Red-Misreading — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved (30d)

104

Trades (30d)

105

7,701 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.36K

$71.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 11-04 23:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 69% -$1,738

Other

0% 90% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 16:55 UTC	2	$444	232	232	+0	Down	+$16	03-21 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:35 UTC	8	$412	215	215	+0	Up	+$13	03-23 23:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:30 UTC	4	$373	190	190	+0	Down	+$3	03-23 23:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 17:55 UTC	6	$369	190	190	+0	Up	+$7	03-24 18:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:20 UTC	6	$368	189	189	+0	Up	+$8	03-25 15:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:20 UTC	4	$352	201	162	+38	Up	-$28	03-23 23:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:25 UTC	6	$341	183	182	+1	Up	+$21	03-25 00:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:40 UTC	6	$340	177	176	+0	Up	+$10	03-23 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 16:50 UTC	2	$329	209	206	+3	Down	+$82	03-21 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:30 UTC	4	$325	261	152	+109	Down	-$95	03-25 15:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 17:05 UTC	4	$323	175	174	+1	Down	+$23	03-24 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 19:45 UTC	3	$308	158	158	+0	Down	+$8	03-24 19:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:55 UTC	6	$308	159	159	+0	Up	+$8	03-23 23:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:40 UTC	5	$303	179	139	+40	Down	-$27	03-25 13:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 13:35 UTC	3	$302	153	153	+0	Up	+$2	03-25 13:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 21:25 UTC	2	$299	153	153	+0	Up	+$3	03-24 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 17:10 UTC	3	$293	149	149	+0	Up	+$3	03-21 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:50 UTC	6	$286	147	147	+0	Up	+$6	03-23 22:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 16:55 UTC	8	$283	146	146	+0	Down	+$6	03-24 17:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:30 UTC	4	$283	230	219	+12	Up	-$77	03-25 00:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 22:45 UTC	4	$280	142	142	+0	Down	+$0	03-23 22:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 21:30 UTC	6	$273	248	123	+125	Up	-$29	03-24 21:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 16:35 UTC	4	$269	147	147	+0	Down	+$3	03-24 16:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 23:00 UTC	5	$267	138	138	+0	Down	+$7	03-23 23:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:30 UTC	3	$263	133	133	+0	Up	+$3	03-24 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 18:05 UTC	3	$263	134	134	+0	Up	+$3	03-24 18:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:05 UTC	7	$257	142	142	+1	Up	+$24	03-25 00:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 00:55 UTC	3	$255	165	126	+38	Down	-$4	03-25 01:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 18:50 UTC	7	$254	129	129	+0	Down	+$4	03-23 18:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 16:50 UTC	7	$248	130	130	+0	Up	+$9	03-24 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 23:17:34	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x4e2d08…
11-04 12:28:34	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x855a66…
11-04 12:22:42	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xd63449…
11-04 00:46:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0xd03ad3…
11-04 00:38:19	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$9	0xcafab6…
11-04 00:16:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0xdd5451…
11-03 17:53:39	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0xd9bf97…
11-03 12:42:34	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$9	0x287119…
11-02 19:36:51	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x15b66c…
11-02 19:27:51	XRP Up or Down - November 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x85b082…
11-02 17:26:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x58ee5b…
10-30 17:48:39	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	78¢	$9	0xe6087c…
10-30 17:11:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x3a6f0c…
10-30 17:02:18	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x9e98ae…
10-30 12:22:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xcfd737…
10-30 12:13:09	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x34246d…
10-30 10:57:40	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x6193c3…
10-30 10:37:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x507c31…
10-30 01:37:34	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xbc2823…
10-30 01:32:30	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xbc90f7…
10-30 01:26:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	76¢	$28	0xf31472…
10-30 01:11:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	81¢	$28	0x5aefa7…
10-30 01:02:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0xf940d8…
10-29 14:47:04	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	34	80¢	$27	0x2da282…
10-29 14:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	36	76¢	$28	0x7ad141…
10-29 13:57:04	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x59f2e0…
10-29 13:41:32	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	38	72¢	$28	0x71c1cd…
10-29 06:47:35	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	31	78¢	$24	0x21c731…
10-29 01:57:49	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	77¢	$28	0x066b40…
10-29 01:51:52	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x0fa0d9…
10-28 19:06:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	80¢	$28	0xdc1876…
