22:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x987b32…
06-01 22:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1081a7…
06-01 22:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfeb409…
06-01 21:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfcd820…
06-01 21:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfa37be…
06-01 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	44¢	$1	0xbb4e79…
06-01 21:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe702c7…
06-01 21:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0256b7…
06-01 21:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x22b9c9…
06-01 21:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c87bd…