Whirlwind-Incident — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.0%

Resolved

291

Trades

293

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-01 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

98% 100% -$3

Politics

2% 80% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

70 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-14 09:49
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C or higher on May 13?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-13 05:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	23	+23	No	-$23	05-15 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on May 12?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-12 10:09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:49
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 11?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-11 08:13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-10 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-09 08:58
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-08 15:09
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C or below on May 8?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-08 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C or higher on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 7?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-07 01:48
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 6?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-06 06:18
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on May 5?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-05 11:28
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-04 05:53
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 66°F or higher on May 4?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-05 02:36
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on May 3?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-03 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:36
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 2?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-02 05:45
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$22	23	+23	No	+$1	04-12 02:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-08 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-07 06:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 14c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-06 09:45
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 21c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-05 08:55
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 3 2026 24c	1	$22	22	+22	No	+$0	04-03 15:10
highest temperature in denver on april 2 2026 70 71f	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-03 02:30
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 2 2026 27c	1	$22	22	+22	Yes	+$0	04-02 14:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 17:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 16°C or below on November 2?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd27e76…
10-31 15:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xfdb13f…
10-30 14:51:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x42a14d…
10-29 17:50:19	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85644b…
10-29 09:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd6c7aa…
10-28 07:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x90da7b…
10-27 09:13:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xae1f54…
10-26 09:31:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x925c41…
10-24 11:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaac83…
10-22 10:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cf8ec…
10-20 07:40:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d8b7f…
10-19 09:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaee565…
10-18 10:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b3726…
10-17 15:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ac66b…
10-16 10:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x58e2a0…
10-15 09:37:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32a12c…
10-14 09:43:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcc69ac…
10-13 09:22:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xecfaa7…
10-12 09:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9ec196…
10-11 09:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2bd1d…
10-08 12:26:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6aabcf…
10-07 15:28:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x643e46…
10-06 15:02:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe949cf…
10-05 06:23:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf66724…
10-03 08:34:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93726d…
10-02 13:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf34e68…
10-01 08:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xabe5a2…
09-30 02:41:17	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10eb4a…
09-28 09:56:23	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9e8f9…
09-27 08:55:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x69663d…
09-25 16:15:48	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ce90d…
09-24 08:41:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab3ee4…
09-23 08:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3094e8…
09-22 08:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbda56…
09-21 09:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8e006…
09-20 05:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f4755…
09-19 08:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b462d…
09-18 07:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa84db1…
09-17 04:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a612e…
09-16 08:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c08d3…
09-15 10:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fad82…
09-14 09:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cce34…
09-13 02:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4f8de…
09-11 07:24:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x019df6…
09-10 08:39:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6ced99…
09-09 12:22:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xfd8b34…
09-08 15:47:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30b946…
09-08 06:13:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e67b1…
09-07 08:44:03	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfba767…
09-06 16:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91ebc5…
09-06 10:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b16d9…
09-05 01:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b264e…
09-03 17:01:15	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89ca93…
09-02 07:52:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6e776…
08-30 09:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf84693…
08-29 09:41:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcc8cc…
08-28 08:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb70e8…
08-27 09:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x285b71…
08-26 08:40:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x97579e…
08-25 09:40:45	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe53817…
08-24 13:12:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf4a3a…
08-23 15:02:06	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7da9e…
08-22 09:03:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49e465…
08-21 07:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc5a336…
08-20 09:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdaa64…
08-18 08:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x080c8e…
08-17 08:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4c9a69…
08-16 14:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dae49…
08-15 10:02:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd355b1…
08-14 06:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe05114…
08-13 08:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30857e…
08-12 08:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x102883…
08-11 07:00:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6090a1…
08-10 08:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x780cf3…
08-09 06:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x515866…
08-08 07:37:33	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39f6f4…
08-07 07:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x22017c…
08-06 06:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe54e52…
08-05 08:01:50	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9cd56…
08-04 08:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d380a…
08-03 07:42:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x93fc30…
08-02 06:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7506ab…
08-01 07:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9800b5…
07-31 13:49:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd72c64…
07-30 07:02:35	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a2891…
07-29 07:13:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5e7fd0…
07-28 07:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73da81…
07-27 08:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d9c87…
07-26 07:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x419cbc…
07-25 08:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64d219…
07-24 13:32:24	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d03d1…
07-23 08:16:19	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8bb86…
07-22 02:08:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73aa9f…
07-21 09:18:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x390f83…
07-21 00:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcee17c…
07-20 08:02:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73db61…
07-18 23:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x654e65…
07-18 00:34:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bfc64…
07-17 07:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa956d…
07-15 22:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc00e72…