Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.7%

Resolved

254

Trades

562

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 04-11 12:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 66 days

Categories

Politics

63% 70% +$28

Other

27% 66% -$48

Crypto

7% 50% +$13

Tech

2% 83% +$8

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 25% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-11).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$239	164	164	+0	Yes	-$10	03-01 03:38
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$230	149	149	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 03:38
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$141	80	70	+10	Yes	+$1	03-01 19:10
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$140	75	70	+5	No	+$1	03-01 19:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	7	$106	55	55	+0	No	+$0	03-19 02:13
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	6	$72	40	40	+0	No	+$1	03-13 01:49
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	6	$62	56	56	+0	Yes	+$7	03-10 14:41
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	6	$59	47	47	+0	No	-$3	03-29 10:15
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$54	63	63	+0	Yes	-$5	02-19 19:32
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	7	$53	56	56	+0	No	+$7	03-17 04:33
bitcoin up or down february 4 9am et	1	$50	0	50	-50	Down	$0	02-04 15:16
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	3	$43	23	23	+0	Yes	+$3	01-31 08:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	5	$41	30	30	+0	No	+$2	04-11 12:57
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	4	$39	60	48	+12	No	-$9	02-03 09:25
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$37	37	37	+0	Yes	-$2	03-04 03:35
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$1	03-29 10:16
Will Anutin Charnvirakul be the next prime minister of Thailand?	7	$34	25	20	+5	Yes	$0	02-28 14:32
will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	7	$31	32	32	+0	No	$0	04-11 12:58
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	5	$30	411	411	+0	No	-$30	02-03 20:06
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$30	40	40	+0	No	-$4	03-31 09:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 13:30 UTC	2	$30	20	20	+0	Up	+$10	02-12 13:41
another us government shutdown by february 14	5	$29	31	24	+7	No	-$6	02-13 07:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$28	19	19	+0	No	+$8	03-29 10:12
will solv energy incs market cap be less than 3pt8b at market close on ipo day	4	$27	23	23	+0	No	+$7	02-12 13:23
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$26	22	12	+10	Yes	+$0	02-12 10:22
will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 28 2026	7	$25	21	11	+10	No	-$1	02-28 07:13
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	4	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$6	02-12 13:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	4	$23	18	18	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 12:58
israel x iran ceasefire broken by march 31 2026 312 682	2	$23	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	02-04 06:51
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	4	$23	45	45	+0	No	+$12	02-18 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-11 12:59:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x1a5f9a…
04-11 12:59:15	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x195529…
04-11 12:59:09	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	10	56¢	$6	0x0f76a3…
04-11 12:58:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xbb6463…
04-11 12:58:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xbec624…
04-11 12:58:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xe8d6df…
04-11 12:58:19	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x728cba…
04-11 12:58:01	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0xfab9b0…
04-11 12:57:57	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x531648…
04-11 12:57:49	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x65b4f5…
04-11 12:57:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xa40097…
04-11 12:57:39	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x90c879…
04-11 12:57:29	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x7b7a95…
04-11 12:57:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc90a9b…
04-11 12:57:15	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xb390c0…
04-11 12:57:03	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	30	71¢	$21	0x6eb66a…
04-10 17:17:55	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x1c66c2…
04-08 06:21:39	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x24d088…
04-08 06:20:05	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0xbd297f…
04-07 20:56:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x118c5e…
04-06 19:45:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa61608…
04-04 15:15:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xfbf8de…
04-03 17:23:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0942c7…
04-03 15:22:31	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0xf43a17…
04-03 08:02:31	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9b476f…
04-02 04:59:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x917b44…
04-02 04:58:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x88d9a1…
04-01 08:36:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd131ce…
04-01 07:29:01	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x5e7e60…
04-01 07:02:47	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x26901e…
04-01 05:39:51	will fideszkdnp win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xb642d2…
03-31 19:56:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xbc3d01…
03-31 19:52:39	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc33a9c…
03-31 19:50:49	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xb2e91e…
03-31 09:52:25	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xdd7aae…
03-29 10:19:50	will ukraine join the board of peace	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2e36d9…
