Equal-Region — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

106

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$1.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-29 13:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

54% 99% +$33

Politics

41% 100% +$26

Crypto

4% 95% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	5	$245	237	140	+96	Yes	+$3	10-25 23:48
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$191	96	96	+0	open	—	10-29 13:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$123	62	62	+0	No	+$1	09-07 12:19
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	2	$106	55	55	+0	No	+$0	08-26 16:40
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	2	$105	72	72	+0	open	—	10-25 22:40
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	08-14 03:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	2	$76	38	38	+0	No	+$0	08-12 22:20
Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	3	$68	70	0	+70	Yes	+$2	10-08 21:52
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$64	69	0	+69	No	+$6	09-25 00:38
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$64	64	0	+64	Yes	+$0	09-23 09:47
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	09-01 04:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	08-21 14:18
will xauusd reach 4800 in august 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	08-29 03:47
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	3	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	09-15 04:58
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-14 07:57
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	1	$37	38	0	+38	No	+$0	08-11 00:24
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$35	36	0	+36	No	+$0	08-17 13:27
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	2	$24	140	140	+0	Yes	+$23	08-19 22:19
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	2	$23	90	90	+0	No	+$22	10-25 23:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	05-31 10:33
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	09-17 22:15
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	07-31 00:40
will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-28 14:00
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-14 20:08
Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	06-29 21:15
will solana reach 190 in february 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	No	+$0	02-24 20:44
will ethereum reach 3800 in january 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-25 00:06
will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	07-30 03:25
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	2	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	07-30 13:10
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	06-29 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 13:19:25	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x80fd76…
10-29 03:18:04	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0xdac2d3…
10-25 23:48:56	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	96	98¢	$95	0xaefedf…
10-25 23:45:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	SELL	90	25¢	$22	0xa02dc2…
10-25 22:40:14	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	72	73¢	$53	0x70955c…
10-23 01:52:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?	Yes	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x5dc119…
10-22 11:11:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	72	72¢	$52	0xa23af1…
10-19 13:40:36	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	71	24¢	$17	0xd6cdfd…
10-17 21:22:32	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	71	23¢	$16	0x5b4e79…
10-08 21:52:05	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xbabcf4…
10-08 20:15:24	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x4918ae…
10-08 19:08:14	Gemini 4.0 released by November 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x55f015…
10-05 13:28:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	69	85¢	$59	0x67986c…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	69	84¢	$58	0xfb8994…
09-25 00:38:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	69	92¢	$64	0x5ea312…
09-23 09:47:28	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x113072…
09-17 22:15:24	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xdc0ba1…
09-15 04:58:37	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x046fc3…
09-15 04:53:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xeb8ecf…
09-15 04:53:46	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x120a53…
09-09 19:36:13	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x747c27…
09-07 12:19:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	62	100¢	$62	0xa08cbf…
09-04 14:15:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	62	98¢	$61	0x581f39…
09-01 04:58:40	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x65eb93…
08-29 03:47:34	will xauusd reach 4800 in august 2026	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xc28f3f…
08-26 16:40:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	97¢	$53	0x5e27a4…
08-24 06:00:45	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xa9626c…
08-24 04:29:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	55	96¢	$53	0x940417…
08-23 16:25:36	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x83b996…
08-23 15:04:00	Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0ac156…
08-21 14:18:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0xfa64a8…
08-19 22:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	140	17¢	$24	0x729a29…
08-18 15:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	140	0¢	$0	0xfe3a1f…
08-17 13:27:33	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xddac35…
08-17 06:29:54	will xauusd dip to 3600 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x69307f…
08-16 23:25:06	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x194e63…
08-14 07:57:40	untitled market 1 20260803235754057	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xb5f78d…
08-14 03:18:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xda181b…
08-13 00:30:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 13 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0xdfbde1…
08-12 22:20:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0x2f1d79…
08-12 17:55:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x762899…
08-11 00:24:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xdb1df1…
08-09 10:13:33	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc2bc8a…
08-05 01:25:24	Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x8d2d77…
07-31 00:40:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x042d40…
07-30 13:10:59	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb70ca9…
07-30 03:25:50	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd09896…
07-28 15:14:16	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8bbd1c…
07-28 11:21:55	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8e8ebb…
07-28 09:37:31	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05e7ff…
07-27 07:13:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x119cbf…
07-27 04:31:45	will xauusd dip to 3400 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf48cf0…
07-23 20:34:04	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd07999…
07-21 14:04:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in July?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ba2c6…
06-29 21:15:31	Will Silver (SI) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dd1ff…
06-29 13:22:05	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x0cd362…
06-29 07:15:17	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd132ee…
06-28 14:00:44	will spy dip to 680 in june 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x840125…
06-28 06:00:26	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc2dd6a…
06-27 13:19:44	Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xda99f9…
06-27 10:15:19	Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3c40ae…
05-31 10:33:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe86e62…
05-17 03:59:39	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x9e90ce…
05-15 02:16:09	Will Poland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9a3e7e…
05-14 20:08:27	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x282780…
05-14 17:43:31	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.60 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x901b7b…
05-09 08:38:50	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9294fd…
05-08 20:11:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x135eb9…
05-08 05:10:46	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x60eb4f…
05-06 17:50:14	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x11c971…
05-06 12:50:34	Will Alibaba have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe21bea…
05-06 08:12:36	Will Z.ai have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23faca…
05-06 06:21:36	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in May?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x2fea5d…
05-05 18:09:04	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xfbcd4f…
04-27 14:38:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe2bb80…
04-25 21:33:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xef1c49…
04-25 09:08:00	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x9cf631…
04-24 06:55:04	Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0xfbcb2f…
04-22 04:00:02	Will Hyperliquid dip to $24 in April?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa591f3…
04-18 06:35:48	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x764e8f…
04-17 09:31:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x698d6c…
04-16 23:48:22	Will Meta (META) close above $420 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcbb3cf…
04-16 05:49:12	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5ca398…
04-15 16:16:00	Will Mistral have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x54128e…
04-15 11:01:22	Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa8f25d…
04-14 11:13:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x7c9f2c…
04-13 23:48:03	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x57093f…
04-05 15:38:13	will the bank of korea make no change to the base rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xeb149f…
03-31 10:07:07	nvda above 190 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x33b9b8…
03-30 02:27:22	will ethereum reach 3000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9db5d3…
03-28 14:46:21	aapl above 280 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7fa1d6…
03-26 20:54:21	will bitcoin dip to 25k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb71bd8…
03-23 02:05:17	will tesla be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf39f5…
03-22 15:25:45	msft above 480 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa84419…
03-20 13:36:23	will bnb dip to 200 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb27cf8…
03-19 19:39:55	tsla above 470 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3a38e3…
03-16 20:45:29	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd6eaa8…
03-16 07:39:15	will meituan have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcc213f…
03-14 15:45:19	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x1fd2c8…
03-13 07:24:37	will baidu have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7436d7…