10-28 12:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	83¢	$27	0x2c9cb5…
10-28 01:42:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	34	81¢	$28	0xe5f99f…
10-27 01:33:18	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x52f160…
10-26 13:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xccb35f…
10-26 13:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	35	78¢	$28	0x872996…
10-26 11:56:41	XRP Up or Down - October 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x5e4a91…
10-24 16:40:23	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x566ca5…
10-24 16:38:23	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0xded048…
10-24 16:33:05	Solana Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	19	76¢	$14	0x0d4e5b…
10-24 16:26:56	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x1c650c…
10-24 16:06:39	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x8912c6…
10-24 15:21:35	XRP Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xca7530…
10-24 15:11:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x8263c8…
10-23 14:48:20	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x066f98…
10-23 12:27:33	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	80¢	$14	0xf8d151…
10-23 12:21:50	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xf3bad3…
10-23 05:38:23	XRP Up or Down - October 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xe08954…
10-22 14:02:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x76c1be…
10-22 13:51:38	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x37868d…
10-22 13:36:48	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x965c12…
10-22 13:36:33	XRP Up or Down - October 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x329c6e…
10-22 03:21:45	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x19baa3…
10-22 01:58:05	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0x54de6e…
10-22 01:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x303980…
10-21 14:31:35	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xeff608…
10-21 14:16:33	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xbb6f24…
10-21 13:41:59	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x31bfe3…
10-21 13:41:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x783c37…
10-21 12:37:42	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9ecb14…
10-21 12:22:39	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x327ee9…
10-18 17:06:44	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x6dd11b…
10-16 13:51:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0xe55b51…
10-16 13:42:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x08c57c…
10-16 13:41:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x6480f5…
10-16 12:52:48	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xfa700f…
10-16 12:21:34	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x2178b0…
10-16 12:17:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x02f2b6…
10-16 05:07:36	Solana Up or Down - October 16, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xcee19a…
10-15 19:23:02	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	59¢	$18	0x0a397d…
10-15 14:26:55	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0xb33331…
10-15 13:41:37	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x5f6409…
10-15 13:18:34	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0xd0d534…
10-15 13:01:55	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0x30a5b2…
10-15 13:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x29896f…
10-15 12:52:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	77¢	$18	0x0fb5b9…
10-15 12:42:50	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	45¢	$19	0x769231…
10-15 12:41:40	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	54	34¢	$19	0x46be61…
10-15 12:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	67¢	$18	0x2e3e70…
10-15 11:42:33	XRP Up or Down - October 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	72¢	$18	0x6e8a6a…
10-15 05:36:40	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0x40850d…
10-15 05:27:37	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 05:25 UTC	Down	BUY	29	63¢	$18	0xd7a427…
10-15 03:52:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	27	69¢	$19	0x1c6c08…
10-15 03:41:43	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:40 UTC	Up	BUY	25	74¢	$18	0x26d625…
10-15 03:32:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	22	82¢	$18	0x4502f5…
10-14 14:27:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:25 UTC	Down	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xf72cb4…
10-14 14:11:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:10 UTC	Down	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0xfcf11a…
10-14 13:23:14	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:20 UTC	Up	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x5e7883…
10-14 13:17:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	75¢	$19	0x61de88…
10-14 12:41:45	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x503734…
10-14 12:41:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xa936ef…
10-13 13:57:05	XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x7f36ca…
10-13 01:33:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x4be724…
10-12 19:21:48	XRP Up or Down - October 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x11d969…
10-11 15:52:43	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x22cbab…
10-10 01:51:41	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x81e558…
10-09 14:01:37	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb3f180…
10-09 11:41:34	XRP Up or Down - October 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xfe42dc…
10-08 19:01:51	XRP Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xd9d216…
10-08 19:01:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x21f232…