Weird-Calorie — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$184.7K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,894

lifetime

Volume

$2.71M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.43K

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-11

last 08-21 17:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

84% 49% +$180,919

Politics

15% 43% +$24,711

Sports

1% 0% -$20,920

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+5	$2	12¢	$1	-$1	07-07 18:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	565	$1.05M	653,593	653,593	+0	No	+$142,404	06-30 11:56
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	74	$435.1K	250,586	250,586	+0	No	+$47,308	07-07 21:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	29	$434.8K	230,146	230,146	+0	No	+$12,996	05-28 04:44
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	202	$182.9K	109,734	109,734	+0	Yes	+$28,252	06-12 16:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	290	$157.5K	179,998	130,183	+49,814	Yes	-$1,280	06-15 01:34
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	7	$43.6K	26,066	26,066	+0	Team Falcons	+$8,464	05-19 15:37
dota2 liquid navi 2026 02 15	45	$29.4K	37,811	0	+37,811	Team Liquid	+$8,363	02-15 18:26
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	19	$28.3K	16,203	16,203	+0	No	+$3,233	06-11 20:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	115	$27.0K	28,667	28,900	-233	Yes	-$3,029	02-13 14:43
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	9	$26.1K	29,676	0	+29,676	PARIVISION	+$3,574	05-19 15:40
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	4	$22.8K	22,592	7,455	+15,137	BetBoom Team	+$7,222	05-20 19:21
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	66	$20.3K	31,274	0	+31,274	Team Spirit	+$10,946	05-21 06:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	25	$20.0K	18,356	18,356	+0	No	-$551	06-24 17:32
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$20.0K	24,636	0	+24,636	Sean Strickland	-$19,955	05-10 00:39
dota2 flc liquid 2026 02 13	43	$17.7K	29,243	0	+29,243	Team Liquid	-$17,705	02-13 16:00
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	15	$13.2K	13,073	13,073	+0	BoomBoys	-$3,776	08-21 05:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$12.4K	7,406	7,406	+0	No	+$2,185	05-31 10:02
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner	38	$12.3K	10,218	10,218	+0	Aurora	-$2,115	05-24 13:22
dota2 ts8 tr7 2026 08 16 game1	3	$11.4K	6,540	6,540	+0	Team Spirit	+$1,689	08-16 07:16
dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	9	$11.0K	8,000	8,000	+0	BoomBoys	+$4,968	08-21 05:04
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner	24	$9.0K	17,000	0	+17,000	Aurora	-$8,970	05-23 18:15
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports - Game 1 Winner	2	$8.9K	5,777	5,777	+0	Aurora	+$2,615	05-22 20:21
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	19	$8.0K	16,568	0	+16,568	PARIVISION	-$8,013	05-23 15:57
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	2	$8.0K	5,000	5,000	+0	Team Falcons	+$1,995	05-23 14:35
dota2 liquid navi 2026 02 15 game2	29	$6.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	Natus Vincere	-$6,500	02-15 16:53
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	6	$5.9K	3,752	3,752	+0	Team Liquid	+$1,564	05-20 21:53
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner	18	$5.9K	5,016	5,000	+16	PlayTime	+$1,847	05-22 17:28
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	19	$5.4K	12,044	0	+12,044	Aurora	-$5,390	05-23 17:18
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner	29	$4.9K	7,658	0	+7,658	Team Falcons	+$2,720	05-19 12:40
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner	2	$4.9K	3,381	3,381	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$1,822	05-22 13:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 17:35:42	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	7,500	40¢	$3,000	0x86b08f…
08-21 16:30:43	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	187	63¢	$118	0xdf2c8e…
08-21 16:30:43	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	187	63¢	$118	0xba7bb5…
08-21 16:30:43	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x44679c…
08-21 16:30:42	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	2,413	63¢	$1,520	0xb413ad…
08-21 16:30:42	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	187	63¢	$118	0x3286c0…
08-21 16:30:36	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x9dea32…
08-21 16:30:36	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7ad1a8…
08-21 16:30:36	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x580922…
08-21 16:30:36	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3ca63a…
08-21 16:30:36	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x06c1db…
08-21 16:30:34	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0xd27d8b…
08-21 16:30:34	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xc62e93…
08-21 16:30:34	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	26	63¢	$16	0xb89b34…
08-21 16:30:34	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb816d1…
08-21 16:30:34	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8b464b…
08-21 16:30:34	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game2	Team Yandex	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0273f0…
08-21 15:29:04	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	936	55¢	$515	0x12b72e…
08-21 15:29:01	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x8a7e51…
08-21 15:29:00	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	1,314	55¢	$723	0xf2db60…
08-21 15:29:00	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x82b386…
08-21 15:28:58	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xd843f5…
08-21 15:28:58	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	2,000	55¢	$1,100	0x79d411…
08-21 15:28:57	dota2 ty ngx 2026 08 21 game1	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	710	55¢	$391	0x619c23…
08-21 09:28:27	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	305	60¢	$183	0xf456f2…
08-21 09:28:27	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x91de1a…
08-21 09:28:25	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	2,000	60¢	$1,200	0xa26b65…
08-21 09:28:25	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8d1973…
08-21 09:28:24	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	190	60¢	$114	0x1306f5…
