Worse-Show-Gauntlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

89.3%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

661 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$78

$4.18K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$15

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 11-13 23:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 78 days

Categories

Other

100% 76% -$95

Crypto

0% 50% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 14?	No	+5	$5	96¢	$5	+$0	11-13 22:41
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 13?	No	+5	$5	97¢	$5	$0	11-12 21:45
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 14?	No	+5	$5	95¢	$5	$0	11-13 23:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 23?	2	$20	12	12	+0	No	+$4	05-23 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 13?	2	$20	24	0	+24	No	-$20	05-13 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 13?	2	$20	23	0	+23	Yes	+$3	05-13 01:34
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 15?	2	$20	30	0	+30	Yes	+$10	05-14 17:49
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on May 23?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$3	05-23 21:17
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 5?	2	$17	13	13	+0	No	-$3	06-05 11:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?	2	$17	10	10	+0	No	-$3	06-01 12:49
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 4?	2	$17	14	14	+0	Yes	-$3	06-04 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 26?	2	$16	14	14	+0	Yes	-$4	05-26 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on June 4?	2	$16	13	13	+0	No	-$4	06-04 03:34
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 16?	2	$16	17	0	+17	Yes	+$1	05-16 09:06
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on May 16?	3	$16	20	0	+20	Yes	+$4	05-15 18:21
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on June 6?	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	-$4	06-06 03:50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on May 11?	2	$16	15	15	+0	No	-$4	05-11 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 4?	2	$16	11	11	+0	No	-$4	06-04 11:06
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 6?	2	$15	26	26	+0	Yes	-$15	06-06 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22?	2	$15	9	9	+0	Yes	-$1	05-22 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 12?	2	$14	11	11	+0	Yes	-$6	05-12 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 82°F or higher on May 27?	2	$14	12	12	+0	Yes	-$3	05-27 17:14
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 4?	2	$14	12	12	+0	No	-$6	06-04 03:34
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 70°F or higher on May 27?	2	$14	8	8	+0	No	-$2	05-27 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on May 26?	2	$14	11	11	+0	No	-$3	05-26 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 16?	2	$13	15	15	+0	No	-$7	05-16 03:23
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 26?	2	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	-$3	05-26 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	2	$13	15	0	+15	Yes	+$1	05-16 04:39
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on May 28?	2	$13	9	9	+0	No	-$3	05-28 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 27?	2	$13	12	12	+0	Yes	-$3	05-27 04:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?	2	$13	19	19	+0	Yes	-$12	06-04 17:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 31?	2	$13	11	11	+0	No	-$4	05-31 17:36
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 24?	2	$13	11	11	+0	No	-$3	05-24 04:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 23:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on November 14?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf64401…
11-13 22:41:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 12°C on November 14?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8c9530…
11-13 02:50:19	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 11°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xadc03b…
11-12 21:45:01	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 13?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcdea8e…
11-12 19:20:25	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 1°C on November 13?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x145c95…
11-11 23:41:31	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 20°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6556a4…
11-11 22:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x508319…
11-11 21:46:07	Will the lowest temperature in Karachi be 24°C on November 12?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x92b954…
11-11 02:49:40	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 3°C on November 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x00d42a…
11-10 22:42:18	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 9°C on November 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xab3e2a…
11-10 21:25:58	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on November 11?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x05bb33…
11-10 10:32:28	Will the lowest temperature in Moscow be 1°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x9d77fd…
11-10 10:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 2°C on November 10?	No	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc435f1…
11-09 21:00:28	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 2°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc166b6…
11-09 20:29:43	Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 2°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x1173c6…
11-09 19:08:33	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 18°C on November 10?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe0aa98…
07-12 02:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 34°C or higher on July 12?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x9cc7a9…
07-10 15:24:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on July 11?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xe4a20c…
07-10 03:07:56	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 10?	No	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x854b92…
07-09 22:35:01	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xd369ef…
07-09 22:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 10?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x48d651…
07-08 21:51:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 9?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x8ab2c1…
07-08 14:33:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?	No	SELL	6	52¢	$3	0x2d8f11…
07-08 06:06:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x8b2c8a…
07-08 06:00:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?	No	SELL	6	51¢	$3	0xe9d453…
07-08 03:42:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 8?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x71411e…
07-08 03:41:14	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xabc9d2…
07-07 15:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 39°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x8a76bb…
07-07 15:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 8?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x816eb7…
07-06 16:47:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 7?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3681f1…
07-06 15:08:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 7?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb42241…
07-06 12:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x5f2599…
07-05 21:50:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on July 6?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9c5204…
07-05 21:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 6?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xac2f93…
07-05 05:19:55	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 5?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x29b0ff…
07-05 04:27:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x244185…
07-05 03:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x44c66b…
07-05 03:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 5?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0xb64532…
07-05 00:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xab4ea1…
07-05 00:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 5?	No	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xb8a583…
07-04 21:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 5?	No	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x512ff1…
07-04 16:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x141dd2…
07-04 16:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 5?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x39f58b…
07-03 22:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 4?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x445caa…
07-03 18:57:37	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7cf8d5…
07-03 18:48:13	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 3?	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xb7f3ad…
07-03 16:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 4?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb235bc…
07-03 01:34:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xeb8558…
07-03 01:06:28	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?	No	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xcac15b…
07-03 00:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc88c30…
07-02 23:22:11	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x2a1128…
07-02 22:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x126262…
07-02 16:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 3?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xc442cf…
07-02 11:53:07	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x191b1b…
07-02 06:15:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 2?	No	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0xcc169c…
07-02 04:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x4e7109…
07-02 01:05:20	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7c6570…
07-02 01:00:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	No	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x117a3c…
07-02 00:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?	No	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xf2c216…
07-01 22:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on July 2?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8f30ca…
07-01 22:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x312361…
07-01 17:07:11	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x6abd61…
07-01 16:25:29	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf77d54…
07-01 15:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 2?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xd1db87…
07-01 12:47:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 2?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x81aa7d…
07-01 12:43:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	No	SELL	6	43¢	$2	0x659fc0…
07-01 07:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xe4c5a9…
06-30 23:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa903ca…
06-30 22:34:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 1?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xcbcdf2…
06-30 22:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x65e4e8…
06-30 21:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x7e2d05…
06-30 16:28:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xae7b2f…
06-30 15:32:17	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C or below on July 1?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8febe0…
06-30 14:52:55	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on July 1?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe73294…
06-30 14:49:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xe1eeab…
06-30 08:22:43	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on June 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8e40ac…
06-30 04:36:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 30?	No	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x036729…
06-29 23:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa209b6…
06-29 22:39:20	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xe586b1…
06-29 22:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 30?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6c1faf…
06-29 21:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 30?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7073b4…
06-29 21:45:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or higher on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xcc83ac…
06-29 16:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xb0b63b…
06-29 16:38:01	Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on June 30?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x816ae9…
06-29 16:28:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 30?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0xd6d843…
06-29 06:43:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 29?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x52c55d…
06-29 06:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 29?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1cfefb…
06-29 03:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xc4402b…
06-28 22:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xbd87ab…
06-28 22:29:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x96c6a2…
06-28 21:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 29?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa47ef1…
06-28 17:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe12355…
06-28 16:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xea1c48…
06-28 16:14:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 67°F or below on June 29?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x09867a…
06-28 15:23:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 29?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfb9848…
06-28 02:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x5100a1…
06-28 02:25:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x647a0d…
06-27 23:46:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 28?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xa7973d…
06-27 22:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 28?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x9d063e…
06-27 21:52:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 28?	No	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x82982a…