Alarming-Cane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

896

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-04

last 07-02 22:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-92

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+53	$2	3¢	$1	$-0	07-02 22:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 4 9pm et	16	$447	995	995	+0	open	—	03-05 02:59
bitcoin up or down march 4 7pm et	7	$429	668	459	+209	open	—	03-05 00:26
bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	7	$370	280	277	+4	open	—	03-11 20:13
bitcoin up or down march 5 7pm et	17	$307	385	380	+5	open	—	03-06 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	19	$271	260	260	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$236	249	210	+38	Up	+$96	05-11 20:35
bitcoin up or down march 5 8pm et	15	$217	5,278	275	+5,003	open	—	03-06 02:47
btc updown 5m 1782906000	8	$190	259	259	+0	open	—	07-01 11:44
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	6	$176	137	136	+2	open	—	03-11 17:08
bitcoin up or down march 4 8pm et	4	$176	176	176	+0	open	—	03-05 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	11	$172	460	160	+300	Down	$-20	05-11 22:59
bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	7	$167	573	208	+365	open	—	03-09 00:56
btc updown 5m 1773441000	9	$161	427	259	+168	open	—	03-13 22:34
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	10	$155	175	161	+15	open	—	03-11 21:55
btc updown 5m 1773439500	9	$150	164	131	+33	open	—	03-13 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	10	$140	441	222	+219	Up	$-12	05-11 22:54
bitcoin up or down march 9 10pm et	13	$140	378	376	+2	open	—	03-10 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$138	305	145	+159	Up	$-12	05-11 22:39
btc updown 5m 1783029900	4	$135	161	88	+73	open	—	07-02 22:09
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	3	$129	191	103	+89	open	—	03-06 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	12	$125	128	128	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	9	$119	233	133	+100	Up	$-15	05-11 13:14
btc updown 5m 1773440700	10	$118	126	98	+28	open	—	03-13 22:29
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	6	$114	98	97	+2	open	—	03-10 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$114	94	76	+17	Up	+$14	05-11 13:09
bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	7	$111	314	114	+200	open	—	03-09 01:57
bitcoin up or down march 9 12pm et	5	$109	112	87	+25	open	—	03-09 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	9	$108	390	59	+331	Down	$-49	05-11 20:39
btc updown 5m 1782906300	5	$101	183	71	+111	open	—	07-01 11:49
bitcoin up or down march 5 3am et	2	$101	86	86	+0	open	—	03-05 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 22:17:17	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$5	0x87ba91…
07-02 22:17:05	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	139	2¢	$3	0xcc0600…
07-02 22:14:35	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	SELL	41	74¢	$30	0xd5a91c…
07-02 22:14:19	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xdc2a16…
07-02 22:13:53	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Up	SELL	39	20¢	$8	0x723e5a…
07-02 22:13:32	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x2b0426…
07-02 22:13:02	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xba7ea9…
07-02 22:11:46	btc updown 5m 1783030200	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xcc5d8d…
07-02 22:09:23	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5cad1f…
07-02 22:08:52	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xeec104…
07-02 22:08:25	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Up	SELL	88	75¢	$66	0xa4bdf1…
07-02 22:07:44	btc updown 5m 1783029900	Up	BUY	88	55¢	$48	0xc11e6d…
07-01 14:44:26	btc updown 5m 1782916800	Up	BUY	375	4¢	$15	0x37a8bf…
07-01 14:43:29	btc updown 5m 1782916800	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x5d42b3…
07-01 14:42:52	btc updown 5m 1782916800	Up	SELL	107	11¢	$12	0x77907d…
07-01 14:42:22	btc updown 5m 1782916800	Up	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0xeadf2d…
07-01 14:41:07	btc updown 5m 1782916800	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xf4bc47…
07-01 14:38:23	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	SELL	39	16¢	$6	0x2bd8b7…
07-01 14:37:26	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0xd4286d…
07-01 14:37:17	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x11ecc6…
07-01 14:37:14	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Down	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x226641…
07-01 14:36:47	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x67f337…
07-01 14:36:41	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5c5927…
07-01 14:36:20	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	SELL	30	23¢	$7	0xe090e5…
07-01 14:35:53	btc updown 5m 1782916500	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6a29ae…
07-01 11:51:29	btc updown 5m 1782906600	Up	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xbcdebc…
07-01 11:50:50	btc updown 5m 1782906600	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x1731ee…
07-01 11:49:07	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xbb6e12…
07-01 11:48:43	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Down	SELL	55	80¢	$44	0x8eb4cc…
07-01 11:48:32	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Up	SELL	17	44¢	$7	0xb993b1…
07-01 11:48:04	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Down	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe60ec7…
07-01 11:47:29	btc updown 5m 1782906300	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xcfde25…
07-01 11:44:40	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	SELL	21	64¢	$13	0xc16945…
07-01 11:44:22	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x8bffee…
07-01 11:44:04	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	SELL	136	41¢	$56	0x55751f…
07-01 11:43:55	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	SELL	35	38¢	$13	0x33cd1d…
07-01 11:43:20	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x0b4e45…
07-01 11:42:56	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0x528835…
07-01 11:41:31	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	SELL	68	42¢	$28	0x42744c…
07-01 11:40:49	btc updown 5m 1782906000	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xf88179…
07-01 11:39:59	btc updown 5m 1782905700	Up	SELL	38	88¢	$33	0xa8dc72…
07-01 11:39:35	btc updown 5m 1782905700	Up	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xf7c4ba…
05-30 00:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0xa7dd4d…
05-29 23:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6c135b…
05-29 23:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xa9f9de…
05-29 23:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xe7d619…
05-12 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x92ff5c…
05-12 18:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfea1f9…
05-12 18:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0xe3177e…
05-12 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x54acae…
05-12 18:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x76f594…
05-12 18:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x7e9db6…
05-12 18:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xaf93ee…
05-12 18:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0x4969a2…
05-12 18:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x800f48…
05-12 18:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0xa6d251…
05-12 18:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4e2062…
05-12 18:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb3a556…
05-12 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	46	51¢	$23	0x71011f…
05-12 18:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x414055…
05-11 23:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xcce990…
05-11 23:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x3165bd…
05-11 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb21f2e…
05-11 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xd05618…
05-11 22:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xd741b3…
05-11 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0xfd8c7c…
05-11 22:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x0cf2ce…
05-11 22:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1ec538…
05-11 22:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xf4d376…
05-11 22:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x108ece…
05-11 22:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd942ca…
05-11 22:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	89	47¢	$42	0xe3dc55…
05-11 22:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x2ca565…
05-11 22:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	219	5¢	$10	0xbbbd8a…
05-11 22:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	127	11¢	$14	0xf9aa20…
05-11 22:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x757dd0…
05-11 22:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xea5d0c…
05-11 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0xfdc35a…
05-11 22:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0x9b6ce3…
05-11 22:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x007537…
05-11 22:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd8aac7…
05-11 22:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	48	48¢	$23	0x2dc0fa…
05-11 22:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xae1f21…
05-11 22:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x0826d2…
05-11 22:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x053637…
05-11 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x7450d3…
05-11 22:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe622b4…
05-11 22:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xde06f2…
05-11 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x6266db…
05-11 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xc03a83…
05-11 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xe28671…
05-11 22:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x903784…
05-11 22:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6a5f3b…
05-11 22:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x3f7722…
05-11 22:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x0ab1db…
05-11 22:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xefd21c…
05-11 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xd81706…
05-11 22:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x704857…
05-11 22:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xd112dd…
05-11 22:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x427596…