Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$160

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-09

last 07-02 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

65% 38% +$75

Other

32% 21% -$234

Crypto

3% 50% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-02).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-48	-$3	2¢	$-1	+$2	06-09 22:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$277	603	603	+0	No	+$0	04-05 17:33
will trump say epic fury during miami address	2	$165	103	103	+0	Yes	+$40	03-09 21:04
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	3	$88	132	132	+0	No	-$12	03-11 15:13
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	3	$83	169	169	+0	open	—	07-02 21:32
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	3	$80	427	427	+0	No	-$20	03-11 15:13
Iran leadership change by December 31?	2	$76	172	172	+0	open	—	07-02 21:32
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$71	500	255	+245	No	-$9	04-07 14:19
will trump say beautiful 10 times during womens history month event	1	$70	116	0	+116	Yes	+$46	03-12 12:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$56	105	102	+3	No	-$26	04-14 22:50
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	2	$55	46	46	+0	No	+$35	04-01 12:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:50 UTC	2	$53	39	38	+1	Down	+$6	03-23 12:52
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	2	$52	530	530	+0	No	+$5	04-07 22:07
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$52	34	34	+0	Yes	$0	03-11 15:13
will trump say hottest during memphis roundtable 153	2	$51	41	41	+0	Yes	+$31	03-23 17:07
will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	2	$48	28	28	+0	Yes	+$9	03-23 18:32
will trump say iran during womens history month event	1	$47	63	0	+63	Yes	+$16	03-12 12:38
will trump say hottest during national agriculture day events	2	$46	61	61	+0	No	-$14	03-27 15:05
will trump say obamacare during ohio visit	1	$46	117	0	+117	No	+$71	03-11 15:37
will trump say iran 7 times during memphis roundtable 386	2	$43	33	33	+0	Yes	+$23	03-23 16:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	2	$40	97	14	+83	No	-$30	04-07 14:25
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$37	92	23	+69	No	-$24	04-07 16:18
will starmer say mr speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 576	2	$37	66	66	+0	No	-$3	04-12 21:13
trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	3	$35	92	92	+0	Yes	-$27	04-07 22:40
will vance say border 4 times during his rocky mount visit	1	$35	53	0	+53	No	-$35	03-13 10:32
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	2	$32	28	28	+0	Yes	+$22	03-30 14:50
will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 17m	3	$30	1,829	1,739	+90	No	-$25	04-07 22:00
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$26	80	80	+0	No	-$14	04-14 22:50
will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	2	$25	636	0	+636	No	-$25	04-01 12:43
will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	2	$23	40	0	+40	No	-$23	03-23 17:07
will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	2	$23	43	43	+0	No	-$7	03-23 11:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 21:32:43	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	137	16¢	$23	0x9b72b9…
07-02 21:32:37	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	172	15¢	$26	0x480941…
06-11 13:03:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	129	8¢	$11	0x161ea7…
06-11 13:01:58	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	32	32¢	$10	0x37915a…
06-09 22:29:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	169	30¢	$50	0xc78c05…
06-09 22:29:25	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	172	29¢	$50	0xe2907f…
06-09 22:14:10	Iran leadership change by June 30?	Yes	BUY	139	5¢	$6	0xdedd61…
06-09 22:11:24	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	48	7¢	$3	0x9443a9…
04-14 22:50:36	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	80	7¢	$6	0x4b665d…
04-14 22:50:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	102	15¢	$15	0xda69ec…
04-13 10:07:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	105	39¢	$41	0x2e5a29…
04-12 21:14:01	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	41	42¢	$17	0x15bcb3…
04-12 21:13:09	will starmer say mr speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 576	Yes	SELL	66	26¢	$17	0x4fa8a7…
04-07 22:40:41	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	SELL	92	5¢	$4	0xfb1102…
04-07 22:08:11	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	84	34¢	$29	0x2d5a79…
04-07 22:07:47	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	SELL	530	5¢	$29	0xf19cce…
04-07 22:05:35	trump announces hormuz deadline extension today	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x2887b5…
04-07 22:00:21	will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 17m	Yes	SELL	1,739	0¢	$3	0xef8776…
04-07 16:18:55	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	106	6¢	$7	0xb62705…
04-07 16:18:43	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	23	29¢	$7	0xf1708d…
04-07 14:25:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	103	5¢	$5	0x283030…
04-07 14:25:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xd2f309…
04-07 14:19:55	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	92	33¢	$31	0x6f9fd5…
04-07 14:19:35	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	SELL	255	12¢	$31	0x0b6a3e…
04-05 17:37:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	97	36¢	$35	0x9294b2…
04-05 17:37:11	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x427aa4…
04-05 17:34:47	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	Yes	BUY	500	8¢	$40	0xca9f3a…
04-05 17:33:47	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	446	21¢	$95	0x0814f0…
04-05 15:34:11	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	Yes	BUY	530	4¢	$23	0x4f9aa5…
04-05 15:24:15	israel military action against fordow nuclear facility by april 15	Yes	BUY	263	8¢	$20	0xe9d7a5…
04-05 15:20:05	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	157	28¢	$43	0x410c73…
04-05 10:55:29	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	514	24¢	$125	0x61d0ac…
04-04 15:41:33	will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 17m	Yes	BUY	1,469	0¢	$7	0x6a1f99…
04-04 13:27:13	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	15¢	$13	0x6400f9…
04-04 13:26:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x146ae6…
04-04 13:22:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0xef0911…
04-01 12:43:57	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	173	9¢	$15	0xee3454…
