Frozen-Knitting — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

21 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$365

$365 lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 04:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up		+27	$20	82¢	$22	+$2	05-07 04:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$34	54	+54	Down	+$20	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	1	$20	62	+62	Up	$-20	05-06 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$20	28	+28	open	—	05-06 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	1	$20	37	+37	open	—	05-07 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$20	32	+32	open	—	05-06 17:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$20	31	+31	open	—	05-06 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$20	27	+27	open	—	05-07 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$20	26	+26	open	—	05-07 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$20	30	+30	open	—	05-06 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	1	$20	28	+28	open	—	05-07 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$20	24	+24	open	—	05-06 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$20	24	+24	Up	+$4	05-06 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$18	24	+24	Up	$-18	05-06 03:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$17	24	+24	Down	+$7	05-06 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$17	20	+20	Up	+$3	05-06 01:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$15	21	+21	Up	$-15	05-06 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$13	17	+17	Down	+$4	05-06 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$13	18	+18	Up	+$5	05-04 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	05-06 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$9	12	+12	Down	+$3	05-06 04:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 04:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0x09bf76…
05-07 02:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x14fbac…
05-07 02:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x6432ae…
05-07 01:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x2f744f…
05-06 17:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x02d21c…
05-06 17:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xe21ff2…
05-06 16:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3908d1…
05-06 15:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x167aa4…
05-06 15:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x4054ab…
05-06 05:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0xddecb8…
05-06 05:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0x7dd207…
05-06 04:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x6709d0…
05-06 03:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	72¢	$17	0x5421b7…
05-06 03:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	75¢	$18	0x08ba21…
05-06 02:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x423436…
05-06 02:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x4455dc…
05-06 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x612f5b…
05-06 00:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x55d7bb…
05-05 20:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	62¢	$17	0x47e4e3…
05-05 20:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	26	64¢	$17	0xf4d1e6…
05-04 20:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0xdbcd0c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	20	$3.42K	208	05-07 04:18
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	20	$3.32K	301	05-07 04:18
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	20	$1.71K	164	05-07 04:18
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	20	$1.11K	144	05-07 04:18
Unselfish-Condominium 0x1f19…f57a	19	$805	77	05-07 04:18
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	18	$4.32K	186	05-07 04:18
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	18	$666	130	05-07 04:18
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	16	$2.00K	58	05-07 02:38