Alarming-Cane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$91

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.9%

Resolved

Trades

854

lifetime

Volume

$11.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 05-30 00:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-92

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 4 9pm et	16	$447	995	995	+0	open	—	03-05 02:59
bitcoin up or down march 4 7pm et	7	$429	668	459	+209	open	—	03-05 00:26
bitcoin up or down march 11 3pm et	7	$370	280	277	+4	open	—	03-11 20:13
bitcoin up or down march 5 7pm et	17	$307	385	380	+5	open	—	03-06 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	19	$271	260	260	+0	Up	+$13	05-11 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	7	$236	249	210	+38	Up	+$96	05-11 20:35
bitcoin up or down march 5 8pm et	15	$217	5,278	275	+5,003	open	—	03-06 02:47
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	6	$176	137	136	+2	open	—	03-11 17:08
bitcoin up or down march 4 8pm et	4	$176	176	176	+0	open	—	03-05 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	11	$172	460	160	+300	Down	$-20	05-11 22:59
bitcoin up or down march 8 8pm et	7	$167	573	208	+365	open	—	03-09 00:56
btc updown 5m 1773441000	9	$161	427	259	+168	open	—	03-13 22:34
bitcoin up or down march 11 5pm et	10	$155	175	161	+15	open	—	03-11 21:55
btc updown 5m 1773439500	9	$150	164	131	+33	open	—	03-13 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	10	$140	441	222	+219	Up	$-12	05-11 22:54
bitcoin up or down march 9 10pm et	13	$140	378	376	+2	open	—	03-10 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$138	305	145	+159	Up	$-12	05-11 22:39
bitcoin up or down march 6 6pm et	3	$129	191	103	+89	open	—	03-06 23:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	12	$125	128	128	+0	Down	+$11	05-11 13:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	9	$119	233	133	+100	Up	$-15	05-11 13:14
btc updown 5m 1773440700	10	$118	126	98	+28	open	—	03-13 22:29
bitcoin up or down march 9 9pm et	6	$114	98	97	+2	open	—	03-10 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	5	$114	94	76	+17	Up	+$14	05-11 13:09
bitcoin up or down march 8 9pm et	7	$111	314	114	+200	open	—	03-09 01:57
bitcoin up or down march 9 12pm et	5	$109	112	87	+25	open	—	03-09 16:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	9	$108	390	59	+331	Down	$-49	05-11 20:39
bitcoin up or down march 5 3am et	2	$101	86	86	+0	open	—	03-05 08:44
btc updown 5m 1773440100	7	$97	197	145	+52	open	—	03-13 22:19
btc updown 5m 1773368100	4	$96	79	78	+1	open	—	03-13 02:20
btc updown 5m 1773433800	9	$96	89	88	+1	open	—	03-13 20:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 00:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	54	54¢	$29	0xa7dd4d…
05-29 23:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6c135b…
05-29 23:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0xa9f9de…
05-29 23:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0xe7d619…
05-12 18:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x92ff5c…
05-12 18:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xfea1f9…
05-12 18:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	49	12¢	$6	0xe3177e…
05-12 18:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x54acae…
05-12 18:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x76f594…
05-12 18:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	72¢	$13	0x7e9db6…
05-12 18:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xaf93ee…
05-12 18:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	32	72¢	$23	0x4969a2…
05-12 18:07:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x800f48…
05-12 18:06:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0xa6d251…
05-12 18:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x4e2062…
05-12 18:02:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xb3a556…
05-12 18:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	46	51¢	$23	0x71011f…
05-12 18:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	46	53¢	$24	0x414055…
05-11 23:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xcce990…
05-11 23:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x3165bd…
05-11 22:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb21f2e…
05-11 22:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	250	10¢	$25	0xd05618…
05-11 22:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	15¢	$4	0xd741b3…
05-11 22:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0xfd8c7c…
05-11 22:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x0cf2ce…
05-11 22:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x1ec538…
05-11 22:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xf4d376…
05-11 22:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x108ece…
05-11 22:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd942ca…
05-11 22:56:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	89	47¢	$42	0xe3dc55…
05-11 22:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x2ca565…
05-11 22:54:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	219	5¢	$10	0xbbbd8a…
05-11 22:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	127	11¢	$14	0xf9aa20…
05-11 22:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	67	9¢	$6	0x757dd0…
05-11 22:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xea5d0c…
05-11 22:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0xfdc35a…
05-11 22:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	21	45¢	$9	0x9b6ce3…
05-11 22:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x007537…
05-11 22:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xd8aac7…
05-11 22:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	48	48¢	$23	0x2dc0fa…
05-11 22:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xae1f21…
05-11 22:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	60	13¢	$8	0x0826d2…
05-11 22:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	28	86¢	$24	0x053637…
05-11 22:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0x7450d3…
05-11 22:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe622b4…
05-11 22:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xde06f2…
05-11 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x6266db…
05-11 22:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xc03a83…
05-11 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0xe28671…
05-11 22:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x903784…
05-11 22:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x6a5f3b…
05-11 22:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x3f7722…
05-11 22:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	47	37¢	$17	0x0ab1db…
05-11 22:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xefd21c…
05-11 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	52¢	$9	0xd81706…
05-11 22:43:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x704857…
05-11 22:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0xd112dd…
05-11 22:42:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	56¢	$15	0x427596…
05-11 22:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x0ae984…
05-11 22:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	27	65¢	$18	0x4bb51a…
05-11 22:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	17	33¢	$5	0x7e9601…
05-11 22:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xca9130…
05-11 22:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x16f1db…
05-11 22:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	62	66¢	$41	0xb16cc8…
05-11 22:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x7c8a3b…
05-11 22:40:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x507b1c…
05-11 22:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x98b3b5…
05-11 22:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x4a3012…
05-11 22:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	68	28¢	$19	0xef04ba…
05-11 22:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	68	22¢	$15	0x76a1f6…
05-11 22:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	47	78¢	$37	0x22ee33…
05-11 22:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	23¢	$7	0xfaf3b1…
05-11 22:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xb7bd99…
05-11 22:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0x884f25…
05-11 22:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xd56810…
05-11 22:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	19	89¢	$17	0xd1e243…
05-11 22:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0x150aa3…
05-11 22:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	61	12¢	$7	0xd98065…
05-11 22:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x987431…
05-11 22:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xfb5e57…
05-11 22:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x65e32b…
05-11 20:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	45	10¢	$5	0xccc559…
05-11 20:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x7b6d92…
05-11 20:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x4c7515…
05-11 20:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0x684d62…
05-11 20:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x99b99d…
05-11 20:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	58	26¢	$15	0xd186de…
05-11 20:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	31	58¢	$18	0xb04038…
05-11 20:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x608ef8…
05-11 20:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	29	41¢	$12	0x2b5d2e…
05-11 20:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xee12e5…
05-11 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x195b74…
05-11 20:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	57	99¢	$56	0xfb90ab…
05-11 20:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x753cc0…
05-11 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa278ab…
05-11 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	154	71¢	$110	0xbe27ff…
05-11 20:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x44abaa…
05-11 20:32:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xc4f7b0…
05-11 20:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	104	14¢	$15	0xe75f53…
05-11 20:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e35dd…