Hopeful-Battery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.07K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

162

Trades

387

lifetime

Volume

$93.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$241

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-03

last 07-19 06:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 78% -$351

Other

24% 63% +$80

Politics

24% 42% -$801

Tech

0% 100% +$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	7	$2.9K	1,790	1,790	+0	No	+$25	06-01 15:27
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	4	$2.2K	1,475	1,475	+0	No	-$205	03-23 11:33
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	11	$2.2K	5,168	1,943	+3,226	Yes	+$73	03-22 08:26
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$2.1K	1,197	1,197	+0	No	+$78	03-11 07:48
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	5	$2.1K	1,144	1,144	+0	No	-$28	03-29 08:11
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by march 31 426 698 771	5	$2.0K	1,328	1,328	+0	No	+$216	03-09 07:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:10 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,939	0	+1,939	Down	+$139	03-30 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:30 UTC	4	$1.7K	2,028	263	+1,766	Up	+$94	03-30 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:35 UTC	4	$1.7K	2,027	0	+2,027	Down	+$72	03-30 19:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	8	$1.6K	1,782	1,782	+0	No	+$4	03-29 05:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-31 07:10 UTC	1	$1.6K	1,623	0	+1,623	Down	+$23	03-31 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:45 UTC	4	$1.6K	1,717	0	+1,717	Down	+$117	03-30 08:49
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	3	$1.5K	890	890	+0	No	-$61	06-14 22:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:50 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,484	0	+1,484	Up	+$84	03-30 08:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 09:10 UTC	3	$1.4K	1,424	0	+1,424	Down	+$24	03-30 09:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	5	$1.4K	1,101	1,101	+0	Yes	-$34	03-16 13:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:55 UTC	3	$1.3K	1,405	0	+1,405	Up	-$1,150	03-30 19:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:10 UTC	3	$1.2K	1,317	0	+1,317	Up	+$117	03-30 12:13
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	6	$1.2K	882	882	+0	No	-$47	03-23 12:27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	5	$1.1K	1,006	1,006	+0	No	-$55	03-26 13:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 19:20 UTC	3	$1.1K	1,219	0	+1,219	Down	+$119	03-30 19:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 07:50 UTC	2	$1.1K	1,116	0	+1,116	Up	+$16	03-30 07:54
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.1K	676	676	+0	open	—	06-14 08:06
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	5	$1.0K	610	610	+0	No	+$49	04-30 19:03
usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 15	3	$1.0K	587	587	+0	No	+$23	03-13 11:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:15 UTC	2	$1000	1,101	0	+1,101	Down	+$101	03-30 08:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 08:40 UTC	2	$1000	1,075	0	+1,075	Down	+$75	03-30 08:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 12:05 UTC	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	Up	+$10	03-30 12:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-30 11:25 UTC	2	$1000	1,050	0	+1,050	Up	+$50	03-30 11:28
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$995	543	543	+0	No	-$5	03-26 04:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 06:28:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	247	73¢	$181	0xc04f89…
07-19 06:27:54	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	SELL	121	88¢	$106	0x3bf90e…
06-14 22:02:34	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x302f61…
06-14 22:01:31	will bitcoin reach 70000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	247	81¢	$200	0x9694f2…
06-14 22:00:10	Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	No	SELL	890	83¢	$739	0xb0d3a5…
06-14 18:20:39	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	549	91¢	$500	0x4e97f4…
06-14 08:06:15	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	676	83¢	$561	0xf2772b…
06-14 08:05:21	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0xfcc398…
06-14 08:00:37	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	SELL	482	71¢	$341	0x7159ae…
06-14 06:42:10	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x6a7c95…
06-14 06:32:57	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	482	83¢	$400	0xb931b7…
06-14 06:30:55	Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,500	4¢	$100	0xe80e37…
06-08 08:01:19	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	133	72¢	$96	0x0eb5a3…
06-08 08:01:16	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	581	85¢	$494	0xb35a24…
06-07 04:12:01	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x6ff16c…
06-02 07:14:35	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	581	86¢	$500	0xcd6845…
06-02 07:14:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	676	74¢	$500	0x1bf3fe…
06-01 15:27:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	587	77¢	$453	0x6aa2d8…
06-01 15:27:15	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	SELL	563	46¢	$260	0x1529cd…
06-01 15:27:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	SELL	610	68¢	$415	0x8745b4…
05-31 05:44:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0x446d86…
05-31 05:43:17	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	No	BUY	282	71¢	$200	0xc351a0…
05-31 05:42:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	587	85¢	$500	0xfc0cdc…
05-31 05:42:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	No	BUY	610	82¢	$500	0x9ba407…
05-31 05:26:20	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	134	93¢	$124	0x5cfb92…
05-31 05:26:08	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	128	97¢	$125	0x43f304…
05-31 05:25:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	1,040	85¢	$884	0x8599e7…
05-31 05:25:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	357	89¢	$318	0xd81aa6…
05-31 04:15:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	352	85¢	$300	0x509506…