04-01 12:43:31	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xae08ce…
04-01 12:42:21	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by april 5	Yes	BUY	1,702	0¢	$5	0x31a990…
04-01 12:35:17	will the drama opening weekend box office be greater than 17m	Yes	BUY	360	6¢	$20	0xab4213…
04-01 12:34:35	will the super mario galaxy movie score at least 60 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer	Yes	BUY	463	2¢	$10	0x50bdf6…
04-01 12:29:41	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	No	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x283bd1…
04-01 12:29:11	will starmer say shadow secretary during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0xb9a37e…
04-01 12:28:17	will starmer say mr speaker 30 times during the next prime ministers questions event 576	Yes	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x37b302…
04-01 12:26:07	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	SELL	46	100¢	$45	0x318670…
03-30 14:55:13	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x9b9888…
03-30 14:51:15	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	15	69¢	$10	0x389fc5…
03-30 14:50:43	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	99¢	$27	0xe3fc82…
03-27 15:09:29	will trumps remarks not air 537	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xd8305c…
03-27 15:05:39	will trumps remarks not air 537	Yes	BUY	648	2¢	$10	0x9f786d…
03-27 15:05:23	will trump say hottest during national agriculture day events	Yes	SELL	61	26¢	$16	0xce989d…
03-27 13:41:39	will trump say hottest during national agriculture day events	Yes	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x5a5cb4…
03-27 13:39:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x838132…
03-27 13:30:59	Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xc35dd0…
03-23 18:32:57	will trump say hormuz during memphis roundtable 373	Yes	SELL	41	0¢	$0	0x15c70b…
03-23 18:32:49	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during memphis roundtable 923	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x54021d…
03-23 18:32:43	will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	Yes	SELL	22	6¢	$1	0x9a232b…
03-23 18:32:31	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x7eaf69…
03-23 17:07:33	will trump say hottest during memphis roundtable 153	Yes	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x2950d9…
03-23 17:07:17	will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	Yes	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xf686e9…
03-23 16:55:27	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence during memphis roundtable 923	Yes	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x855585…
03-23 16:55:01	will trump say hormuz during memphis roundtable 373	Yes	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0xee5be5…
03-23 16:51:39	will trump say iran 7 times during memphis roundtable 386	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xfb7632…
03-23 16:50:43	will trump say border 7 times during memphis roundtable 239	Yes	BUY	28	68¢	$19	0xef2236…
03-23 16:48:45	will trump say hottest during memphis roundtable 153	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x80027c…
03-23 12:52:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	38	77¢	$30	0x2f1cc1…
03-23 12:50:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-23 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	39	60¢	$23	0x6d2789…
03-23 12:44:49	will trump say oil during memphis roundtable 567	Yes	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x43d059…
03-23 12:44:37	will trump say iran 7 times during memphis roundtable 386	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb4a5a3…
03-23 11:53:03	will trump say nancy or pelosi this week march 22	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2f2f24…
03-23 11:51:55	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	213	1¢	$2	0xe22c72…
03-23 11:51:49	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$3	0x7e0293…
03-23 11:51:37	will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	Yes	SELL	43	18¢	$8	0xd2e5e2…
03-13 10:33:23	will starmer say u turn during the next prime ministers questions event 972	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xed0222…
03-13 10:32:57	will starmer say mandelson during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0xfa2472…
03-13 10:32:19	will vance say border 4 times during his rocky mount visit	Yes	BUY	53	66¢	$35	0x9743cb…
03-13 10:32:05	will vance say healthcare during his rocky mount visit	Yes	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x77598e…
03-12 23:48:43	will gas hit high 4pt50 by march 31	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xc7981e…
03-12 23:45:47	will louis theroux inside the manosphere be the top global netflix movie this week	Yes	BUY	458	2¢	$10	0xf0afc6…
03-12 23:40:43	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x050d12…
03-12 23:32:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	213	5¢	$10	0x2cf168…
03-12 23:30:07	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x2f7d50…
03-12 23:27:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 16	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x834ed3…
03-12 12:38:49	will trump say iran during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	63	74¢	$47	0xfba046…
03-12 12:38:39	will trump say beautiful 10 times during womens history month event	Yes	BUY	116	60¢	$70	0x0f1db7…
03-11 15:37:15	will trump say obamacare during ohio visit	No	BUY	117	39¢	$46	0xedf596…
03-11 15:33:53	will trump say tanker during kentucky visit	Yes	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x9795f3…
03-11 15:21:49	Iran leadership change by March 13?	Yes	BUY	136	4¢	$5	0x22de3f…
03-11 15:13:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	65	23¢	$15	0xe9e945…
03-11 15:13:15	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	34	75¢	$26	0x40700c…
03-11 15:13:03	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	427	7¢	$30	0x45972b…
03-10 16:07:39	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	34	76¢	$26	0xa60f22…
03-10 15:52:43	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	67	35¢	$24	0x66b2c3…
03-10 12:25:01	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x4dd9cf…
03-09 23:32:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xd3c56e…
03-09 21:05:55	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	273	11¢	$30	0x5f7a01…
03-09 21:04:35	will trump say epic fury during miami address	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xb7ec38…
03-09 16:07:21	will trump say epic fury during miami address	Yes	BUY	103	61¢	$62	0xd585ce…