03-29 10:19:22	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2d3143…
03-29 10:18:48	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9e4fba…
03-29 10:17:10	will turkey strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x936e5d…
03-29 10:16:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc89f27…
03-29 10:15:02	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xdc78aa…
03-29 10:13:42	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xc422fd…
03-29 10:13:10	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xb5d795…
03-29 10:12:30	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	19	97¢	$18	0x8bb263…
03-29 10:10:26	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7888d4…
03-27 15:19:09	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xbd54ca…
03-27 15:18:25	will pltr close between 150 and 152 week march 27 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31e0b9…
03-27 15:17:43	will nflx close between 90 and 100 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x99ac16…
03-27 15:16:03	will meta close below 560 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd8d032…
03-27 15:16:03	will meta close below 560 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x55af53…
03-27 15:15:29	will aapl close between 240 and 245 week march 27 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaa63c8…
03-27 15:14:27	will googl close below 285 week march 27 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xef29cd…
03-27 06:31:23	donald trump of truth social posts march 20 march 27 100 119	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x239ac3…
03-26 01:49:21	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0xa12f08…
03-24 13:17:47	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x58f1b5…
03-23 06:38:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x033e99…
03-22 19:35:41	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x1d2d6c…
03-21 03:29:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x15a095…
03-20 20:48:07	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	SELL	10	89¢	$9	0x9a4ee8…
03-20 20:47:17	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x78836e…
03-20 20:45:59	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x884317…
03-20 14:08:55	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa72831…
03-20 04:06:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x0f73a7…
03-19 20:18:25	donald trump of truth social posts march 13 march 20 100 119	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x6fd4e8…
03-19 02:13:19	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0x66bb67…
03-18 19:43:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe7d165…
03-18 15:56:41	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x3b0d1d…
03-18 05:06:03	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xed8e02…
03-17 18:40:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x2e6418…
03-17 18:36:21	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa6b62d…
03-17 06:30:11	donald trump of truth social posts march 10 march 17 120 139	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x65eba2…
03-17 04:36:13	zelenskyy out as ukraine president by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x834da4…
03-17 04:35:55	will putin meet with zelenskyy by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfde6d9…
03-17 04:35:51	will zelenskyy talk to putin by march 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x4698ed…
03-17 04:34:45	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbf4e0a…
03-17 04:33:55	will trump cut off trade with spain	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x5da8dc…
03-17 04:33:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x56d9df…
03-17 04:33:21	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	No	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0x1fb5cc…
03-17 04:32:43	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0x7b4539…
03-16 15:33:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x5d65bd…
03-16 12:26:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x2f4a3b…
03-16 02:04:05	mojtaba khamenei leaves iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x02bc67…
03-16 01:49:47	will italy join the board of peace	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x52990b…
03-16 01:49:23	will the netherlands join the board of peace	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xc50f22…
03-16 01:49:17	will germany join the board of peace	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x8cf26d…
03-16 01:49:07	will belgium join the board of peace	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x2fdaeb…
03-16 01:49:01	will brazil join the board of peace	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x135150…
03-15 23:26:45	will emmanuel grgoire win the paris mayor election	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x74543d…
03-15 23:26:17	will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x38bb51…
03-15 06:58:27	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x57dc05…
03-14 23:02:23	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xbd5d51…
03-14 12:33:55	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x31bf8f…
03-13 19:42:31	will tsla close between 390 and 395 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x05d084…
03-13 19:25:45	will googl close between 300 and 305 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0xb09f81…
03-13 19:25:45	will googl close between 300 and 305 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x3f717a…
03-13 19:06:13	will nvda close between 180 and 185 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x6c4a79…
03-13 17:58:05	will aapl close between 250 and 255 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x0d2991…
03-13 17:31:07	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa64c72…
03-13 17:26:01	will amzn close between 205 and 210 week march 13 2026	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x44ddd4…
03-13 17:25:15	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x3a9a8c…