08-21 09:10:03	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21	Team Falcons	BUY	6,000	40¢	$2,400	0x61d628…
08-21 08:06:30	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	4,308	64¢	$2,757	0xd5f599…
08-21 08:06:27	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	1,348	64¢	$863	0x508c7f…
08-21 08:06:25	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc346de…
08-21 08:06:25	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	539	64¢	$345	0x6a00de…
08-21 08:05:03	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0x45a2d6…
08-21 08:05:00	dota2 liquid flc 2026 08 21 game2	Team Liquid	BUY	83	57¢	$47	0xe6ac97…
08-21 05:38:57	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	SELL	2,000	58¢	$1,160	0x757c0f…
08-21 05:38:57	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x138ba3…
08-21 05:38:55	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x9ec35c…
08-21 05:38:55	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x558e29…
08-21 05:38:55	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x436bbd…
08-21 05:38:54	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x826847…
08-21 05:38:54	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	SELL	5,000	58¢	$2,900	0x6508c0…
08-21 05:25:51	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	541	86¢	$466	0xc1bf47…
08-21 05:25:43	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	159	86¢	$136	0x63a860…
08-21 05:25:06	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	Iron Wing	SELL	6,000	10¢	$600	0xcac840…
08-21 05:24:28	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	4,535	88¢	$3,991	0x55ed32…
08-21 05:24:25	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	24	88¢	$21	0xd6a972…
08-21 05:24:25	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	128	88¢	$112	0x105785…
08-21 05:24:24	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	BoomBoys	BUY	1,687	87¢	$1,472	0xb74f69…
08-21 05:06:00	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20	Iron Wing	BUY	6,000	38¢	$2,280	0x73cd95…
08-21 05:04:27	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	SELL	8,000	100¢	$7,992	0xc10b27…
08-21 03:45:48	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x199b91…
08-21 03:44:36	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	3,591	38¢	$1,365	0xb7e402…
08-21 03:44:27	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	22	38¢	$9	0xd42ed8…
08-21 03:44:27	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	384	38¢	$146	0x4cd9ae…
08-21 03:44:27	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x18c860…
08-21 03:44:25	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x8cdf76…
08-21 03:44:25	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x41437c…
08-21 03:44:25	dota2 ironwi boombo 2026 08 20 game2	BoomBoys	BUY	3,742	38¢	$1,409	0x07a8c7…
08-20 08:24:58	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game2	TEAM VISION	BUY	4,856	49¢	$2,361	0x505862…
08-20 06:54:04	dota2 vsn2 boombo 2026 08 20 game1	BoomBoys	BUY	774	66¢	$511	0x155d42…
08-20 03:29:09	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game1	Iron Wing	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xe5e947…
08-20 03:09:25	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19	Iron Wing	BUY	1,606	44¢	$700	0xf42f06…
08-20 03:00:16	dota2 ironwi ts8 2026 08 19 game1	Iron Wing	BUY	1,500	38¢	$570	0xcf4712…
08-16 09:40:58	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	560	57¢	$319	0x98c5ed…
08-16 09:40:58	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	1,002	57¢	$571	0x323fe9…
08-16 09:40:57	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	578	57¢	$329	0x9f8a9f…
08-16 09:40:57	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	100	57¢	$57	0x790e57…
08-16 09:40:57	dota2 lgd ty 2026 08 16 game2	LGD Gaming	BUY	760	57¢	$433	0x1c644f…
08-16 07:16:30	dota2 ts8 tr7 2026 08 16 game1	Team Spirit	SELL	6,540	100¢	$6,533	0x9bf10a…
08-16 04:52:33	dota2 ts8 tr7 2026 08 16 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	94	79¢	$74	0x87b8a8…
08-16 04:52:07	dota2 ts8 tr7 2026 08 16 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	6,446	74¢	$4,770	0xf4344e…
07-11 10:49:55	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	26	31¢	$8	0xd62946…
07-11 10:44:53	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	3,087	31¢	$957	0x3b1535…
07-07 21:47:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	69,470	99¢	$68,573	0x66e7c3…
07-07 18:13:59	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x81d8dc…
07-07 18:12:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xe687ae…
07-07 18:11:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x6714f5…
07-07 18:11:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0xfcb60c…
07-07 18:11:37	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	14,870	99¢	$14,677	0x3c7d55…
07-05 03:57:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	85,000	96¢	$81,212	0x282230…
07-04 15:37:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0x7f295b…
07-04 15:34:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3,000	94¢	$2,820	0x642c18…
07-04 15:31:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x9b9068…
07-04 15:31:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xd41d63…
07-04 15:31:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x0aea04…
07-04 15:31:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0x8297bd…
07-04 15:31:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5,000	94¢	$4,700	0x48070b…
07-04 15:12:11	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	750	94¢	$705	0xfe53dc…
07-04 15:11:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1,000	94¢	$940	0x2ead1d…
07-04 15:08:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xb6f970…
07-04 14:59:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	3,050	94¢	$2,867	0x9bc663…
07-04 14:57:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	213	94¢	$200	0x38e5b7…
07-04 14:56:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x5f9914…
07-04 14:56:35	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xbcedae…
07-04 14:55:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	263	94¢	$247	0xa41a16…
07-04 14:55:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	18	94¢	$17	0xe628b5…
07-04 14:55:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xdbc4c4…
07-04 14:55:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4ec580…