Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$2

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

57.2%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

79 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$89

$122 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-07-23

last 10-29 03:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

60% 54% -$7

Politics

38% 58% +$6

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+3	$2	4¢	$0	-$1	07-26 08:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt8	1	$5	7	+7	Yes	+$2	07-25 20:23
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	1	$5	10	+10	Yes	+$5	09-02 19:02
will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	1	$5	19	+19	Yes	-$5	07-25 08:23
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$5	8	+8	Yes	-$5	08-13 03:01
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$5	18	+18	Yes	-$5	09-07 13:32
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$5	6	+6	Yes	+$1	08-05 08:42
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	1	$5	7	+7	Yes	+$2	08-01 22:49
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	1	$5	8	+8	No	-$5	08-06 05:32
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$5	10	+10	No	+$5	07-23 20:20
will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	1	$5	6	+6	No	+$1	07-24 08:22
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	1	$2	4	+4	cancelled	$0	07-29 20:40
cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	07-24 20:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	07-23 08:08
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	1	$2	3	+3	cancelled	$0	07-26 20:25
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	open	—	07-26 08:24
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	09-19 01:03
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-21 06:12
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-08 04:18
spx up or down on october 13 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Down	-$1	10-13 18:25
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	1	$1	3	+3	No	+$2	10-06 16:41
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	open	—	10-29 03:26
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	1	$1	2	+2	Up	+$1	10-28 07:56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-23 12:09
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 04:35
spy up or down on october 15 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	+$2	10-15 08:15
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-26 07:38
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	09-22 07:33
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	5	+5	Yes	-$1	10-25 06:34
will ewy reach 182 by september 14 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-16 23:46
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-10 13:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:26:07	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x66c7da…
10-28 16:11:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x750eeb…
10-28 07:56:44	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xba54e9…
10-27 11:43:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x6f34d7…
10-27 03:32:35	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x2d8a58…
10-25 06:34:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x387659…
10-23 20:53:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x8a23a9…
10-23 12:09:08	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 23?	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x7084a5…
10-18 15:06:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 23?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x3d5a9a…
10-18 06:58:12	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x25d19b…
10-17 21:52:38	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xd51d41…
10-17 12:27:27	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x2426a1…
10-16 12:41:40	spy up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xb00a47…
10-16 04:35:52	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x756035…
10-15 08:15:58	spy up or down on october 15 2026	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb46cfb…
10-14 23:58:00	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x70b17c…
10-14 02:59:35	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x91deda…
10-13 18:25:55	spx up or down on october 13 2026	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x8aeaf3…
10-10 21:28:10	Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9e1e77…
10-08 13:09:26	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x08a06b…
10-08 04:18:29	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x58bce0…
10-07 17:18:28	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x333364…
10-07 09:13:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x0cb2fa…
10-07 00:53:44	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x53e347…
10-06 16:41:57	Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during his remarks at Anduril Industries?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x09908e…
10-06 07:57:04	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $186 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xad4a2b…
10-05 23:49:44	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5d75f9…
10-05 15:19:26	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd2d377…
10-05 00:48:52	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1986ef…
10-02 16:03:26	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x14b97f…
10-02 07:06:09	spx up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x460152…
10-01 11:51:29	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf437fd…
10-01 03:49:11	spx up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xa6fde5…
09-30 19:07:36	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 in September?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb97ff5…
09-30 05:55:00	wti closes above 88 on september 30 2026	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xef3443…
09-27 21:34:38	will xagusd dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x586aa5…
09-27 12:11:26	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x42a8c9…
09-27 02:46:17	pakistan military action against afghanistan by september 30 2026 20260925	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x8e4704…
09-26 07:38:59	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xdcc62e…
09-25 21:39:11	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x90a35a…
09-25 13:38:20	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb74a69…
09-24 16:12:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf8b40a…
09-24 08:09:20	Will Trump say "Board of Trade" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x959e61…
09-24 00:08:58	will xagusd reach 65 by september 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc3f77a…
09-23 16:02:35	Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x777d1b…
09-23 07:57:43	spy up or down on september 23 2026	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8cc1df…
09-22 23:51:08	will coin dip to 192 50 by september 21 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa7644d…
09-22 15:46:16	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $370 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc46cb8…
09-22 07:33:49	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xafb43a…
09-21 23:29:52	Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcda1d2…
09-21 15:28:48	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $64 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x5d6f4e…
09-21 07:17:11	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc40809…
09-21 06:12:25	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x64a03d…
09-20 22:11:04	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd41679…
09-19 11:02:24	Will Trump say "Nuclear" 5+ times during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x944472…
09-19 01:03:52	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xe23ca5…
09-17 19:03:54	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x64792f…
09-16 23:46:15	will ewy reach 182 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc672c9…
09-16 15:40:38	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5d8700…
09-16 07:36:10	will warsh say gas during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x09b136…
09-13 07:07:55	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x436be8…
09-11 06:35:00	spy up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe5264c…
09-10 22:30:42	Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x00e965…
09-10 13:27:34	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb8d1af…
09-07 13:32:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8bc8c7…
09-02 19:02:01	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 11	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2f0419…
08-13 03:01:57	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x50ed59…
08-06 05:32:09	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x216910…
08-05 08:42:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xf18949…
08-01 22:49:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xb33530…
07-29 20:40:21	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0847a9…
07-26 20:25:28	New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x7f7a09…
07-26 08:24:27	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x649bff…
07-25 20:23:43	ea quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 0pt8	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x110705…
07-25 08:23:30	will warsh say ai or artificial intelligence during july press conference 20260720204109043	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xa37f61…
07-24 20:23:15	cbre quarterly earnings gaap eps 07 29 2026 1pt32	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xa7068c…
07-24 08:22:48	will trump say shots fired or shots will be fired during white house correspondents dinner 20260715212255814	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x44d8b0…
07-23 20:20:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0fb19e…
07-23 08:08:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xbcc828…