Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$582

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

999

Trades

6,624

lifetime

Volume

$305.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$46

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-25 22:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 48% +$2,627

Other

14% 61% -$2,535

Politics

2% 75% -$183

Sports

1% 44% -$492

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 74 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes		+0	$0	85¢	$0	+$1	09-09 20:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 mglz mouz 2026 02 22 game2	2	$4.4K	2,797	2,069	+727	MOUZ	+$509	02-22 14:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	21	$3.7K	4,473	4,473	+0	Yes	-$324	03-19 12:15
cs2 fal2 prv 2026 02 20 game2	6	$3.3K	1,847	1,838	+9	Team Falcons	+$345	02-20 12:13
cs2 vit prv 2026 02 22 map handicap away 2pt5	4	$2.7K	4,575	0	+4,575	Vitality	-$2,739	02-22 17:18
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-16 15:45 UTC	60	$2.6K	2,108	2,097	+11	Up	-$287	02-16 15:58
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	52	$2.5K	5,249	7,550	-2,301	No	+$114	09-20 18:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 20:45 UTC	15	$2.4K	1,709	1,682	+26	Up	+$841	01-31 20:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-17 21:00 UTC	17	$2.3K	2,072	1,663	+409	Up	+$1,188	02-17 21:14
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	22	$2.3K	1,481	1,481	+0	open	—	10-25 21:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-29 17:30 UTC	57	$2.1K	1,390	1,374	+15	Down	+$626	01-29 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:45 UTC	83	$2.0K	2,053	1,262	+790	Down	+$392	02-12 13:00
bitcoin up or down february 5 7pm et	70	$1.9K	5,414	4,705	+709	Up	+$1,343	02-06 00:48
cs2 furia mglz 2026 02 20	6	$1.9K	2,693	0	+2,693	TheMongolz	-$1,936	02-20 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 12:15 UTC	6	$1.8K	3,196	1,137	+2,058	Down	+$233	02-12 12:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:15 UTC	47	$1.7K	1,873	1,164	+708	Up	+$556	01-31 22:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 17:45 UTC	63	$1.7K	1,464	1,455	+9	Down	+$534	01-31 17:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-04 15:15 UTC	51	$1.7K	1,379	1,366	+13	Up	+$516	02-04 15:30
lol fly ly 2026 02 21 game3	7	$1.7K	2,132	341	+1,791	LYON	+$800	02-22 01:53
dota2 liquid xtreme 2026 02 04	8	$1.7K	1,066	666	+400	Team Liquid	+$70	02-05 00:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:45 UTC	30	$1.6K	1,201	1,187	+15	Down	+$508	02-12 16:58
cs2 mouz navi 2026 02 20 game1	4	$1.6K	2,971	208	+2,763	Natus Vincere	+$1,584	02-20 14:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 21:45 UTC	3	$1.6K	1,847	1,084	+763	Up	+$539	01-31 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 17:30 UTC	27	$1.6K	1,499	924	+576	Down	+$537	02-11 17:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:00 UTC	21	$1.5K	1,583	1,198	+385	Down	+$206	02-12 13:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 21:30 UTC	53	$1.5K	1,503	748	+756	Down	+$725	02-11 21:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:15 UTC	8	$1.5K	1,754	879	+874	Down	+$514	02-12 16:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 16:00 UTC	38	$1.5K	1,233	910	+323	Down	+$631	02-12 16:09
cs2 vit aur1 2026 02 20	1	$1.5K	1,725	0	+1,725	Vitality	+$259	02-20 15:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 22:45 UTC	8	$1.5K	1,567	1,019	+547	Up	+$471	01-31 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 19:00 UTC	4	$1.4K	1,057	1,041	+16	Up	+$545	01-31 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 22:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	357	13¢	$48	0x20ecf4…
10-25 22:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	71	42¢	$30	0xb01cd6…
10-25 21:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0x129396…
10-25 21:57:36	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	187	99¢	$186	0xcf5ba3…
10-25 21:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	177	55¢	$97	0x771c2c…
10-25 21:30:44	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xbf3126…
10-25 21:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x76e403…
10-25 21:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	130	46¢	$60	0x680eb4…
10-25 20:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	SELL	233	4¢	$9	0x8da821…
10-25 20:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xeff9d2…
10-25 20:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0x323a66…
10-25 20:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	173	58¢	$100	0xf81294…
10-25 20:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	228	22¢	$50	0x494d51…
10-25 20:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	87	34¢	$30	0x04ba87…
10-25 20:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xf1feea…
10-25 19:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	138	7¢	$10	0x47bdb5…
10-25 19:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	67	45¢	$30	0x2d97c2…
10-25 19:44:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x5d7862…
10-25 19:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x1e6984…
10-25 19:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xe8387d…
10-25 17:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xad4774…
10-25 17:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	98	44¢	$43	0x03421c…
10-25 17:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xe6f984…
10-25 16:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	48	62¢	$30	0xdfce81…
10-25 16:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xcfe8de…
10-25 16:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x184986…
