Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$69

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-23

last 09-24 15:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

66% 45% -$10

Politics

29% 45% -$6

Crypto

3% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	2	$4	8	+8	No	-$1	08-02 19:35
sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-27 17:52
will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-25 13:40
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-23 13:31
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-05 08:21
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	1	$2	8	+8	No	-$2	08-13 09:12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-13 01:10
Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-06 00:23
wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	08-03 04:08
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-14 05:14
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-03 12:08
will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	-$2	08-12 17:06
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	08-01 22:29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-02 18:56
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-02 06:31
Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-05 16:22
Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-06 08:24
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-13 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-01 13:22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	07-24 01:35
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	+$0	07-30 21:47
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-31 12:48
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-28 18:53
will trump say regulation during michigan remarks 20260724162420364	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	07-27 01:44
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-01 04:51
will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	07-30 00:51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-13 01:10
will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	07-25 01:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	+$2	07-29 05:27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	07-23 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-24 15:31:12	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe37588…
09-02 12:08:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of August 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x1fd617…
08-14 05:14:31	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x9779d1…
08-13 09:12:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x538237…
08-13 09:11:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x76b6d1…
08-13 01:10:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbf187b…
08-13 01:10:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0x54be2c…
08-12 17:06:16	will trump say zohran or mamdani during remarks in new york 20260811183234694	No	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb2bc42…
08-06 08:24:12	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x08c0c9…
08-06 00:23:48	Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xfe34bb…
08-05 16:22:57	Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x6737ef…
08-05 08:21:17	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xfb69a4…
08-03 12:08:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x0031e6…
08-03 04:08:00	wynn quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 04 2026 1	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x896fed…
08-02 19:35:36	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x30da9c…
08-02 18:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4b25f3…
08-02 06:31:44	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x71291b…
08-01 22:29:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x71856e…
08-01 22:28:20	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd12a68…
08-01 13:22:53	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xec7a27…
08-01 04:51:20	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7eae8a…
08-01 04:51:09	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?	No	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5013f2…
07-31 20:49:12	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4ad081…
07-31 12:48:09	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x39bfc1…
07-30 21:47:08	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x20576e…
07-30 00:51:11	will apple say apple pay during earnings call 20260727155548222	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xe954e3…
07-29 05:27:44	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?	Yes	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x7a272f…
07-28 18:53:38	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xf0c219…
07-27 17:52:06	sono quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt2	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0b7045…
07-27 01:44:03	will trump say regulation during michigan remarks 20260724162420364	Yes	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xa071ed…
07-26 13:42:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xdb949c…
07-26 01:41:51	will trump say save america during michigan remarks 20260724162420366	Yes	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x80bcb8…
07-25 13:40:01	will trump say grocery or dairy during michigan remarks 20260724162420361	Yes	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0691d3…
07-25 01:38:55	will warsh say iran during july press conference 20260720204109054	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xaa0a4d…
07-24 13:37:09	will trump say iran 3 times during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255810	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa3e725…
07-24 01:35:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf9120d…
07-23 13:31:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	Yes	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x97171b…
07-23 01:20:51	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x52cd1c…