Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-08-08

last 10-17 15:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 29 days

Categories

Other

85% 55% -$7

Politics

13% 40% -$2

Tech

2% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+4	$2	6¢	$0	-$1	08-18 17:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will xauusd reach 4400 by august 31 2026	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-01 18:12
will spy dip to 770 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	08-17 07:41
will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 10 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	-$2	08-11 23:39
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-09 22:40
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	-$2	09-02 06:31
will nvda dip to 220 by august 31 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	09-02 23:55
will trump say maga or make america great again during tele rally 20260809153916669	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-10 16:49
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 22:50
will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$2	08-13 00:47
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-20 23:51
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-23 14:53
wti closes above 84 on august 17 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-16 23:39
will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-18 08:45
will ewy dip to 178 by august 17 2026	1	$2	5	+5	Yes	+$3	08-17 15:46
spy up or down on august 19 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Up	-$2	08-19 04:40
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-25 09:07
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$2	09-01 06:55
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	open	—	08-18 17:14
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	-$2	08-08 11:56
google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	08-29 09:21
spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	-$2	08-13 08:53
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-11 01:39
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-09 05:07
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$1	08-08 19:57
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 Week of August 24 2026?	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-24 01:04
will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	1	$2	2	+2	No	+$0	08-10 06:51
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	2	+2	Yes	+$0	08-11 10:34
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 23:50
will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-19 12:58
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-16 01:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-17 15:05:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xa4fce3…
10-16 01:42:49	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x632b46…
10-11 05:08:42	Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $3.0B?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xd70474…
10-10 19:51:33	Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf7e0d0…
10-09 02:42:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xadc487…
10-08 06:26:10	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $70 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0c3874…
10-07 22:22:15	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,050 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb91b7d…
10-05 00:45:02	will tsla reach 390 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x547044…
10-04 04:23:55	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x27497e…
10-02 12:29:42	Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xa5ba7e…
10-01 15:19:05	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc75793…
09-24 16:11:33	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb34486…
09-09 22:40:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	No	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x4dfcf2…
09-02 23:55:52	will nvda dip to 220 by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xe2d317…
09-02 06:31:49	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xff93a2…
09-01 18:12:40	will xauusd reach 4400 by august 31 2026	No	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xe43b12…
09-01 06:55:06	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $180 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x975526…
08-29 09:21:37	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by september 4 2026	No	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x724a38…
08-25 09:07:24	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $184 Week of August 24 2026?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0xa982da…
08-24 01:04:13	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 Week of August 24 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0xa50c0c…
08-23 14:53:33	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x99096b…
08-20 23:51:48	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xf95ccf…
08-19 12:58:00	will nvda dip to 216 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xa7472d…
08-19 04:40:33	spy up or down on august 19 2026	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x0759f4…
08-18 17:14:22	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xcb8f5f…
08-18 08:45:24	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x7aae9d…
08-17 23:50:24	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8f6714…
08-17 15:46:51	will ewy dip to 178 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xca0db0…
08-17 07:41:18	will spy dip to 770 by august 17 2026	No	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xcccb4e…
08-16 23:39:37	wti closes above 84 on august 17 2026	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xd43ad4…
08-13 08:53:30	spy closes above 775 on august 13 2026	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x04f7b8…
08-13 00:47:15	will trump say barack hussein obama during remarks in new york 20260811183234695	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x217d05…
08-11 23:39:28	will xauusd dip to 4300 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xcd0be1…
08-11 10:34:12	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x85f097…
08-11 01:39:19	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x9a6ec2…
08-10 16:49:57	will trump say maga or make america great again during tele rally 20260809153916669	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x55a8ae…
08-10 06:51:30	will xauusd reach 4500 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x0b1421…
08-09 22:50:13	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	Yes	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x3e9307…
08-09 05:07:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x446e57…
08-08 19:57:28	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x7ce636…
08-08 11:56:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xdf95da…