Agile-Toast — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

-$36

Hit rate

82.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$696

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$51

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 03:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	+29	$28	68¢	$20	$-8	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	+28	$28	62¢	$18	$-10	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	+31	$28	34¢	$11	$-17	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	+5	$3	50¢	$3	$-0	05-05 06:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 03:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x7132c6…
05-06 02:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xb5debe…
05-06 02:34:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	91¢	$28	0xf61993…
05-06 02:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xa22748…
05-06 01:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0xc4e457…
05-06 01:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	32	87¢	$28	0x08a200…
05-06 01:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x5fd6c1…
05-06 01:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	95¢	$6	0x6f44a8…
05-06 01:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0xd80ae3…
05-06 01:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	29	26¢	$8	0xe4f1e1…
05-06 01:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xfdd53c…
05-06 00:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x6bde2a…
05-06 00:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc1c1f1…
05-06 00:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x23d149…
05-06 00:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x7d6d97…
05-06 00:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xea7fbd…
05-06 00:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x798226…
05-06 00:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	85¢	$28	0xc86c74…
05-05 20:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x23ba4b…
05-05 18:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x5e01d0…
05-05 18:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x99ea8d…
05-05 18:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x3c3b81…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x1b3eae…
05-05 06:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x9f98bb…
05-05 06:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd01ff9…
05-05 05:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x024098…
05-05 05:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x64cbdc…
05-05 03:29:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x86a451…
05-04 22:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x4fb65a…
05-04 20:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0xafea20…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	26	$3.44K	192	05-06 03:09
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	26	$726	134	05-06 03:09
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$11.6K	125	05-06 03:09
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	24	$2.27K	216	05-06 03:09
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	23	$639	77	05-06 03:09
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	22	$2.33K	61	05-06 03:09
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	22	$2.32K	65	05-06 03:09
Angry-Culvert 0xa867…f165	21	$2.65K	501	05-06 03:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	2	$34	36	0	+36	open	—	05-06 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$28	32	0	+32	open	—	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$28	31	0	+31	open	—	05-06 02:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$28	33	0	+33	open	—	05-06 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 00:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$28	33	0	+33	open	—	05-06 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$28	31	0	+31	open	—	05-06 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-06 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-05 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-06 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-06 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-05 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-05 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	05-05 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	1	$28	29	0	+29	open	—	05-06 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$27	27	0	+27	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	1	$26	26	0	+26	Down	+$0	05-04 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$8	0	29	-29	open	—	05-06 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$6	0	16	-16	Down	$-10	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-0	05-05 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-05 06:00