05-28 19:45:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	176	99¢	$174	0x4caf43…
05-27 06:04:55	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	357	84¢	$300	0xfa8558…
05-27 06:04:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	689	73¢	$500	0x925bd6…
05-27 05:53:06	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	487	100¢	$486	0xb123f3…
05-27 05:52:47	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	95¢	$20	0x8a4bc4…
05-27 05:51:51	Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	524	3¢	$17	0xa58ee6…
05-27 05:51:34	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	88	86¢	$76	0x77294f…
05-27 05:50:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	245	92¢	$226	0xbc8d1e…
05-26 06:46:45	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	162	69¢	$112	0x6c1e43…
05-24 05:41:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0x812a6b…
05-24 05:41:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0x231112…
05-24 05:36:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	386	93¢	$359	0xb24e3d…
05-24 05:32:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	162	77¢	$125	0x3c6117…
05-24 05:30:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	127	99¢	$125	0xfbda05…
05-14 08:08:49	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x4abbe3…
05-13 04:36:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	SELL	69	64¢	$44	0xe7f254…
05-10 07:21:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	69	72¢	$50	0x44b022…
05-10 07:20:10	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	75¢	$100	0x1c1b17…
05-10 07:19:21	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	167	96¢	$161	0x033b7f…
05-10 07:06:33	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x8c251b…
05-04 05:24:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	167	90¢	$150	0x8acb07…
05-04 05:24:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x30ffe9…
05-04 05:19:40	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	230	86¢	$198	0xb3a660…
04-30 19:50:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0xf9dd1b…
04-30 19:05:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x250167…
04-30 19:05:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0x1366c4…
04-30 19:03:36	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	610	90¢	$549	0x274dd7…
04-30 17:20:16	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	145	83¢	$120	0x2a35d1…
04-30 17:15:44	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	241	83¢	$200	0xabe1f8…
04-30 17:15:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	333	99¢	$330	0x358154…
04-30 17:08:28	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x48c13d…
04-30 16:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0x0463d7…
04-30 16:35:30	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	SELL	153	53¢	$81	0xe6b00d…
04-30 16:34:32	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x493e8d…
04-30 16:34:20	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xe89213…
04-30 08:34:46	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x36386f…
04-30 08:34:42	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x494803…
04-30 08:33:00	megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	Yes	BUY	153	72¢	$110	0x7273d0…
04-30 08:26:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	234	91¢	$214	0x97bae8…
04-30 08:25:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	110	96¢	$106	0x016680…
04-30 08:25:14	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0x67da95…
04-30 08:25:06	Will Solana reach $110 in April?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0xc6493d…
04-20 06:11:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x43e613…
04-20 06:07:22	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x8cb250…
04-20 05:35:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	189	58¢	$109	0x7ef73f…
04-20 05:35:32	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	SELL	273	89¢	$243	0x9c1312…
04-19 06:45:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0xd1b688…
04-16 18:59:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xb48e4c…
04-16 18:59:20	Will Solana reach $110 in April?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x47a726…
04-16 18:55:18	Will Solana reach $110 in April?	No	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x31065e…
04-16 18:55:08	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x2e121a…
04-16 18:54:52	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0xe02c66…
04-16 12:25:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	400	19¢	$76	0x8ec53a…
04-16 10:14:06	bitcoin above 74k on april 16	Yes	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0xc4e7e3…
04-15 13:09:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xf35f2e…
04-15 13:09:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0xfd78e5…
04-14 12:48:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x65ec7f…
04-14 12:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:35 UTC	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x97d9eb…
04-14 12:34:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-14 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x125bed…
04-14 12:30:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 14	Yes	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0x2ed2ea…
04-14 12:24:45	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x778102…
04-14 12:24:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0x5e87ef…
04-14 12:24:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x0e117a…
04-14 06:55:25	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	217	92¢	$200	0x550c5b…
04-14 06:55:15	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	323	62¢	$200	0xbe6f4e…
04-13 13:34:41	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x093c9b…
04-13 05:19:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	313	96¢	$300	0xc68960…
04-13 05:19:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x549b78…
04-13 05:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0xde167c…
04-05 09:38:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x892c8b…
04-05 09:33:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-05 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xfb2053…