Last-Pocketwatch — Polymarket

├──spot/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

├──perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──token-analysis

│ ├──wallets

│ ├──favourites

│ ├──heatmap

│ ├──treemap

│ └──orderflow

├──cex-perps/

│ ├──tokens

│ ├──tier & flow

│ ├──funding

│ ├──spreads

│ ├──sentiment

│ ├──orderflow

│ ├──trades

│ └──heatmap

└──options/

├──btc

├──eth

└──sol

Realized P&L (90d)

+$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved (90d)

16

Trades (90d)

43

43 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.75K

$4.75K lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 64% $-3

Other

3% 100% +$35

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$788	800	+800	Up	+$12	05-05 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$472	800	+800	Up	+$128	05-05 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	3	$421	600	+600	open	—	05-05 07:30
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$390	400	+400	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$262	400	+400	Up	+$138	05-04 23:59
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	2	$259	322	+322	Up	$-137	05-04 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$229	400	+400	open	—	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$208	400	+400	Down	$-208	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$198	200	+200	Down	+$2	05-05 02:30
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$186	200	+200	Down	+$14	05-04 22:29
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	1	$180	200	+200	Up	+$20	05-05 03:10
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$178	200	+200	Down	$-178	05-05 00:59
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	1	$170	200	+200	open	—	05-05 08:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$136	200	+200	open	—	05-05 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$130	200	+200	open	—	05-05 08:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$119	200	+200	open	—	05-05 07:40
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$117	119	+119	Up	+$1	05-05 01:50
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$99	100	+100	open	—	05-05 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	1	$67	200	+200	open	—	05-05 07:25
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$34	235	+235	Down	+$201	05-05 00:14
BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$26	60	+60	Up	+$34	05-05 02:10
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$25	25	+25	Up	+$0	05-05 00:40
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$23	50	+50	Up	+$27	05-04 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$16	400	+400	Up	$-16	05-04 22:14
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$6	600	+600	Down	$-6	05-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	10	+10	open	—	05-05 07:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 08:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	58¢	$116	0x68e153…
05-05 08:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	57¢	$113	0x51c708…
05-05 08:35:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x562bc1…
05-05 08:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0x3d216c…
05-05 08:10:58	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x2149a6…
05-05 07:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x525a58…
05-05 07:41:04	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x475fbb…
05-05 07:41:02	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x4e8cf5…
05-05 07:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	200	59¢	$119	0x51caf9…
05-05 07:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x577328…
05-05 07:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	56¢	$112	0x6cf0ab…
05-05 07:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xa87ee1…
05-05 07:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	200	33¢	$67	0x14a682…
05-05 07:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x66cb1f…
05-05 03:10:46	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	90¢	$180	0x3f4879…
05-05 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7b2356…
05-05 02:10:28	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x5919cf…
05-05 02:10:24	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0xb48579…
05-05 01:50:02	BNB Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	119	99¢	$117	0x5bce13…
05-05 00:59:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x41cbed…
05-05 00:40:04	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xb1ffc5…
05-05 00:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbd3216…
05-05 00:19:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xa0ff4d…
05-05 00:19:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x43684a…
05-05 00:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0xe6792a…
05-05 00:19:50	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x9e9d3c…
05-05 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x416cf4…
05-05 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x64852b…
05-05 00:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	200	78¢	$156	0x2b6351…
05-05 00:14:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	235	15¢	$34	0x6352ee…
05-04 23:59:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x883e16…
05-04 23:59:54	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x4fbb4c…
05-04 23:59:52	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xac4593…
05-04 23:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0xc8b55b…
05-04 23:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x8f1969…
05-04 23:29:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xdb98d9…
05-04 23:25:00	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	69¢	$138	0x985d0c…
05-04 23:14:58	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x8a2933…
05-04 22:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	51¢	$103	0x0e8e07…
05-04 22:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x3ef5f3…
05-04 22:29:56	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x2a8ddf…
05-04 22:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xd5b027…
05-04 22:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xaf5ac0…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	11	$1.24K	41	05-05 08:56
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	9	$1.26K	57	05-05 08:55
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	8	$862	15	05-05 08:55
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	7	$522	12	05-05 08:55
Unequaled-Title 0x28b9…531f	4	$1.12K	12	05-05 07:30
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	4	$704	7	05-05 07:50
Exotic-Scholar 0x63ad…c072	3	$1.46K	28	05-05 08:11
Flickering-Commuter 0x2334…9a9f	3	$610	3	05-05 08:10

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