Friendly-Bidder 0x1768d5…3d5975 Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$18
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
59.9%
Resolved
294
Trades
387
lifetime
Volume
$703
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$43
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-04
last 10-28 10:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 64 days
Categories
Crypto
42% 60% -$9
Politics
28% 17% +$74
Other
24% 22% -$21
Tech
5% 0% -$20
Sports
1% 0% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic raise less than $65B in its IPO? Yes +77 $1 46¢ $36 +$35 10-28 09:57
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +42 $1 5¢ $2 +$1 10-28 09:52
Will Anthropic IPO on November 30, 2026? Yes +120 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 10-28 09:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +12 $2 8¢ $1 -$1 07-15 06:54
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? No +51 $7 2¢ $1 -$6 09-14 11:18
Will Anthropic raise between $125B and $135B in its IPO? Yes +100 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-28 09:57
Will Ilhan Omar resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-28 09:56
Will Anthropic raise at least $135B in its IPO? Yes +61 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-28 09:57
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +11 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 05-08 14:27
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.75T and $3.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +62 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-26 13:48
Will Anthropic IPO on November 13, 2026 or earlier? Yes +45 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-28 09:57
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? Yes +21 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-26 13:46