10-25 16:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x0ab036…
10-25 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	42¢	$13	0xfd89b1…
10-25 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x3b791a…
10-25 16:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x26fe72…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xee2018…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0xd5972d…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	42¢	$4	0xbbde4f…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x83e3ae…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x5d221c…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5a2ff9…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x4bc40c…
10-25 16:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	42¢	$5	0x495bbf…
10-25 15:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x78433f…
10-25 15:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x214cec…
10-25 15:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	61	28¢	$17	0xb27619…
10-25 15:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	61	36¢	$22	0x33c445…
10-25 15:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	76	53¢	$40	0x25cf09…
10-25 15:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x2dd521…
10-25 15:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x17697d…
10-25 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x64f847…
10-25 15:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	122	41¢	$50	0x796418…
10-25 15:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x111b59…
10-25 15:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xeddd94…
10-25 15:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x600214…
10-25 13:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0x580215…
10-25 13:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x8137cd…
10-25 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	44¢	$8	0xffe9ef…
10-25 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0xa6b57d…
10-25 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8a4dbc…
10-25 13:33:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x30f426…
10-25 13:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x96ea85…
10-25 13:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x5ce492…
10-25 13:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xcf4db4…
10-25 13:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x4fee69…
10-25 13:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xbcf3c2…
10-25 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xd03857…
10-25 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	44¢	$19	0x610581…
10-25 13:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x21a525…
10-25 13:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0xeb93f0…
10-25 13:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0xe36864…
10-25 13:00:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x25b1ef…
10-25 13:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xfd9aa3…
10-24 23:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x1a8061…
10-24 23:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET	Down	SELL	98	3¢	$3	0xb6e6ea…
10-24 23:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	176	5¢	$9	0x5179ea…
10-24 23:29:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xd4a781…
10-24 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0xeaf55e…
10-24 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	45¢	$11	0x38b542…
10-24 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x273d54…
10-24 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x23163d…
10-24 23:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1e2ecd…
10-24 23:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xc2ec2b…
10-24 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0xbf1917…
10-24 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	41¢	$11	0x0fd9bf…
10-24 22:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xcc8e8f…
10-24 16:15:48	UFC 333: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Movsar Evloev (Featherweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkanovski	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x20e45b…
10-24 16:15:03	UFC 333: Merab Dvalishvili vs. Petr Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Petr Yan	BUY	333	60¢	$200	0x1e2651…
10-24 16:04:02	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	210	99¢	$208	0xb09072…
10-05 18:35:19	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x6721e0…
10-05 18:34:38	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	406	47¢	$191	0x518db7…
10-05 18:34:20	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	SELL	199	98¢	$196	0xb2a08e…
09-23 15:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x875c50…
09-23 15:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe88f23…
09-23 15:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3460bb…
09-23 15:01:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-23 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x327adf…
09-22 23:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x272237…
09-22 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xe19f0b…
09-22 22:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfddef5…
09-22 22:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0c1898…
09-22 21:57:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4cbd0b…
09-22 21:27:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x98acad…
09-22 21:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2e71c1…
09-22 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x344942…
09-22 20:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x236002…