(anonymous) 0x18283a…a25bcc Create alert
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Realized P&L
+$211
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
64.1%
Resolved
1,127
Trades
2,648
lifetime
Volume
$9.71K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$90
14 positions
First seen
2026-09-13
last 11-03 23:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 49 days
Categories
Other
91% 59% +$86
Sports
5% 58% +$100
Politics
4% 61% +$22
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Crypto
0% 67% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 249 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +34 $20 76¢ $26 +$6 09-29 15:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +19 $18 98¢ $19 +$1 10-20 14:29
US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026? No +13 $11 84¢ $11 $0 09-25 13:10
Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government? No +18 $1 52¢ $9 +$8 09-19 02:08
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +34 $5 27¢ $9 +$4 10-19 13:59
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +4 $3 95¢ $4 +$1 09-24 14:37
Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? Yes +18 $4 13¢ $2 -$1 09-24 20:41
Will J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 74¢ $2 +$0 09-24 06:23
Will Likud be in the next Israeli government? Yes +8 $4 22¢ $2 -$2 09-27 02:16
Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? Yes +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$1 09-18 10:18
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $2 32¢ $1 -$1 10-19 09:35
Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026? Yes +9 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 09-22 19:16
Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 22¢ $1 +$0 09-22 17:56
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 74¢ $1 +$0 09-20 01:09